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xi | |
Preface |
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xiii | |
Acknowledgements |
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xiv | |
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1 | (44) |
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3 | (31) |
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1.1 Why the tropics matter |
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3 | (5) |
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1.1.1 Defining the tropics |
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3 | (1) |
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1.1.2 Importance of the tropics |
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4 | (4) |
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8 | (5) |
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1.2.1 Early ideas about tropical environmental change |
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8 | (1) |
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1.2.2 The twentieth century revolution |
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9 | (3) |
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1.2.3 Advances in modelling |
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12 | (1) |
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1.3 Establishment of the tropical climate system |
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13 | (4) |
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1.4 Drivers of tropical environmental change |
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17 | (3) |
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1.5 The tropics as drivers of change |
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20 | (4) |
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1.5.1 The tropics and greenhouse gas concentrations |
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20 | (2) |
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1.5.2 Impacts of low latitude volcanic eruptions |
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22 | (1) |
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1.5.3 Dust emissions from the tropics and subtropics |
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23 | (1) |
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1.6 Extra-tropical forcing |
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24 | (1) |
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1.7 Organisation of the volume |
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24 | (10) |
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25 | (1) |
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25 | (9) |
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2 Contemporary climate and circulation of the tropics |
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34 | (11) |
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34 | (1) |
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2.2 Diurnal and local processes |
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34 | (1) |
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35 | (1) |
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2.4 Regional circulation systems |
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36 | (3) |
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36 | (1) |
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2.4.2 Subtropical highs and trade winds |
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37 | (1) |
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2.4.3 Equatorial trough zone |
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37 | (1) |
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38 | (1) |
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2.4.5 Equatorial zonal circulations |
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38 | (1) |
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39 | (3) |
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2.5.1 Southern Oscillation and El Nino |
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39 | (1) |
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40 | (1) |
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41 | (1) |
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41 | (1) |
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2.5.5 Timescales of variability |
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42 | (1) |
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42 | (3) |
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42 | (3) |
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II Regional environmental change |
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45 | (268) |
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47 | (32) |
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3.1 Tropical oceans in the global climate system |
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47 | (8) |
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47 | (3) |
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3.1.2 El Nino-Southern Oscillation and its relatives |
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50 | (1) |
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3.1.3 Solar and volcanic radiative forcing of tropical oceans |
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51 | (2) |
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3.1.4 Tropical oceans and monsoons |
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53 | (1) |
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3.1.5 The tropical oceans as part of the global conveyor belt |
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53 | (2) |
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3.2 Reconstructing past ocean conditions |
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55 | (2) |
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3.2.1 Proxies for SST and SSS |
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55 | (2) |
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3.2.2 Reconstructing continental climate using marine archives |
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57 | (1) |
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3.3 Tropical oceans throughout the Quaternary |
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57 | (3) |
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3.3.1 Glacial-interglacial cycles |
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57 | (1) |
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3.3.2 Early Quaternary (the `41-kyr world') |
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57 | (1) |
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3.3.3 Mid-Pleistocene Transition |
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58 | (2) |
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3.3.4 Late Quaternary (the `100-kyr world') |
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60 | (1) |
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60 | (8) |
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3.4.1 The Last Glacial Maximum |
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60 | (1) |
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3.4.2 Glacial termination: an active role for the tropics? |
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61 | (4) |
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3.4.3 History of the equatorial Pacific and the state of ENSO |
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65 | (1) |
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66 | (2) |
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68 | (11) |
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69 | (10) |
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79 | (72) |
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79 | (6) |
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4.2 Potential climate forcing factors |
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85 | (3) |
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4.3 Mediterranean North Africa |
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88 | (6) |
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4.3.1 Contemporary climate and sources of palaeoenvironmental information |
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88 | (1) |
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88 | (1) |
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4.3.3 The Last Glacial Maximum |
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89 | (3) |
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4.3.4 The last glacial-interglacial transition |
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92 | (1) |
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93 | (1) |
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4.4 The Sahara and the Sahel |
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94 | (9) |
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4.4.1 Contemporary climate and sources of palaeoenvironmental information |
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94 | (1) |
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95 | (1) |
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4.4.3 The Last Glacial Maximum |
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96 | (1) |
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4.4.4 The last glacial-interglacial transition |
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97 | (2) |
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99 | (4) |
