| Foreword |
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xix | |
| Preface |
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xxi | |
| Acknowledgments |
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xxv | |
| Chapter 1 An Introduction to Risk Assessment with a Nod to History |
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1 | (62) |
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1.1 Risk Assessment: Does Consistency Achieve the Goal of Fairness? |
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1 | (5) |
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1.1.1 Formaldehyde: A Cautionary Tale |
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4 | (1) |
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5 | (1) |
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1.2 Knowledge versus Fear: The Precautionary Principle and Unintended Consequences |
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6 | (1) |
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1.3 The History of Environmental Risk Assessment in the United States |
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7 | (3) |
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1.3.1 Risk Assessment under NEPA |
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7 | (2) |
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1.3.2 The Events of the Late 1960s Facilitated the Passage of NEPA |
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9 | (1) |
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1.4 How Much Risk Is Enough? |
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10 | (2) |
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1.5 Risk Assessment Recommendations from the US National Academies of Sciences and Other Government Entities |
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12 | (17) |
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1.5.1 The Environmental Risk Assessment Paradigm as Defined in Risk Assessment in the Federal Government: Managing the Process, the National Research Council"s 1983 "Red Book" |
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12 | (2) |
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1.5.2 The Clean Air Act (CAA), EPA"s 1989 Risk Assessment Guidance for Superfund (RAGS), and Other Guidelines |
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14 | (2) |
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1.5.3 Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment: The National Research Council"s 1994 "Blue Book" |
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16 | (4) |
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1.5.3.1 EPA"s Use of Defaults per the "Blue Book" |
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16 | (1) |
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1.5.3.2 Validation of Models, Methods, and Data |
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16 | (2) |
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1.5.3.3 Information and Data Needs |
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18 | (1) |
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1.5.3.4 Accounting for Uncertainty |
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19 | (1) |
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1.5.3.5 Understanding and Dealing with Variability |
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19 | (1) |
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1.5.3.6 Aggregation of Risks |
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20 | (1) |
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1.5.4 Framework for Environmental Risk Management: The 1997 Federal Commission Report |
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20 | (5) |
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1.5.4.1 Bias and Scientific Misconduct: Another Cautionary Tale |
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21 | (1) |
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1.5.4.2 Realism, Cost, and the Separation of Risk Assessment and Risk Management |
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22 | (1) |
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1.5.4.3 EPA Addresses Variability and Uncertainty |
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23 | (1) |
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1.5.4.4 Compounding Conservatism |
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24 | (1) |
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1.5.5 Circular A-4 from the Office of Management and Budget |
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25 | (1) |
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1.5.6 Science and Decisions: Advancing Risk Assessment: The National Research Council"s 2009 "Silver Book" |
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25 | (4) |
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1.5.6.1 Improvements in Problem Formulation |
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26 | (1) |
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1.5.6.2 Replacing Defaults with Data |
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26 | (1) |
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1.5.6.3 Controversies around "Silver Book" Recommendations for Dose-Response Assessment |
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26 | (2) |
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1.5.7 World Health Organization International Programme on Chemical Safety (WHO-IPCS) Guidance Document on Evaluating and Expressing Uncertainty in Hazard Characterization |
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28 | (1) |
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1.6 Risk Assessment as Practiced Internationally |
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29 | (3) |
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1.6.1 Will Risk Assessment in China Point the Way for the Developing World? |
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29 | (1) |
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1.6.2 Risk Assessment in the European Union |
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30 | (2) |
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1.6.3 Risk Assessment in Canada |
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32 | (1) |
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1.7 What Happens When Things Go Right |
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32 | (4) |
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1.7.1 The Sangamo-Weston Superfund Site |
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33 | (3) |
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1.7.2 Good Communication Is the Reason Things Go Right |
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36 | (1) |
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1.8 Perception Is Reality: Risk Communication and Stakeholder Participation |
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36 | (4) |
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1.8.1 Public Perception of Hexavalent Chromium: A Cautionary Tale |
