Foreword |
|
ix | |
Acknowledgments |
|
xi | |
Introduction |
|
xiii | |
|
Chapter 1 Canada: A Success Story |
|
|
1 | (30) |
|
|
|
|
|
1 | (1) |
|
|
2 | (5) |
|
Plans versus Outcomes: Macroeconomic Factors |
|
|
7 | (6) |
|
Nature and Composition of Adjustment |
|
|
13 | (8) |
|
|
21 | (2) |
|
Extent to which Adjustments Were Sustained |
|
|
23 | (2) |
|
|
25 | (2) |
|
|
27 | (4) |
|
Chapter 2 United States: The Quest for Fiscal Discipline |
|
|
31 | (26) |
|
|
|
31 | (2) |
|
First Attempt Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act 1985 |
|
|
33 | (3) |
|
Second Attempt Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1990 |
|
|
36 | (2) |
|
Third Attempt Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 |
|
|
38 | (4) |
|
Actual versus Projected Fiscal Performance under Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 |
|
|
42 | (2) |
|
1990s Deficit Reduction: Good Policy or Good Luck? |
|
|
44 | (6) |
|
|
50 | (2) |
|
|
52 | (2) |
|
|
54 | (3) |
|
Chapter 3 France: Virtue and Fortune |
|
|
57 | (28) |
|
|
|
|
Introduction: Factors Underlying the Need for Fiscal Consolidation |
|
|
57 | (4) |
|
Early Attempts at Fiscal Adjustment |
|
|
61 | (3) |
|
A First Attempt at Medium-Term Fiscal Consolidation, 1994-97 |
|
|
64 | (8) |
|
A More Systematic Approach to Medium-Term Budgeting: Consolidation Experiences under the Stability and Growth Pact |
|
|
72 | (9) |
|
|
81 | (1) |
|
|
82 | (3) |
|
Chapter 4 Germany: Fiscal Adjustment Attempts With and Without Reforms |
|
|
85 | (30) |
|
|
|
|
|
85 | (3) |
|
1975-79 Consolidation Attempt |
|
|
88 | (5) |
|
1981-85 Consolidation Attempt |
|
|
93 | (6) |
|
1991-95 Consolidation Attempt |
|
|
99 | (6) |
|
2003-07 Consolidation Attempt |
|
|
105 | (5) |
|
|
110 | (2) |
|
|
112 | (3) |
|
Chapter 5 United Kingdom: Four Chancellors Facing Challenges |
|
|
115 | (38) |
|
|
|
|
|
115 | (1) |
|
Selection of Consolidation Plans |
|
|
116 | (1) |
|
Background, Content, and Performance of the Four Adjustment Plans |
|
|
117 | (8) |
|
Determinants of Success and Failure |
|
|
125 | (13) |
|
Lessons from Success and Failure |
|
|
138 | (12) |
|
Appendix 5A United Kingdom: Fiscal Adjustment Plans and Outturns |
|
|
140 | (10) |
|
|
150 | (3) |
|
Chapter 6 Italy: Medium-Term Fiscal Planning under Frequent Government Changes |
|
|
153 | (24) |
|
|
|
|
|
153 | (2) |
|
A Brief History of Italy's Fiscal Planning Framework |
|
|
155 | (2) |
|
Short-Term Origins of Medium-Term Failures |
|
|
157 | (5) |
|
A Narrative of Design and Performance of Pre- and Post-European Monetary Unit Plans |
|
|
162 | (3) |
|
Implementing Plans for the Year Ahead |
|
|
165 | (2) |
|
Two Important Plans Analyzed in Detail |
|
|
167 | (5) |
|
|
172 | (2) |
|
|
174 | (3) |
|
Chapter 7 Japan: Fiscal Adjustment Plans and Macroeconomic Shocks |
|
|
177 | (36) |
|
|
|
|
177 | (1) |
|
The 1997 Fiscal Structural Reform Act |
|
|
178 | (11) |
|
Medium-Term Fiscal Adjustment Plans: Fiscal Year 2002 and the Following |
|
|
189 | (14) |
|
|
203 | (6) |
|
Appendix 7A The Bohn Fiscal Sustainability Test |
|
|
206 | (3) |
|
Appendix 7B Timeline of Medium-Term Fiscal Adjustment Plans in Japan |
|
|
209 | (1) |
|
|
209 | (4) |
|
Chapter 8 The Performance of Large Fiscal Adjustment Plans in the European Union: A Cross-Country Statistical Analysis |
|
|
213 | (36) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
213 | (3) |
|
Data, Sample Selection, and Methodology |
|
|
216 | (3) |
|
|
219 | (13) |
|
|
232 | (9) |
|
|
241 | (5) |
|
Appendix 8A Data Issues and Cyclical Adjustment |
|
|
243 | (2) |
|
Appendix 8B Timeline for European Monetary Integration (1990-2009) |
|
|
245 | (1) |
|
|
246 | (3) |
|
|
249 | (10) |
|
Key Findings: What Failed and What Worked in Past Attempts at Fiscal Adjustment |
|
|
251 | (4) |
|
Implications for Planned Adjustments |
|
|
255 | (3) |
|
|
258 | (1) |
References |
|
259 | (8) |
About the Project Team |
|
267 | (4) |
Index |
|
271 | |