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E-raamat: Cultures of Prediction in Atmospheric and Climate Science: Epistemic and Cultural Shifts in Computer-based Modelling and Simulation [Taylor & Francis e-raamat]

Edited by (Aarhus Univeristy, Denmark), Edited by (University of Berlin, Germany), Edited by (The University of Nottingham, UK)
  • Formaat: 256 pages, 1 Tables, black and white; 14 Line drawings, black and white; 3 Halftones, black and white
  • Sari: Routledge Environmental Humanities
  • Ilmumisaeg: 17-Jan-2019
  • Kirjastus: Routledge
  • ISBN-13: 9781315406282
  • Taylor & Francis e-raamat
  • Hind: 161,57 €*
  • * hind, mis tagab piiramatu üheaegsete kasutajate arvuga ligipääsu piiramatuks ajaks
  • Tavahind: 230,81 €
  • Säästad 30%
  • Formaat: 256 pages, 1 Tables, black and white; 14 Line drawings, black and white; 3 Halftones, black and white
  • Sari: Routledge Environmental Humanities
  • Ilmumisaeg: 17-Jan-2019
  • Kirjastus: Routledge
  • ISBN-13: 9781315406282

In recent decades, science has experienced a revolutionary shift. The development and extensive application of computer modelling and simulation has transformed the knowledge-making practices of scientific fields as diverse as astro-physics, genetics, robotics and demography. This epistemic transformation has brought with it a simultaneous heightening of political relevance and a renewal of international policy agendas, raising crucial questions about the nature and application of simulation knowledges throughout public policy.

Through a diverse range of case studies, spanning over a century of theoretical and practical developments in the atmospheric and environmental sciences, this book argues that computer modelling and simulation have substantially changed scientific and cultural practices and shaped the emergence of novel ‘cultures of prediction’.

Making an innovative, interdisciplinary contribution to understanding the impact of computer modelling on research practice, institutional configurations and broader cultures, this volume will be essential reading for anyone interested in the past, present and future of climate change and the environmental sciences.

Preface ix
About the authors x
1 Introduction
1(17)
Matthias Heymann
Gabriele Gramelsberger
Martin Mahony
2 Key characteristics of cultures of prediction
18(25)
Matthias Heymann
Gabriele Gramelsberger
Martin Mahony
PART I Junctions: Science and politics of prediction
43(94)
3 Calculating the weather: Emerging cultures of prediction in late nineteenth- and early twentieth-century Europe
45(23)
Gabriele Gramelsberger
4 Which design for a weather predictor? Speculating on the future of electronic forecasting in post-war America
68(17)
Christoph Rosol
5 A new climate Hubert H. Lamb and boundary work at the UK Meteorological Office
85(15)
Janet Martin-Nielsen
6 From heuristic to predictive: Making climate models into political instruments
100(20)
Matthias Heymann
Nils Randlev Hundebøl
7 How to develop climate models? The "gamble" of improving climate model parameterizations
120(17)
Helene Guillemot
PART II Challenges and debates: Negotiating and using simulation knowledge
137(116)
8 The (re)emergence of regional climate: Mobile models, regional visions and the government of climate change
139(20)
Martin Mahony
9 Bellwether, exceptionalism, and other tropes: Political coproduction of arctic climate modeling
159(19)
Nina Wormbs
Ralf Doscher
Annika E. Nilsson
Sverker Sorlin
10 From predictive to instructive: Using models for geoengineering
178(17)
Johann Feichter
Markus Quante
11 Validating models in the face of uncertainty: Geotechnical engineering and dike vulnerability in the Netherlands
195(19)
Matthijs Kouw
12 Tracing uncertainty management through four IPCC Assessment Reports and beyond
214(17)
Catharina Landstrom
13 The future face of the Earth: The visual semantics of the future in the climate change imagery of the IPCC
231(22)
Birgit Schneider
Index 253
Matthias Heymann is Associate Professor for the history of science and technology at the Centre for Science Studies, Aarhus University, Denmark.

Gabriele Gramelsberger is a Professor for philosophy of digital media at the University Witten/Herdecke, Germany.



Martin Mahony is a British Academy Postdoctoral Fellow in the School of Geography, University of Nottingham.