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38 | (2) |
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1.8.2 Why the Movie Erin Brockovitch Changed the Public"s View of Chromium |
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40 | (1) |
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1.9 Association versus Causation |
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40 | (3) |
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1.10 Key Concepts in Modern Risk Assessment |
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43 | (2) |
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43 | (1) |
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1.10.2 Point of Departure |
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43 | (1) |
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1.10.3 Adverse Outcome Pathway (AOP) |
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44 | (1) |
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44 | (1) |
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1.10.5 Biomonitoring Equivalent (BE) |
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44 | (1) |
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1.10.6 Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic (PBPK) Modeling |
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44 | (1) |
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1.10.7 New Approach Methods (NAMs) |
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45 | (1) |
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45 | (2) |
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46 | (1) |
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1.11.2 Perfluorinated Chemicals (PFCs) |
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46 | (1) |
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1.12 Exercises for Thought and Discussion |
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47 | (1) |
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1.12.1 The Current Debate about Chemical Safety |
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47 | (1) |
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1.12.2 Risk Assessment History: Robert F. Kennedy"s Speech at the University of Kansas |
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48 | (1) |
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1.12.3 Animal and Human Carcinogens |
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48 | (1) |
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48 | (1) |
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48 | (15) |
| Chapter 2 Perception, Planning, and Scoping, Problem Formulation, and Hazard Identification: All Parts of Risk Assessment |
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63 | (50) |
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2.1 What Is Risk, and How Can We Estimate Risk? |
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63 | (5) |
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2.1.1 Three Types of Risk: Aleatory, Epistemic, and Ontological |
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64 | (1) |
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2.1.2 Risk of Being Struck by Lightning |
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64 | (4) |
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2.1.2.1 Frequentist or Actuarial Risk of Lightning |
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64 | (1) |
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2.1.2.2 Predicted Risk of Lightning: Using a Model |
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65 | (2) |
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2.1.2.3 Perceived Risk of Lightning |
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67 | (1) |
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2.1.2.4 Predicted Risk of Lightning While Swimming in an Indoor Pool |
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67 | (1) |
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2.2 Designing Risk Assessments: Planning and Scoping versus Problem Formulation |
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68 | (8) |
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2.2.1 History of Problem Formulation |
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69 | (1) |
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2.2.2 The Need for Problem Formulation Is Not Limited to Ecological Risk Assessment |
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70 | (2) |
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2.2.3 The Importance of Problem Formulation for All Risk Assessments |
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72 | (4) |
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76 | (6) |
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2.3.1 What Is Hazard Identification? |
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77 | (1) |
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2.3.2 Uncertainty Classifications Used in Hazard Identification |
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78 | (2) |
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80 | (2) |
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2.4 Epidemiologic Studies for Hazard Identification |
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82 | (7) |
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2.4.1 Biomonitoring and the Use of Biomarkers |
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82 | (1) |
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2.4.2 Biomarkers of Exposure and Biomarkers of Effect |
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83 | (2) |
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2.4.3 Historical Reconstruction of Exposure |
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85 | (3) |
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2.4.3.1 False Positives in Epidemiologic Studies |
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85 | (1) |
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2.4.3.2 Quantiles and Statistical Power |
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86 | (1) |
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2.4.3.3 Reverse Causation |
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87 | (1) |
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2.4.4 Example of Hazard Identification from Epidemiology |
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88 | (1) |
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2.5 Animal Bioassays as the Basis for Hazard Identification |
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89 | (1) |
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2.6 In Vitro Testing and Informatics as the Basis for Hazard Identification |
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90 | (4) |
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2.6.1 Toxicity Pathways, Adverse Outcome Pathways, and Mode of Action (MOA) |
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91 | (1) |
