Acknowledgements and Context |
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9 | (1) |
Foreword |
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10 | (4) |
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Introduction |
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14 | (3) |
Finding Your Way Around This Book |
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17 | (1) |
Climate Change - A Summary |
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18 | (1) |
Peak Oil - A Summary |
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19 | (1) |
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PART ONE: CULTURAL STORIES and VISIONS OF THE FUTURE |
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20 | (20) |
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Why Cultural Stories Matter |
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21 | (3) |
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Visions of the future - looking to 2027 |
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23 | (1) |
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Denial Business as usual/ignoring evidence |
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24 | (3) |
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25 | (2) |
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Hitting The Wall Business as usual/acknowledging challenges |
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27 | (3) |
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29 | (1) |
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The Impossible Dream Cultural shift/ignoring evidence |
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30 | (3) |
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32 | (1) |
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The Transition Vision Cultural shift/acknowledging challenges |
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33 | (5) |
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36 | (2) |
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38 | (2) |
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PART TWO: A DEEPER LOOK AT THE TRANSITION VISION |
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40 | (50) |
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Population and Demographics |
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42 | (7) |
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Present position and trends |
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42 | (4) |
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46 | (2) |
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The Transition Vision - looking back from 2027 |
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48 | (1) |
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49 | (13) |
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Present position and trends |
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49 | (5) |
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54 | (4) |
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The Transition Vision - looking back from 2027 |
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58 | (4) |
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62 | (8) |
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Present position and trends |
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62 | (1) |
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63 | (4) |
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The Transition Vision - looking back from 2027 |
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67 | (3) |
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70 | (9) |
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Present position and trends |
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70 | (2) |
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72 | (1) |
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The Transition Vision - looking back from 2027 |
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73 | (6) |
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79 | (5) |
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Present position and trends |
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79 | (2) |
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81 | (1) |
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The Transition Vision - looking back from 2027 |
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82 | (2) |
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84 | (1) |
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An Overview - Systems Thinking |
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85 | (5) |
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PART THREE: MAKING BEST USE OF THIS TIMELINE |
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90 | (24) |
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Timelines and Energy Descent Plans |
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93 | (21) |
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What is an Energy Descent Plan? |
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93 | (1) |
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94 | (1) |
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95 | (1) |
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The role of the Timeline for EDAP teams |
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95 | (3) |
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98 | (14) |
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Speculation on future tools |
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112 | (2) |
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PART FOUR: GLOBAL CONTEXT --- CLIMATE CHANGE/FUEL DEPLETION |
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114 | (40) |
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116 | (11) |
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116 | (1) |
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117 | (2) |
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119 | (2) |
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Future fossil fuel prospects |
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121 | (1) |
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Energy Return On Energy Invested |
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121 | (2) |
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123 | (1) |
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The implications of peak oil |
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124 | (3) |
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Peak Oil and Climate Change - The Interplay |
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127 | (3) |
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128 | (1) |
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128 | (2) |
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130 | (5) |
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134 | (1) |
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Climate Change - The Ipcc |
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135 | (11) |
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IPCC scenarios and peak oil |
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135 | (3) |
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IPCC on the impacts of climate change |
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138 | (2) |
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Problems with the IPCC approach |
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140 | (5) |
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Reasons for considering the IPCC position |
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145 | (1) |
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Climate Change - A Reality Check |
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146 | (8) |
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146 | (3) |
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Is reducing concentrations of atmospheric carbon even possible? |
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149 | (2) |
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Isn't the scale of the problem terribly depressing? |
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151 | (3) |
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154 | (13) |
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156 | (6) |
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156 | (2) |
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UK oil and natural gas production trends |
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158 | (1) |
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159 | (3) |
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162 | (5) |
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162 | (2) |
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164 | (2) |
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166 | (1) |
Closing Thoughts |
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167 | (2) |
Ongoing Process/Feedback |
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169 | (1) |
Appendix A - Substitution problem calculation |
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170 | (2) |
Appendix B - The Transition Timeline's relationship with Zero Carbon Britain |
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172 | (1) |
Further Reading, References and Notes |
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173 | (14) |
Index |
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187 | |