Foreword vii Preface xiii Acknowledgments xvii Part I The Great Betterment 1 Right Here, Right Now 3 Part II Fewer 2 The Population Explosion, Malthus, and the Ghost of Christmas Present 19 3 The Demographic Transition: Running Out of and Into People 31 4 Having Fewer Children: "People Respond to Incentives" 43 5 Age Before Beauty: Life in an Aging Society 59 Part III Richer 6 Before the Great Enrichment: The Year 1 to 1750 79 7 The Great Enrichment: 1750 to Today 89 8 Food 101 9 Health and Longevity 121 10 Energy: A BTU is a Unit of Work You Don't Have to Do 135 11 Cities 155 12 Education: The Third Democratization 171 13 Conflict, Safety, and Freedom 191 14 The Alleviation of Poverty 217 Part IV Explorations 15 Robots Don't Work for Free: A Meditation on Technology and Jobs 245 16 The Mismeasurement of Growth: Why You Aren't Driving a Model T 269 17 The Discreet Charm of the Bourgeoisie: Deirdre McCloskey, Capitalism, and Christian Ethics 285 18 Simon and Ehrlich: Cornucopianism versus the Limits to Growth 299 19 Obstacles 305 20 "He Shall Laugh": Why Weren't Our Ancestors Miserable All the Time? 319 Part V Greener 21 Prologue: Why Poor is Brown and Rich is Green 331 22 A Skeptical Environmentalist: The Greening World of Bjorn Lomborg 339 23 Dematerialization: Where Did My Record Collection Go? 355 24 "We are as Gods": The Fertile Mind of Stewart Brand 369 25 Ecomodernism: A Way Forward 379 Afterword 403 Reader's Guide: Annotated Suggestions for Further Learning 407 References 415 Index 439
LAURENCE B. SIEGEL is the Gary P. Brinson Director of Research at the CFA Institute Research Foundation and a writer, speaker, and consultant specializing in economics and investment management. Siegel is the author of more than 200 articles on investing and related topics. He has won many writing awards including the Graham and Dodd Award, Bernstein Fabozzi/Jacobs Levy Award, and the EDHEC/Robeco Award.