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2.6.2 Implementing Toxicity Testing in the 21st Century (TT21C) |
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92 | (1) |
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2.6.3 Can in Vitro Assays Cover All Toxicity Pathways? |
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92 | (1) |
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2.6.4 In Vitro Assays May in Time Be Useful for Hazard Characterization |
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93 | (1) |
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2.6.5 What Do in Vitro Assays Actually Measure, and How Should They Be Used? |
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93 | (1) |
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2.6.6 High-Throughput Exposure for Selecting Chemicals |
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94 | (1) |
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2.7 In Silico Prediction Models as the Basis for Hazard Identification |
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94 | (3) |
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2.7.1 Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship |
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95 | (1) |
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2.7.2 Read-Across: Using What Is Already Known |
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96 | (1) |
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2.7.3 Integrated Testing and Assessment |
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96 | (1) |
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97 | (1) |
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2.9 Exercises for Thought and Discussion |
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97 | (3) |
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2.9.1 Understanding Statistical Power |
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97 | (2) |
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2.9.2 Discussion of the Differences in Problem Formulation between NATO and the "Silver Book" |
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99 | (1) |
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2.9.3 Exploring QSAR, Part 1 |
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99 | (1) |
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2.9.4 Exploring QSAR, Part 2 |
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99 | (1) |
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2.9.5 Small World/Large World |
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99 | (1) |
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100 | (13) |
| Chapter 3 A Risk Analyst"s Toolbox |
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113 | (16) |
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3.1 Proof versus Inference: How Much Is Enough? |
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113 | (1) |
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3.2 Understanding and Communicating Uncertainty |
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114 | (1) |
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3.3 A Bayesian Perspective |
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115 | (2) |
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3.3.1 P-Values versus Larger World Inferences |
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116 | (1) |
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3.3.2 Systematic Review and Data Quality |
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116 | (1) |
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3.4 Value of Information: Just How Much Effort Does the Problem Formulation Support? |
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117 | (1) |
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3.4.1 Expert Elicitation and Structured Peer Review |
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117 | (1) |
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3.5 Computational Tools for a Risk Analyst |
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118 | (3) |
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3.5.1 The R Statistical Computing Language |
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118 | (1) |
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118 | (1) |
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3.5.3 Microsoft Excel and Add-Ins |
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118 | (1) |
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3.5.4 EPA"S Benchmark Dose Software |
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119 | (1) |
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3.5.5 PROAST: A BMDS Alternative |
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119 | (1) |
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3.5.6 Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic (PBPK) Modeling |
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119 | (2) |
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3.5.6.1 History of PBPK Modeling |
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119 | (1) |
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3.5.6.2 Software for PBPK Modeling |
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120 | (1) |
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3.6 Specific Methods and Algorithms |
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121 | (3) |
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3.6.1 Working with Probability Distributions |
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121 | (2) |
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3.6.1.1 The Uniform Distribution |
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122 | (1) |
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3.6.1.2 The Standard Normal Distribution |
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122 | (1) |
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3.6.1.3 The Normal Distribution |
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122 | (1) |
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3.6.1.4 The Lognormal Distribution |
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122 | (1) |
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3.6.1.5 The Weibull Distribution |
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123 | (1) |
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3.6.1.6 Correlations and Dependencies |
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123 | (1) |
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123 | (1) |
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3.7 Transparency and Communication of Modeling Results |
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124 | (1) |
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3.7.1 Exploration of a Range of Approaches |
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124 | (1) |
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3.7.2 Clarity and Transparency about Methods, Assumptions, and Data |
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124 | (1) |
