| Preface |
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xi | |
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1 | (18) |
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1.1 Why spatial and spatio-temporal statistics? |
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1 | (1) |
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1.2 Why do we use Bayesian methods for modeling spatial and spatio-temporal structures? |
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2 | (1) |
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3 | (1) |
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3 | (16) |
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1.4.1 National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study |
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4 | (1) |
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1.4.2 Average income in Swedish municipalities |
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4 | (1) |
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1.4.3 Stroke in Sheffield |
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5 | (1) |
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6 | (1) |
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1.4.5 CD4 in HIV patients |
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6 | (1) |
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1.4.6 Lip cancer in Scotland |
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7 | (1) |
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8 | (1) |
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1.4.8 Brain cancer in Navarra, Spain |
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9 | (1) |
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1.4.9 Respiratory hospital admission in Turin province |
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10 | (1) |
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1.4.10 Malaria in the Gambia |
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11 | (1) |
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1.4.11 Swiss rainfall data |
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11 | (2) |
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1.4.12 Lung cancer mortality in Ohio |
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13 | (1) |
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1.4.13 Low birth weight births in Georgia |
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14 | (1) |
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1.4.14 Air pollution in Piemonte |
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14 | (5) |
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19 | (28) |
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19 | (1) |
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20 | (11) |
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2.3 Data and session management |
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31 | (1) |
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32 | (1) |
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33 | (2) |
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2.6 Basic statistical analysis with R |
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35 | (12) |
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3 Introduction to Bayesian methods |
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47 | (28) |
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47 | (4) |
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3.1.1 Thomas Bayes and Simon Pierre Laplace |
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47 | (2) |
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3.1.2 Bruno de Finetti and colleagues |
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49 | (1) |
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3.1.3 After the Second World War |
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49 | (1) |
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3.1.4 The 1990s and beyond |
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50 | (1) |
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3.2 Basic probability elements |
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51 | (5) |
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51 | (1) |
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3.2.2 Probability of events |
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51 | (3) |
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3.2.3 Conditional probability |
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54 | (2) |
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56 | (1) |
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3.4 Prior and posterior distributions |
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57 | (3) |
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58 | (2) |
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3.5 Working with the posterior distribution |
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60 | (1) |
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3.6 Choosing the prior distribution |
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61 | (14) |
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3.6.1 Type of distribution |
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62 | (5) |
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67 | (1) |
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3.6.3 Noninformative or informative prior |
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67 | (8) |
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75 | (52) |
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4.1 Monte Carlo integration |
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75 | (2) |
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4.2 Monte Carlo method for Bayesian inference |
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77 | (1) |
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4.3 Probability distributions and random number generation in R |
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78 | (2) |
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4.4 Examples of Monte Carlo simulation |
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80 | (9) |
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4.5 Markov chain Monte Carlo methods |
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89 | (15) |
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91 | (6) |
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4.5.2 Metropolis---Hastings algorithm |
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97 | (6) |
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4.5.3 MCMC implementation: software and output analysis |
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103 | (1) |
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4.6 The integrated nested Laplace approximations algorithm |
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104 | (1) |
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4.7 Laplace approximation |
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105 | (7) |
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4.7.1 INLA setting: the class of latent Gaussian models |
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107 | (2) |
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4.7.2 Approximate Bayesian inference with INLA |
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109 | (3) |
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112 | (6) |
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4.9 How INLA works: step-by-step example |
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118 | (9) |
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5 Bayesian regression and hierarchical models |
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127 | (46) |
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128 | (4) |
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5.1.1 Comparing the Bayesian to the classical regression model |
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128 | (2) |
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5.1.2 Example: studying the relationship between temperature and PM10 |
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130 | (2) |
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5.2 Nonlinear regression: random walk |
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132 | (6) |
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5.2.1 Example: studying the relationship between average household age and income in Sweden |
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136 | (2) |
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5.3 Generalized linear models |
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138 | (7) |
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145 | (17) |
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148 | (2) |
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5.4.2 INLA as a hierarchical model |
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150 | (1) |
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5.4.3 Hierarchical regression |
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151 | (3) |
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5.4.4 Example: a hierarchical model for studying CD4 counts in AIDS patients |
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154 | (2) |
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5.4.5 Example: a hierarchical model for studying lip cancer in Scotland |
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156 | (5) |
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5.4.6 Example: studying stroke mortality in Sheffield (UK) |
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161 | (1) |
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162 | (3) |
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5.6 Model checking and selection |
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165 | (8) |
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5.6.1 Methods based on the predictive distribution |
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166 | (3) |
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5.6.2 Methods based on the deviance |
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169 | (4) |
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173 | (62) |
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176 | (10) |
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177 | (2) |
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6.1.2 BYM model: suicides in London |
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179 | (7) |
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6.2 Ecological regression |
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186 | (2) |
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188 | (5) |
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6.3.1 Zero-inflated Poisson model: brain cancer in Navarra |
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188 | (2) |
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6.3.2 Zero-inflated binomial model: air pollution and respiratory hospital admissions |
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190 | (3) |
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193 | (1) |
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6.5 The stochastic partial differential equation approach |
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194 | (4) |
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6.5.1 Nonstationary Gaussian field |
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197 | (1) |
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198 | (1) |
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6.7 SPDE toy example with simulated data |
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199 | (9) |
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200 | (4) |
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6.7.2 The observation or projector matrix |
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204 | (2) |
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206 | (2) |
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6.8 More advanced operations through the inla. stack function |
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208 | (6) |
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210 | (4) |
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6.9 Prior specification for the stationary case |
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214 | (3) |
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6.9.1 Example with simulated data |
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215 | (2) |
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6.10 SPDE for Gaussian response: Swiss rainfall data |
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217 | (8) |
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6.11 SPDE with nonnormal outcome: malaria in the Gambia |
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225 | (4) |
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6.12 Prior specification for the nonstationary case |
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229 | (6) |
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6.12.1 Example with simulated data |
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229 | (6) |
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235 | (24) |
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7.1 Spatio-temporal disease mapping |
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236 | (10) |
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7.1.1 Nonparametric dynamic trend |
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238 | (2) |
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7.1.2 Space---time interactions |
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240 | (6) |
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7.2 Spatio-temporal modeling particulate matter concentration |
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246 | (13) |
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253 | (6) |
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259 | (46) |
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8.1 Bivariate model for spatially misaligned data |
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259 | (11) |
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8.1.1 Joint model with Gaussian distributions |
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261 | (6) |
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8.1.2 Joint model with non-Gaussian distributions |
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267 | (3) |
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8.2 Semicontinuous model to daily rainfall |
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270 | (13) |
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8.3 Spatio-temporal dynamic models |
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283 | (12) |
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8.3.1 Dynamic model with Besag proper specification |
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284 | (3) |
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8.3.2 Dynamic model with genericl specification |
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287 | (8) |
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8.4 Space---time model lowering the time resolution |
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295 | (10) |
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8.4.1 Spatio-temporal model |
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300 | (5) |
| Index |
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305 | |