Foreword |
|
xi | |
|
Introduction |
|
xv | |
Notations and Acronyms |
|
xxi | |
Chapter 1 Factor Models and General Definition |
|
1 | (22) |
|
|
1 | (1) |
|
1.2 What are factor models? |
|
|
2 | (5) |
|
|
2 | (2) |
|
1.2.2 Factor representation |
|
|
4 | (3) |
|
1.3 Why factor models in finance? |
|
|
7 | (4) |
|
|
7 | (3) |
|
1.3.2 Optimal portfolio allocation |
|
|
10 | (1) |
|
1.4 How to build factor models? |
|
|
11 | (3) |
|
|
11 | (2) |
|
1.4.2 Parameters estimation |
|
|
13 | (1) |
|
1.5 Historical perspective |
|
|
14 | (4) |
|
1.5.1 CAPM and Sharpe's market model |
|
|
14 | (3) |
|
1.5.2 APT for arbitrage pricing theory |
|
|
17 | (1) |
|
|
18 | (5) |
Chapter 2 Factor Selection |
|
23 | (36) |
|
|
23 | (1) |
|
|
24 | (7) |
|
2.2.1 Fama and French model |
|
|
25 | (1) |
|
2.2.2 The Chen et al. model |
|
|
26 | (1) |
|
2.2.3 The risk-based factor model of Fung and Hsieh |
|
|
27 | (4) |
|
2.3 Quantitative methods based on eigenfactors |
|
|
31 | (5) |
|
|
32 | (1) |
|
2.3.2 Subspace methods: the Principal Component Analysis |
|
|
33 | (3) |
|
|
36 | (2) |
|
2.4.1 Information criteria |
|
|
36 | (2) |
|
2.5 Appendix 1: Covariance matrix estimation |
|
|
38 | (8) |
|
|
39 | (1) |
|
2.5.2 Sample covariance matrix |
|
|
40 | (3) |
|
2.5.3 Robust covariance matrix estimation: M-estimators |
|
|
43 | (3) |
|
2.6 Appendix 2: Similarity of the eigenfactor selection with the MUSIC algorithm |
|
|
46 | (2) |
|
2.7 Appendix 3: Large panel data |
|
|
48 | (8) |
|
2.7.1 Large panel data criteria |
|
|
49 | (7) |
|
|
56 | (3) |
Chapter 3 Least Squares Estimation (LSE) and Kalman Filtering (KF) for Factor Modeling: A Geometrical Perspective |
|
59 | (58) |
|
|
59 | (1) |
|
3.2 Why LSE and KF in factor modeling? |
|
|
60 | (2) |
|
3.2.1 Factor model per return |
|
|
60 | (1) |
|
3.2.2 Alpha and beta estimation per return |
|
|
61 | (1) |
|
|
62 | (1) |
|
3.3.1 Current observation window and block processing |
|
|
62 | (1) |
|
|
62 | (1) |
|
3.4 LSE objective and criterion |
|
|
63 | (1) |
|
3.5 How LSE is working (for LSE users and programmers) |
|
|
64 | (1) |
|
3.6 Interpretation of the LSE solution |
|
|
65 | (5) |
|
|
65 | (1) |
|
3.6.2 Geometrical interpretation of LSE |
|
|
66 | (4) |
|
3.7 Derivations of LSE solution |
|
|
70 | (1) |
|
3.8 Why KF and which setup? |
|
|
71 | (3) |
|
3.8.1 LSE method does not provide a recursive estimate |
|
|
71 | (1) |
|
3.8.2 The state space model and its recursive component |
|
|
72 | (1) |
|
3.8.3 Parsimony and orthogonality assumptions |
|
|
73 | (1) |
|
3.9 What are the main properties of the KF model? |
|
|
74 | (2) |
|
3.9.1 Self-aggregation feature |
|
|
74 | (1) |
|
|
75 | (1) |
|
3.9.3 Innovation property |
|
|
75 | (1) |
|
3.10 What is the objective of KF? |
|
|
76 | (1) |
|
3.11 How does the KF work (for users and programmers)? |
|
|
77 | (4) |
|
|
77 | (3) |
|
3.11.2 Initialization of the KF recursive equations |
|
|
80 | (1) |
|
3.12 Interpretation of the KF updates |
|
|
81 | (5) |
|
3.12.1 Prediction filtering, equation [ 3.34] |
|
|
81 | (1) |
|
3.12.2 Prediction accuracy processing, equation [ 3.35] |
|
|
82 | (1) |
|
3.12.3 Correction filtering equations [ 3.36]-[ 3.37] |
|
|
83 | (1) |
|
3.12.4 Correction accuracy processing, equation [ 3.38] |
|
|
84 | (2) |
|
|
86 | (18) |
|
3.13.1 Comparison of the estimation methods on synthetic data |
|
|
86 | (6) |
|
3.13.2 Market risk hedging given a single-factor model |
|
|
92 | (5) |
|
3.13.3 Hedge fund style analysis using a multi-factor model |
|
|
97 | (7) |
|
3.14 Geometrical derivation of KF updating equations |
|
|
104 | (8) |
|
3.14.1 Geometrical interpretation of MSE criterion and the MMSE solution |
|
|
104 | (2) |
|
3.14.2 Derivation of the prediction filtering update |
|
|
106 | (1) |
|
3.14.3 Derivation of the prediction accuracy update |
|
|
106 | (1) |
|
3.14.4 Derivation of the correction filtering update |
|
|
107 | (4) |
|
3.14.5 Derivation of the correction accuracy update |
|
|
111 | (1) |
|
|
112 | (4) |
|
3.16 Appendix: Matrix inversion lemma |
|
|
116 | (1) |
Chapter 4 A Regularized Kalman Filter (rgKF) for Spiky Data |
|
117 | (16) |
|
|
117 | (2) |
|
4.2 Preamble: statistical evidence on the KF recursive equations |
|
|
119 | (1) |
|
|
119 | (2) |
|
|
119 | (2) |
|
4.4 rgKF: the rgKF(NG,lq) |
|
|
121 | (7) |
|
|
121 | (4) |
|
|
125 | (3) |
|
4.5 Application to detect irregularities in hedge fund returns |
|
|
128 | (2) |
|
|
130 | (1) |
|
|
130 | (3) |
Appendix: Some Probability Densities |
|
133 | (8) |
Conclusion |
|
141 | (2) |
Bibliography |
|
143 | (10) |
Index |
|
153 | |