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3.7.3 Taking Responsibility for the Choices Made |
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124 | (1) |
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125 | (1) |
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125 | (4) |
| Chapter 4 Exposure Assessment |
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129 | (62) |
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4.1 Scenarios and Receptors |
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129 | (2) |
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4.2 Individual and Population Exposure |
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131 | (6) |
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4.2.1 The Concept of Reasonable Maximum Exposure (RME) |
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132 | (2) |
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4.2.2 Matching Exposure Duration to the Adverse Effect |
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134 | (1) |
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4.2.3 Point-of-Contact Exposure |
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135 | (1) |
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4.2.4 Modeling Internal Exposure |
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135 | (1) |
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4.2.5 Biomonitoring and Biomarkers |
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135 | (1) |
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4.2.6 Natural Variation in Internal Exposure: The Problem of Reverse Causation |
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136 | (1) |
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4.3 Probabilistic Exposure Assessment: Frequency Distributions for Exposure Assessment |
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137 | (7) |
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4.3.1 The Lognormal Distribution |
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138 | (2) |
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4.3.2 Utility of the Johnson SB Distribution |
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140 | (2) |
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4.3.3 Other Useful Probability Distributions |
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142 | (2) |
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4.4 Common Sense Thinking about Exposure |
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144 | (3) |
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4.4.1 Common Sense about Variability |
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144 | (1) |
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4.4.2 Common Sense about Uncertainty |
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145 | (1) |
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4.4.3 Compounding Conservatism |
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146 | (1) |
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4.5 The Exposure Concentration Term |
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147 | (5) |
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147 | (1) |
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4.5.2 Random versus Non-Random Exposure |
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148 | (1) |
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4.5.3 Temporal and Spatial Variation in Concentration |
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148 | (3) |
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4.5.3.1 Variation of Concentrations in Soil and Sediment |
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149 | (1) |
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4.5.3.2 Variation of Concentrations in Groundwater |
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149 | (1) |
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4.5.3.3 Variation of Concentrations in Surface Water |
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150 | (1) |
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4.5.3.4 Variation of Concentrations in Fish |
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150 | (1) |
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4.5.3.5 Variation of Air Concentrations |
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150 | (1) |
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4.5.4 How to Estimate the Concentration Term |
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151 | (1) |
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4.6 Incidental Soil Ingestion |
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152 | (5) |
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4.6.1 Mass Balance of Fecal Tracers |
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153 | (1) |
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4.6.2 Microactivity Studies in Children |
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154 | (1) |
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4.6.3 Lead Biokinetic Estimates of Soil/Dust Ingestion |
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155 | (1) |
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4.6.4 Adult Soil Ingestion |
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156 | (1) |
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157 | (1) |
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4.6.6 Recent Work by EPA on Soil Ingestion |
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157 | (1) |
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4.7 Drinking Water Consumption |
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157 | (1) |
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4.8 Dermal Absorption of Chemicals |
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158 | (3) |
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4.8.1 Total and Regional Skin Surface Area |
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159 | (1) |
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4.8.2 Fates of Substances on the Skin |
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159 | (1) |
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4.8.3 Solid Materials Contacting the Skin |
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159 | (2) |
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4.8.3.1 Uncertainty in the Dermal Exposure to Solid Media |
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160 | (1) |
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4.8.4 Dissolved Substances Contacting the Skin |
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161 | (1) |
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161 | (6) |
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4.9.1 Gases, Vapors, and Particles |
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163 | (1) |
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4.9.2 Time-Averaging of Exposure Concentrations for Inhalation |
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164 | (1) |
