This book offers a systematic assessment of how International Relations scholars in mainland China and analysts at Chinese foreign policy think tanks influence the construction of China’s national interest. The detailed analysis shows how proximity to the state and the state’s signaled demand for expertise facilitate and constrain influence and puts forward a new approach for identifying influence by applying frame analysis to 150 foreign policy statements and combining it with quantitative content analysis of 4000 expert publications. Offering a new way of assessing and explaining Chinese foreign policy experts’ influence, understanding the environment in which they operate, and providing suggestions on how to analyze official foreign policy statements, this volume will be of interest to scholars of Chinese foreign policy and anyone working on expert influence in non-democratic regimes.
Offering a new way of assessing and explaining Chinese foreign policy experts’ influence, understanding the environment in which they operate, and suggestions on how to analyse official foreign policy statements.
1. Introduction
Argument in brief
Contributions
Data & methods
Plan of the book
2. Theory and Empirical Strategy
Experts ideas and Chinas national interest
Debates about Chinas national interest
Understanding Chinas national interest as constructed
Experts ideas and the construction of Chinas national interest
The intervening role of domestic structures
Experts proximity to the state
The states signaled demand for expertise
Examining experts influence
Strategies for addressing challenges
Empirical implementation
Conclusions
3. Foreign Policy-Making in China and Chinese Experts
Foreign policy-making in China
The outer circle of foreign policy-making in China
Think Tanks
Scholars
The mechanisms of Chinese experts influence
Think Tanks
Scholars
Xi Jinpings tightened control
Conclusions
4. Experts Influence on the Construction of Chinas National Interest
Overarching changes in the construction of Chinas national interest
Shifts in policy substance
Quantitative analysis of scholars and think tanks influence
Influenced policy shifts: an overview
Conclusions
5. Distant Experts Influence
Distant think tanks influence on the construction of Chinas national
interest
Distant think tanks characteristics
High demand for expertise signaled by the state
How distant analysts shaped policy shifts
Distant scholars influence on the construction of Chinas national interest
Distant scholars characteristics
High demand for expertise signaled by the state
How distant scholars shaped policy shifts
Conclusions
6. Close Experts Influence
Shifts in the demand for expertise signaled by the state
Close think tanks influence on the construction of Chinas national
interest
Close think tanks characteristics
How close analysts shaped policy shifts
Close scholars influence on the construction of Chinas national interest
Close scholars characteristics
How close scholars shaped policy shifts
7. Conclusions
Experts influence on the construction of Chinas national interest
Scholarly implications
Implications for understanding Chinas foreign policy
Implications for researching experts and policy
Limitations and further research
Policy implications
Sabine Mokry is a researcher at the Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg. In addition, she is an associate at the German Institute for Global and Areas Studies (GIGA). Her work examines how domestic factors shape China's foreign and security policy.