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103 | (10) |
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4.5.1 Contemporary climate and sources of palaeoenvironmental information |
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103 | (1) |
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104 | (3) |
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4.5.3 The Last Glacial Maximum |
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107 | (2) |
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4.5.4 The last glacial-interglacial transition |
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109 | (1) |
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110 | (3) |
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113 | (14) |
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4.6.1 Contemporary climate and sources of palaeoenvironmental information |
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113 | (1) |
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113 | (5) |
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4.6.3 The Last Glacial Maximum |
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118 | (3) |
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4.6.4 The last glacial-interglacial transition |
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121 | (1) |
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122 | (5) |
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127 | (2) |
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4.8 Directions for future research |
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129 | (22) |
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129 | (22) |
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5 India, Arabia and adjacent regions |
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151 | (56) |
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151 | (2) |
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5.2 Quaternary of India and Tibet |
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153 | (23) |
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5.2.1 Arid and semi-arid regions |
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154 | (1) |
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154 | (5) |
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5.2.3 Aeolian dust (loess deposits) |
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159 | (1) |
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159 | (2) |
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161 | (5) |
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166 | (1) |
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167 | (1) |
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167 | (4) |
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171 | (5) |
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176 | (1) |
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5.3 Quaternary of the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal |
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176 | (1) |
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5.4 Quaternary of Arabia and the Middle East |
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177 | (15) |
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5.4.1 Fluvial (wadi) systems |
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179 | (1) |
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5.4.2 Lacustrine (and sabkha) records |
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180 | (2) |
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182 | (1) |
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183 | (4) |
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187 | (1) |
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5.4.6 Late Quaternary Persian (Arabian) Gulf |
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188 | (1) |
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5.4.7 Dating aeolian sediment supply |
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189 | (2) |
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5.4.8 Climatic optimum and modern Arabian civilisation |
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191 | (1) |
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5.4.9 Summary of environmental changes in Arabia and the Middle East |
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191 | (1) |
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192 | (15) |
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196 | (1) |
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196 | (11) |
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6 China and Southeast Asia |
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207 | (29) |
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6.1 The South and Southeast Asian region as a component of the Earth system |
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207 | (4) |
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6.2 Setting the stage for the Quaternary: environmental context and controls |
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211 | (3) |
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214 | (15) |
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214 | (7) |
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221 | (4) |
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6.3.3 Sundaland and Wallacea |
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225 | (4) |
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6.4 The Asian tropics during the Quaternary: driver of planetary change? |
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229 | (7) |
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230 | (6) |
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7 Australia and the southwest Pacific |
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236 | (27) |
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236 | (4) |
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7.2 Northeastern Australia |
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240 | (5) |
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240 | (4) |
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7.2.2 Suborbital timescale |
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244 | (1) |
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7.2.3 Termination 1 and the Holocene |
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244 | (1) |
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245 | (2) |
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245 | (1) |
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7.3.2 Termination 1 and the Holocene |
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246 | (1) |
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7.4 Northwestern Australia |
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247 | (2) |
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247 | (2) |
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7.4.2 Termination 1 and the Holocene |
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249 | (1) |
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249 | (2) |
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249 | (2) |
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7.5.2 Termination 1 and the Holocene |
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251 | (1) |
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251 | (2) |
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251 | (2) |
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7.6.2 Termination 1 and the Holocene |
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253 | (1) |
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7.7 Southwest Pacific Islands |
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253 | (1) |
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7.8 General discussion and conclusions |
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254 | (9) |
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254 | (1) |
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7.8.2 Late Quaternary cyclicity and abrupt events |
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255 | (1) |
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7.8.3 Late Quaternary climate alterations |
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256 | (2) |
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258 | (1) |
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258 | (5) |
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8 Latin America and the Caribbean |
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263 | (50) |
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263 | (1) |
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8.2 Precursor to the Quaternary |
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264 | (3) |
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8.2.1 Climatic consequences of closure of the Isthmus of Panama |
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267 | (1) |
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8.2.2 Biotic consequences of closure of the Isthmus of Panama |
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267 | (1) |
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267 | (4) |
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267 | (3) |
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8.3.2 The forcing of Neotropical climates |
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270 | (1) |