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4.9.3 Outdoor Air Modeling |
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164 | (1) |
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4.9.4 Indoor Air Modeling |
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165 | (1) |
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166 | (1) |
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167 | (1) |
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4.11 The Exposome and Biomonitoring |
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168 | (1) |
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4.12 High-Throughput Exposure Estimation |
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169 | (1) |
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4.13 Exercises for Thought and Discussion |
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170 | (2) |
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4.13.1 Estimating Kp from Experiments with Coal Tar Shampoo |
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170 | (1) |
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4.13.2 Comparison of EPA"s Estimates of Fish Consumption Rates with the Recommended Daily Allowance for Protein |
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171 | (1) |
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4.13.3 Bootstrap Sampling |
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172 | (1) |
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172 | (19) |
| Chapter 5 Hazard Characterization and Dose-Response Assessment |
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191 | (84) |
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192 | (5) |
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5.1.1 Mode of Action and Cancer |
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192 | (2) |
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5.1.2 Mode of Action versus Mechanism of Action |
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194 | (1) |
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5.1.3 An Example of Mode of Action |
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195 | (1) |
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5.1.4 Applying the Mode of Action Concept |
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195 | (2) |
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5.1.4.1 Mode of Action of Oral Exposure to Hexavalent Chromium |
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196 | (1) |
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5.2 Non-Monotonic Dose Response, Thresholds, and Hormesis |
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197 | (1) |
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197 | (1) |
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5.2.2 Why Non-Monotonic Dose-Response Curves Appear |
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198 | (1) |
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5.3 Mode of Action Human Relevance Framework |
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198 | (10) |
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5.3.1 Counterfactual Identification of Key Events |
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199 | (1) |
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5.3.2 History of Mode of action |
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199 | (1) |
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5.3.3 Mode of Action and the Linear No-Threshold Hypothesis (LNT) |
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199 | (1) |
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5.3.4 MOA in Regulatory Guidance |
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200 | (1) |
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5.3.5 Tools for Understanding MOA |
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201 | (1) |
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5.3.6 Qualitative Concordance of Key Events between Humans and Animals |
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202 | (1) |
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5.3.7 Quantitative Concordance of the MOA between Humans and Animals |
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202 | (1) |
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5.3.8 Understanding MOA in Terms of Timing and Species Concordance |
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202 | (2) |
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5.3.9 Weight of Evidence Considerations |
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204 | (1) |
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5.3.10 Quantitative Dose-Response Modeling and Key Event Relationships |
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205 | (2) |
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5.3.11 MOA and High-Throughput in Vitro Testing |
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207 | (1) |
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5.4 Animal Toxicity Testing: Past and Future |
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208 | (3) |
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5.4.1 Animal Toxicity Tests |
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208 | (2) |
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5.4.1.1 Chronic Bioassays |
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208 | (1) |
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5.4.1.2 Developmental and Reproductive Toxicity Testing |
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209 | (1) |
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209 | (1) |
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5.4.1.4 Other Types of Testing |
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210 | (1) |
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5.4.2 Threshold of Toxicological Concern: A Simple and Pragmatic Risk-Based Screen That Uses Animal Testing Data |
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210 | (1) |
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5.5 Computational Methods in Hazard Assessment |
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211 | (4) |
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212 | (1) |
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5.5.1.1 An Early PBPK Model Is Still Used for Risk Assessment of Lead |
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213 | (1) |
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213 | (1) |
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5.5.3 Structure-Activity Relationships/Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationships |
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214 | (1) |
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215 | (1) |
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5.6 Deriving Toxicity Reference Values: Point of Departure, Low-Dose Extrapolation, and Species Extrapolation |
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215 | (21) |
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5.6.1 Reference Values and Tolerable Daily Intakes |
