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Transition Timeline: For a Local, Resilient Future [Paperback / softback]

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  • Format: Paperback / softback, 190 pages, height x width x depth: 220x223x12 mm, weight: 449 g, Bibliography; Index; Illustrations, color
  • Pub. Date: 01-May-2009
  • Publisher: Chelsea Green Publishing Company
  • ISBN-10: 1603582002
  • ISBN-13: 9781603582001
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  • Paperback / softback
  • Price: 35,02 €*
  • * This title is out of print. Used copies may be available, but delivery only inside Baltic States
  • This title is out of print. Used copies may be available, but delivery only inside Baltic States.
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  • Format: Paperback / softback, 190 pages, height x width x depth: 220x223x12 mm, weight: 449 g, Bibliography; Index; Illustrations, color
  • Pub. Date: 01-May-2009
  • Publisher: Chelsea Green Publishing Company
  • ISBN-10: 1603582002
  • ISBN-13: 9781603582001
Other books in subject:
The Transition Timeline lightens the fear of our uncertain future, providing a map of what we are facing and the different pathways available to us. It describes four possible scenarios for the world over the next twenty years, ranging from Denial, in which we reap the consequences of failing to acknowledge and respond to our environmental challenges, to the Transition Vision, in which we shift our cultural assumptions to fit our circumstances and move into a more fulfilling, lower energy world.The practical, realistic details of this Transition Vision are examined in depth, covering key areas such as food, energy, demographics, transport and healthcare, and they provide a sense of context for communities working towards a thriving future. The book also provides a detailed and accessible update on climate change and peak oil and the interactions between them, including their impacts in the UK, present and future.Use it. Choose your path, and then make that future real with your actions, individually and with your community. As Rob Hopkins outlines in his foreword, there is a rapidly spreading movement addressing these challenges, and it needs you.
Acknowledgements and Context 9(1)
Foreword 10(4)
Rob Hopkins
Introduction 14(3)
Finding Your Way Around This Book 17(1)
Climate Change - A Summary 18(1)
Peak Oil - A Summary 19(1)
PART ONE: CULTURAL STORIES and VISIONS OF THE FUTURE
20(20)
Why Cultural Stories Matter
21(3)
Visions of the future - looking to 2027
23(1)
Denial Business as usual/ignoring evidence
24(3)
View from 2027
25(2)
Hitting The Wall Business as usual/acknowledging challenges
27(3)
View from 2027
29(1)
The Impossible Dream Cultural shift/ignoring evidence
30(3)
View from 2027
32(1)
The Transition Vision Cultural shift/acknowledging challenges
33(5)
View from 2027
36(2)
Our Choices
38(2)
PART TWO: A DEEPER LOOK AT THE TRANSITION VISION
40(50)
Population and Demographics
42(7)
Present position and trends
42(4)
Cultural story change
46(2)
The Transition Vision - looking back from 2027
48(1)
Food and Water
49(13)
Present position and trends
49(5)
Cultural story change
54(4)
The Transition Vision - looking back from 2027
58(4)
Electricity and Energy
62(8)
Present position and trends
62(1)
Cultural story change
63(4)
The Transition Vision - looking back from 2027
67(3)
Travel and Transport
70(9)
Present position and trends
70(2)
Cultural story change
72(1)
The Transition Vision - looking back from 2027
73(6)
Health and Medicine
79(5)
Present position and trends
79(2)
Cultural story change
81(1)
The Transition Vision - looking back from 2027
82(2)
Wildcards
84(1)
An Overview - Systems Thinking
85(5)
PART THREE: MAKING BEST USE OF THIS TIMELINE
90(24)
Timelines and Energy Descent Plans
93(21)
What is an Energy Descent Plan?
93(1)
EDAPs so far
94(1)
The Totnes EDAP
95(1)
The role of the Timeline for EDAP teams
95(3)
The palette of tools
98(14)
Speculation on future tools
112(2)
PART FOUR: GLOBAL CONTEXT --- CLIMATE CHANGE/FUEL DEPLETION
114(40)
Peak Oil
116(11)
Introduction to peak oil
116(1)
Where we are today
117(2)
Future oil demand
119(2)
Future fossil fuel prospects
121(1)
Energy Return On Energy Invested
121(2)
Oil prices
123(1)
The implications of peak oil
124(3)
Peak Oil and Climate Change - The Interplay
127(3)
The supply side dilemma
128(1)
The substitution problem
128(2)
Climate Change Explained
130(5)
Where we are today
134(1)
Climate Change - The Ipcc
135(11)
IPCC scenarios and peak oil
135(3)
IPCC on the impacts of climate change
138(2)
Problems with the IPCC approach
140(5)
Reasons for considering the IPCC position
145(1)
Climate Change - A Reality Check
146(8)
Climate Code Red
146(3)
Is reducing concentrations of atmospheric carbon even possible?
149(2)
Isn't the scale of the problem terribly depressing?
151(3)
PART FIVE: UK CONTEXT
154(13)
Peak Oil In The UK
156(6)
UK Government position
156(2)
UK oil and natural gas production trends
158(1)
Future implications
159(3)
Climate Change In The UK
162(5)
UK Government position
162(2)
UK climate trends
164(2)
Future implications
166(1)
Closing Thoughts 167(2)
Ongoing Process/Feedback 169(1)
Appendix A - Substitution problem calculation 170(2)
Appendix B - The Transition Timeline's relationship with Zero Carbon Britain 172(1)
Further Reading, References and Notes 173(14)
Index 187