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8.4 Long term climate forcings and cycles |
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271 | (3) |
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271 | (1) |
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8.4.2 Precessional cycles and precipitation patterns |
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272 | (1) |
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8.4.3 Precession as a mixed signal |
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273 | (1) |
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8.5 Records of climate change |
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274 | (15) |
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8.5.1 Glacial advance and the LGM |
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274 | (2) |
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276 | (2) |
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8.5.3 Glacial-age precipitation |
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278 | (6) |
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8.5.4 The status of the refugial hypothesis of tropical diversity |
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284 | (2) |
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8.5.5 The last deglaciation |
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286 | (1) |
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8.5.6 The early-mid Holocene |
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287 | (2) |
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8.5.7 Late Holocene oscillations |
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289 | (1) |
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8.6 Other climate forcings |
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289 | (3) |
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8.6.1 Millennial-scale oscillations |
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289 | (2) |
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291 | (1) |
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8.6.3 El Nino-Southern Oscillation |
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292 | (1) |
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292 | (4) |
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292 | (1) |
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293 | (1) |
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293 | (1) |
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294 | (1) |
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8.7.5 Sedimentary records |
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295 | (1) |
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8.8 Climate and societies |
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296 | (2) |
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296 | (1) |
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297 | (1) |
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298 | (15) |
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301 | (1) |
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301 | (12) |
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313 | (99) |
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9 Modelling of tropical environments during the Quaternary |
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315 | (45) |
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315 | (1) |
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9.2 Tropical climate in the Holocene: response to orbital forcing |
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316 | (17) |
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316 | (1) |
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317 | (2) |
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9.2.3 SST response and oceanic feedback |
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319 | (5) |
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9.2.4 Precession forcing and obliquity forcing |
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324 | (6) |
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9.2.5 Ecosystem response and feedback |
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330 | (3) |
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9.3 Tropical climate at the LGM: the roles of GHGs and ice sheet forcing |
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333 | (6) |
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9.3.1 Greenhouse gases and ice sheet forcing |
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333 | (1) |
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9.3.2 Temperature response and climate sensitivity |
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333 | (5) |
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9.3.3 Monsoon and hydrological response |
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338 | (1) |
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9.3.4 Ecosystem response and feedbacks |
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339 | (1) |
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9.4 Tropical climate variability |
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339 | (10) |
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9.4.1 ENSO and ocean-atmosphere interaction |
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340 | (3) |
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9.4.2 Abrupt change of monsoon climate |
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343 | (1) |
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9.4.3 Tropical variability and its interaction with high-latitude variability |
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344 | (5) |
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9.5 Summary and further discussion |
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349 | (11) |
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349 | (1) |
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9.5.2 Other issues in Quaternary tropical climate modelling |
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350 | (1) |
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9.5.3 Climate models of intermediate complexity |
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350 | (1) |
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9.5.4 Perspective of Earth system modelling of past climate |
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351 | (1) |
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352 | (8) |
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10 Historical environmental change in the tropics |
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360 | (32) |
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360 | (1) |
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10.2 Climate change and society in the tropics in the last 1000 years |
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361 | (14) |
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10.2.1 Climate variability and harvest history in China |
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365 | (5) |
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10.2.2 Climate and crisis in colonial Mexico |
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370 | (5) |
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10.3 Exploring anthropogenic impacts in the tropics |
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375 | (7) |
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378 | (2) |
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10.3.2 Exploring pre- and post-conquest land use changes in central Mexico |
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380 | (2) |
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10.4 Recent and future environmental changes in the `vulnerable' tropics |
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382 | (10) |
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384 | (8) |
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11 Past environmental changes, future environmental challenges |
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392 | (20) |
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11.1 Patterns of tropical environmental change |
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392 | (9) |
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392 | (2) |
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11.1.2 Last Glacial Maximum |
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394 | (2) |
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11.1.3 The last deglaciation or last glacial-interglacial transition |
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396 | (2) |
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398 | (3) |
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401 | (1) |
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11.3 Future change in the tropics |
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402 | (4) |
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402 | (2) |
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404 | (2) |
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406 | (1) |
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11.4 The tropics as drivers of change |
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406 | (2) |
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408 | (4) |
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409 | (3) |
Index |
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412 | |