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216 | (9) |
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5.6.1.1 Choosing a Point of Departure for Threshold Effects |
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217 | (2) |
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5.6.1.2 Dose-Response Modeling for Threshold Continuous Effects |
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219 | (3) |
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5.6.1.3 Dose-Response Models Used for Continuous Responses |
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222 | (1) |
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5.6.1.4 Traditional Application of Uncertainty Factors |
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223 | (1) |
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5.6.1.5 Bayesian Methods for Application of Uncertainty Factors |
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224 | (1) |
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5.6.2 Cancer Slope Factors and Inhalation Unit Risks |
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225 | (10) |
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5.6.2.1 Why the Linear No-Threshold Hypothesis Is Wrong |
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229 | (1) |
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5.6.2.2 Low-Dose Synergies and the Hallmarks of Cancer: Another Incorrect Notion |
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230 | (1) |
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5.6.2.3 A Simpler Theory of Carcinogenesis |
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231 | (1) |
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5.6.2.4 Dose-Response Modeling for Dichotomous Effects |
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231 | (4) |
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5.6.3 Adjustments to the POD for Linear Extrapolation and Use of Uncertainty Factors |
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235 | (1) |
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5.6.3.1 Differences in Exposure Duration |
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235 | (1) |
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5.6.3.2 Allometric Scaling and Species Differences |
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236 | (1) |
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5.7 Toxicity Reference Values from Epidemiology Studies |
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236 | (2) |
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5.7.1 Dose-Response Modeling for Dichotomous Endpoints |
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236 | (2) |
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5.7.1.1 Measures of Response |
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237 | (1) |
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5.7.1.2 Exposure-Response Modeling |
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237 | (1) |
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5.7.1.3 Relative Risk and Extra Risk |
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237 | (1) |
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5.7.2 Dose-Response Modeling of Continuous Responses |
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238 | (1) |
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5.8 Toxicity Reference Values from High-Throughput in Vitro Studies |
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238 | (4) |
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5.9 Toxicity Factors Used for Regulation |
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242 | (2) |
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5.9.1 Toxicity Databases in the US and around the World |
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242 | (2) |
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244 | (3) |
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5.10.1 EPA"s Approach to Mixture Risk Assessment |
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245 | (1) |
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5.10.2 Approaches to Mixture Toxicity by the European Commission |
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|
245 | (1) |
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5.10.3 Up-to-Date Approaches to Mixture Risk Assessment from the Scientific Literature |
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246 | (1) |
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5.11 Adverse Outcome Pathways: A Chemical-Agnostic Approach |
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247 | (1) |
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5.11.1 Adverse Outcome Pathways and Mode of Action |
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248 | (1) |
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248 | (1) |
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5.13 Exercises for Thought and Discussion |
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248 | (2) |
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5.13.1 Benchmark Dose Modeling for a Cancer Endpoint |
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|
248 | (1) |
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5.13.2 Benchmark Dose Modeling for Non-Cancer Effects |
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249 | (1) |
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5.13.3 Comparison of Toxicity Criteria |
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249 | (1) |
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5.13.4 Grid Approximation to obtain a BMD/BMDL for a Continuous Endpoint |
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249 | (1) |
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250 | (25) |
| Chapter 6 Risk Characterization |
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275 | (90) |
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6.1 Quantitative Estimates of Risk |
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275 | (2) |
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6.1.1 Estimating Risk for Systemic Toxicants (Not Associated with Cancer) |
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276 | (1) |
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6.1.2 Estimating Risk for Chemicals Associated with Cancer |
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277 | (1) |
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6.2 Dealing with Uncertainty in Risk Estimates |
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277 | (3) |
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6.2.1 The Nature and Classification of Uncertainty |
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278 | (1) |
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6.2.2 Identification and Quantification of Uncertainty |
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279 | (1) |
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6.2.3 Presentation of Uncertainty in Risk Estimates |
