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E-raamat: Realistic Hope: Facing Global Challenges [Taylor & Francis e-raamat]

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  • Formaat: 280 pages
  • Ilmumisaeg: 29-Oct-2018
  • Kirjastus: Amsterdam University Press
  • ISBN-13: 9781003702290
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  • Formaat: 280 pages
  • Ilmumisaeg: 29-Oct-2018
  • Kirjastus: Amsterdam University Press
  • ISBN-13: 9781003702290
Teised raamatud teemal:
We are running out of water, robots will take our jobs, we are eating ourselves to an early death, old age pension and health systems are bankrupting governments, and an immigration crisis is unravelling the European integration project. A growing number of nightmares, perfect storms, and global catastrophes create fear of the future. One response is technocratic optimism - we'll invent our way out of these impending crises! Or we'll simply ignore them as politically too hot to handle, too uncomfortable for experts - denied until crisis hits. History is littered with late lessons from early warnings. Populism flourishes in the depths of despair. Despite the gloom, there is another way to look at the future. We don't have to be pessimistic or optimistic - we can find realistic hope. Where does this hope come from? From future-oriented thinkers who do not ignore reality, but taking these challenges into account, realise the possibility of making a better future for many more people. Realistic Hope is written by an international and influential collection of future shapers. It is aimed at anyone who is interested in learning to use open futures thinking to refresh the present, forge new, common ground, and redesign destiny.

We are running out of water, robots will take our jobs, we are eating ourselves to an early death, old age pension and health systems are bankrupting governments, and an immigration crisis is unravelling the European integration project. A growing number of nightmares, perfect storms, and global catastrophes create fear of the future. One response is technocratic optimism — we’ll invent our way out of these impending crises. Or we’ll simply ignore them as politically too hot to handle, too uncomfortable for experts — denied until crisis hits. History is littered with late lessons from early warnings. Cynicism is an excuse for inaction. Populism flourishes in the depths of despair. Despite the gloom, there is another way to look at the future. We don’t have to be pessimistic or optimistic — we can find realistic hope.This book is written by an international and influential collection of future shapers. It is aimed at anyone who is interested in learning to refresh the present, forge new common ground, and redesign the future.
Foreword: Realising Hope 9(6)
Ged R. Davis
Introduction: Building Better Futures 15(4)
Angela Wilkinson
Betty Sue Flowers
1 Making Globalisation Work
19(18)
Carl J. Dahlman
2 Energy: A Better Life with a Healthy Planet
37(16)
Jeremy Bentham
3 Are Major Wars More Likely in the Future?
53(14)
Joelle Jenny
Alyssa Stalsberg Canelli
4 The Future of Work
67(12)
Peter Schwartz
5 Digital Technologies: Every Cloud Has a Silver Lining
79(18)
Claire Naughtin
Stefan Hajkowicz
6 Cities to the Rescue: A New Scale for Dealing with Climate Change
97(18)
Keith Clarke
Viviana Jimenez
Tim O'Riordan
7 The Future of Global Poverty
115(20)
Claudia Juech
Chukwudi Onike
8 Transcending Boundaries: The Realistic Hope for Water
135(16)
Alejandro Litovsky
9 Health Systems: Doomed to Fail or About to Be Saved by a Copernican Shift?
151(14)
Kristel Van der Elst
Rudi Pauwels
10 Seeding the Future: Challenges to Global Food Systems
165(22)
Ariella Helfgott
Joost Vervoort
11 The Great Livestock Trade-off: Food Production, Poverty Alleviation, and Climate Change
187(16)
Luke York
Claire Heffernan
12 Rethinking Economics for Global Challenges
203(16)
Christian Kastrop
13 Leadership and the Future of Democratic Societies
219(20)
Martin Mayer
Verena Ringier
14 Prototyping the Future: A New Approach to Whole-ot-Society Visioning
239(20)
Alenka Smerkolj
Timotej Soos
Five Principles of Realistic Hope 259(4)
Angela Wilkinson
Betty Sue Flowers
Epilogue: From the Eclipse of Utopia to the Restoration of Hope 263(6)
Jay Ogilvy
Acknowledgements 269(2)
Name Index 271(2)
Subject Index 273
Angela Wilkinson, PhD (Physics), is Associate Fellow, Said Business School, University of Oxford and former Director of Foresight for the OECD. She is a recognised and respected global leading scholar and practitioner in scenario planning and foresight. She spent a decade in Shell's global scenario team. Betty Sue Flowers, PhD (Literature), is Professor Emeritus at UT-Austin and former Director of the Johnson Presidential Library. She has served as a moderator for executive seminars at the Aspen Institute, consultant for NASA, CIA, and the Secretary of the Navy, and scenario writer for organizations including Shell, the OAS, Eskom, IPIECA, and the WBCSD.