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280 | (1) |
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6.2.4 Quantitative Assessment of Variability and Uncertainty |
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280 | (1) |
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6.3 Risk Assessment as a Design Problem |
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280 | (3) |
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6.3.1 Value of Information Analysis |
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281 | (1) |
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6.3.2 Additional Thoughts about Expert Elicitation |
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282 | (1) |
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6.3.2.1 Methods for Expert Elicitation |
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282 | (1) |
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6.4 Comparison to Background |
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283 | (1) |
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6.4.1 Comparison to Background at Hazardous Waste Sites |
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283 | (1) |
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6.4.2 Comparison to Background Exposures Based on Biomonitoring Data |
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283 | (1) |
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6.4.3 Comparison to Background Incidence of Health Effects |
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284 | (1) |
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6.5 Risk Assessments for Environmental Contamination |
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284 | (61) |
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6.5.1 Consumption of Contaminated Fish |
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284 | (22) |
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6.5.1.1 Selection of COPCs |
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286 | (1) |
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6.5.1.2 Reduction in Total Toxaphene Concentrations in All Fish |
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286 | (1) |
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6.5.1.3 Concentrations in Fish |
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287 | (1) |
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6.5.1.4 Exposure Assessment: Human Factors |
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287 | (10) |
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6.5.1.5 Toxicity Assessment |
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297 | (4) |
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6.5.1.6 Risk Assessment Results |
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301 | (1) |
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6.5.1.7 Uncertainty Characterization |
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301 | (5) |
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6.5.1.8 Risk Assessment and Risk Management |
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306 | (1) |
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6.5.2 Arsenic at a Former Gold Mine Proposed as a National Historic Site |
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306 | (39) |
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6.5.2.1 Conceptual Site Model for the Gold Mine Site |
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307 | (2) |
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6.5.2.2 Exposure Units (EUs) |
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309 | (1) |
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6.5.2.3 Data Analysis and Selection of COPCs |
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310 | (11) |
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6.5.2.4 Exposure Assessment |
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321 | (1) |
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6.5.2.5 Exposure Assumptions |
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321 | (8) |
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6.5.2.6 Exposure Pathways and Receptors |
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329 | (1) |
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6.5.2.7 Bioavailability of Arsenic |
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330 | (1) |
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6.5.2.8 Toxicity Assessment |
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331 | (2) |
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6.5.2.9 Risk Assessment Results |
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333 | (9) |
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6.5.2.10 Characterization of Uncertainty |
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342 | (1) |
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6.5.2.11 Conclusions from the Gold Mine Risk Assessment |
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343 | (1) |
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6.5.2.12 Risk Characterization and Risk Management |
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|
344 | (1) |
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6.6 Risk Assessments Based on Epidemiologic Data |
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345 | (5) |
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6.6.1 Arsenic in Drinking Water and Lung Cancer |
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345 | (3) |
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6.6.2 Dioxin Exposure and the Risk of Congenital Hypothyroidism |
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348 | (2) |
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6.7 Holistic Approaches and the Need for Caution |
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|
350 | (3) |
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6.7.1 What Is a Holistic Risk Assessment? |
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351 | (2) |
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6.7.1.1 Endogenous Exposures: A Problem to Be Formulated |
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352 | (1) |
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353 | (1) |
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6.9 Exercises for Thought and Discussion |
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353 | (1) |
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6.9.1 Working with PROUCL |
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353 | (1) |
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6.9.2 The Use of Alternate Toxicity Criteria |
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353 | (1) |
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6.9.3 Calculation of Fish Advisories |
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354 | (1) |
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354 | (11) |
| Chapter 7 Ecological Risk Assessment |
|
365 | (66) |
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7.1 EPA Guidance for Ecological Risk Assessment |
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|
367 | (3) |
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7.2 The Eight Steps Outlined in the Process Document |
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370 | (9) |
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7.2.1 Step 1: Screening Level Problem Formulation and Ecological Effects Evaluation |
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|
370 | (3) |
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7.2.1.1 Sources of Ecological Screening Values |
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|
371 | (1) |
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7.2.1.2 Ecological Screening Benchmarks for Surface Water |
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371 | (1) |
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7.2.1.3 Ecological Screening Benchmarks for Soil |
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371 | (1) |
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7.2.1.4 Ecological Screening Benchmarks for Sediment |
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372 | (1) |
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7.2.1.5 Natural Resource Trustees |
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373 | (1) |
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7.2.2 Step 2: Screening Level Exposure Estimate and Risk Calculation |
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373 | (1) |
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7.2.3 Step 3: Baseline Risk Assessment Problem Formulation |
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374 | (3) |
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375 | (1) |
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375 | (2) |
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7.2.4 Step 4: Study Design and Data Quality Objective Process |
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|
377 | (1) |
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7.2.5 Step 5: Field Verification of Sampling Design |
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|
377 | (1) |
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7.2.6 Step 6: Site Investigation and Analysis Phase |
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|
378 | (1) |
|
7.2.7 Step 7: Risk Characterization |
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|
379 | (1) |
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7.3 Screening Ecological Risk Assessment for a Former Manufactured Gas Plant in a Railroad Yard |
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|
379 | (46) |
|
7.3.1 Ecological Risk Assessment of Polychlorinated Dibenzo Dioxins and Furans (PCDD/Fs) |
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|
380 | (1) |
|
7.3.2 Ecological Risk Assessment of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons and Polychlorinated Biphenyls |
|
|
381 | (1) |
|
7.3.3 Bioaccumulation of Contaminants |
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|
382 | (1) |
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383 | (1) |
|
7.3.5 Scientific Management Decision Point #1 |
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|
383 | (37) |
|
7.3.6 Assessment and Measurement Endpoints |
|
|
420 | (1) |
|
7.3.7 Toxicity Reference Values |
|
|
421 | (1) |
|
7.3.8 Risk Assessment Results |
|
|
422 | (2) |
|
7.3.8.1 Development of Exposure Concentrations |
|
|
422 | (1) |
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422 | (2) |
|
7.3.8.3 Risk to Great Blue Heron |
|
|
424 | (1) |
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424 | (1) |
|
7.3.9 Scientific Management Decision Point #2 |
|
|
424 | (1) |
|
7.4 Exercises for Thought and Discussion |
|
|
425 | (1) |
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|
425 | (1) |
|
7.4.2 Toxicity Equivalence Factors for Wildlife |
|
|
425 | (1) |
|
7.4.3 Ecological Risk Assessment of the Former Gold Mine |
|
|
426 | (1) |
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|
426 | (5) |
| Chapter 8 Bias, Conflict of Interest, Ignorance, and Uncertainty: Where Are We Heading? |
|
431 | (44) |
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|
431 | (7) |
|
8.1.1 Fear and Possibilistic Thinking |
|
|
432 | (3) |
|
8.1.2 Key Characteristics of Carcinogens and IARC Monographs |
|
|
435 | (2) |
|
8.1.3 Risk Assessment Is about Probabilities, Not Possibilities |
|
|
437 | (1) |
|
8.2 21st-Century Risk Assessment: New Data Sources and New Methods |
|
|
438 | (15) |
|
8.2.1 Toxicity Testing in the 21st Century |
|
|
438 | (7) |
|
8.2.1.1 Details of ToxCast™ |
|
|
439 | (4) |
|
8.2.1.2 Knowledge of Mode of Action Is Necessary to Understand and Use ToxCast™ Results |
|
|
443 | (1) |
|
8.2.1.3 Early Prediction Models |
|
|
444 | (1) |
|
8.2.1.4 How Many Toxicity Pathways: Are They All Covered by ToxCast™? |
|
|
444 | (1) |
|
8.2.2 Science and Decisions: Advancing Risk Assessment-the "Silver Book" |
|
|
445 | (3) |
|
8.2.2.1 Improvements in Problem Formulation |
|
|
445 | (1) |
|
8.2.2.2 Replacing Defaults with Data |
|
|
446 | (1) |
|
8.2.2.3 "Silver Book" Recommendations for Dose Response |
|
|
446 | (1) |
|
8.2.2.4 Separating Incidence and Severity |
|
|
447 | (1) |
|
8.2.3 Cumulative Risk Assessment |
|
|
448 | (1) |
|
8.2.4 The Alliance for Risk Assessment |
|
|
449 | (1) |
|
8.2.5 Exposure: Should We Even Care about Toxicity? |
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|
449 | (2) |
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|
|
451 | (1) |
|
8.2.7 The Advent of Evidence-Based Toxicology |
|
|
452 | (1) |
|
8.3 Obstacles to the Advancement of Risk Assessment |
|
|
453 | (7) |
|
8.3.1 Conflict of Interest (COI) and Bias: They"re Everywhere! |
|
|
453 | (3) |
|
8.3.1.1 Shielding Oneself from Bias |
|
|
455 | (1) |
|
8.3.2 Misinformation and the Lack of Scientific Literacy |
|
|
456 | (4) |
|
8.3.2.1 Lightning Revisited |
|
|
456 | (2) |
|
8.3.2.2 So What Do Attorneys Know about Formaldehyde? |
|
|
458 | (1) |
|
8.3.2.3 Genetically Modified Organisms and European Agriculture |
|
|
458 | (2) |
|
8.3.3 All the Uncertainty You Could Want |
|
|
460 | (1) |
|
|
|
460 | (1) |
|
8.5 Exercises for Thought and Discussion |
|
|
461 | (1) |
|
8.5.1 Exploring the Three Conceptual Models for Dose Response from the "Silver Book" |
|
|
461 | (1) |
|
8.5.2 Conflict of Interest: Your Own Investigation |
|
|
461 | (1) |
|
8.5.3 Cumulative Risk Assessment |
|
|
461 | (1) |
|
8.5.4 Your Own Investigation of Bias |
|
|
462 | (1) |
|
|
|
462 | (13) |
| Chapter 9 Emerging Risks and Final Thoughts |
|
475 | (10) |
|
9.1 Risk from Epigenetic Effects |
|
|
475 | (2) |
|
9.1.1 Risk Assessment Based on Epigenetics |
|
|
476 | (1) |
|
9.2 Pharmaceuticals in the Environment |
|
|
477 | (2) |
|
9.2.1 Screening RfDs (sRfDs) for Pharmaceuticals in Drinking Water |
|
|
478 | (1) |
|
9.2.2 Are the Large UFs Sufficient to Account for Serotonin Syndrome? |
|
|
478 | (1) |
|
9.2.3 An Unrecognized Risk from Drugs in Drinking Water |
|
|
478 | (1) |
|
|
|
479 | (1) |
|
|
|
480 | (1) |
|
|
|
480 | (5) |
| Index |
|
485 | |