Preface |
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xiii | |
Symbols |
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xv | |
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1 | (8) |
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1.1 Types of Third-Variable Effects |
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1 | (2) |
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1.2 Motivate Examples for Making Inferences on Third-Variable Effects |
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3 | (3) |
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1.2.1 Evaluate Policies and Interventions |
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3 | (1) |
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1.2.2 Explore Health Disparities |
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4 | (1) |
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1.2.3 Exam the Trend of Disparities |
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5 | (1) |
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1.3 Organization of the Book |
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6 | (3) |
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2 A Review of Third-Variable Effect Inferences |
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9 | (10) |
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2.1 The General Linear Model Framework |
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9 | (6) |
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2.1.1 Baron and Kenny Method to Identify a Third-Variable Effect |
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9 | (2) |
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2.1.2 The Coefficient-Difference Method |
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11 | (1) |
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2.1.3 The Coefficient-Product Method |
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12 | (1) |
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2.1.4 Categorical Third-Variables |
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13 | (1) |
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2.1.5 Generalized Linear Model for the Outcome |
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14 | (1) |
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2.1.6 Cox Proportional Hazard Model for Time-to-Event Outcome |
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15 | (1) |
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2.2 The Counterfactual Framework |
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15 | (4) |
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16 | (1) |
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2.2.2 Continuous Exposure |
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17 | (1) |
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17 | (2) |
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3 Advanced Statistical Modeling and Machine Learning Methods Used in the Book |
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19 | (24) |
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19 | (3) |
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3.1.1 An Illustration of Bootstrapping |
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19 | (1) |
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3.1.2 Bootstrapping for Linear Regression |
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20 | (2) |
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22 | (5) |
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3.2.1 Ridge Regression and LASSO |
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24 | (2) |
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26 | (1) |
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3.3 Multiple Additive Regression Trees |
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27 | (8) |
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3.3.1 Classification and Regression Tree |
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28 | (2) |
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30 | (1) |
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3.3.3 Improvement of MART |
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31 | (1) |
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3.3.4 A Simulation Example |
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31 | (2) |
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3.3.5 Interpretation Tools for MART |
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33 | (2) |
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3.4 Generalized Additive Model |
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35 | (8) |
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3.4.1 Generalized Additive Model |
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35 | (2) |
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37 | (1) |
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3.4.3 Revisit the Simulation Example |
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37 | (6) |
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4 The General Third-Variable Effect Analysis Method |
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43 | (18) |
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44 | (1) |
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4.2 Definitions of Third-Variable Effects |
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44 | (3) |
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45 | (1) |
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4.2.2 Direct and Indirect Effects |
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45 | (2) |
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47 | (1) |
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4.3 Third-Variable Effect Analysis with Generalized Linear Models |
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47 | (9) |
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4.3.1 Multiple Third-Variable Analysis in Linear Regressions |
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47 | (2) |
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4.3.2 Multiple Third-Variable Analysis in Logistic Regression |
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49 | (1) |
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50 | (2) |
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4.3.2.2 When M is Multi-categorical |
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52 | (1) |
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4.3.2.3 Delta Method to Estimate the Variances |
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53 | (3) |
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4.4 Algorithms of Third-Variable Effect Analysis with General Predictive Models for Binary Exposure |
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56 | (2) |
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4.5 Algorithms of Third-Variable Effect Analysis with General Predictive Models for Continuous Exposure |
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58 | (3) |
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5 The Implementation of General Third-Variable Effect Analysis Method |
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61 | (32) |
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61 | (10) |
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5.1.1 Identification of Potential Mediators/Confounders and Organization of Data |
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62 | (4) |
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5.1.2 Third-Variable Effect Estimates |
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66 | (2) |
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5.1.3 Statistical Inference on Third-Variable Effect Analysis |
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68 | (3) |
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71 | (6) |
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72 | (2) |
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5.2.2 Macros to Call the data.org Function |
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74 | (1) |
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5.2.3 Macros to Call the med Function |
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75 | (1) |
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5.2.4 Macros to Call the boot.med Function |
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76 | (1) |
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5.2.5 Macros to Call the plot Function |
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77 | (1) |
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5.3 Examples and Simulations on General Third-Variable Effect Analysis |
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77 | (16) |
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5.3.1 Pattern of Care Study |
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77 | (1) |
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5.3.2 To Explore the Racial Disparity in Breast Cancer Mortality Rate |
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78 | (5) |
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5.3.3 To Explore the Racial Disparity in Breast Cancer Survival Rate |
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83 | (4) |
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87 | (2) |
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89 | (1) |
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5.3.4.2 Type I Error Rate and Power |
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89 | (4) |
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6 Assumptions for the General Third-Variable Analysis |
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93 | (30) |
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6.1 Assumption 1: No-Unmeasured-Confounder for the Exposure-Outcome Relationship |
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94 | (7) |
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6.1.1 On the Direct Effect |
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95 | (2) |
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6.1.2 On the Indirect Effect of M |
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97 | (1) |
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6.1.3 On the Total Effect |
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97 | (2) |
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6.1.4 Summary and the Correct Model |
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99 | (2) |
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6.2 Assumption 2: No-Unmeasured-Confounder for the Exposure-Third Variable Relationship |
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101 | (4) |
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6.2.1 On the Direct Effect |
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102 | (1) |
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6.2.2 On the Indirect Effect of M |
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103 | (1) |
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6.2.3 On the Total Effect |
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104 | (1) |
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6.2.4 Summary and the Correct Model |
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105 | (1) |
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6.3 Assumption 3: No-Unmeasured-Confounder for the Third Variable-Outcome Relationship |
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105 | (9) |
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6.3.1 On the Total Effect |
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108 | (1) |
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6.3.2 On the Direct Effect |
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109 | (3) |
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6.3.3 On the Indirect Effect of M |
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112 | (2) |
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6.3.4 Summary and the Correct Model |
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114 | (1) |
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6.4 Assumption 4: Any Third-Variable Mi is not Causally Prior to Other Third-Variables in M_i |
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114 | (9) |
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6.4.1 On the Direct Effect |
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115 | (2) |
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6.4.2 On the Indirect Effect of M |
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117 | (2) |
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6.4.3 On the Total Effect |
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119 | (3) |
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122 | (1) |
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7 Multiple Exposures and Multivariate Responses |
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123 | (20) |
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7.1 Multivariate Multiple TVEA |
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123 | (3) |
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7.1.1 Non/Semi-Parametric TVEA for Multi-Categorical Exposures |
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124 | (2) |
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7.1.2 Non/Semi-Parametric TVEA for Multiple Continuous Exposures |
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126 | (1) |
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7.2 Confidence Ball for Estimated Mediation Effects |
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126 | (2) |
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7.2.1 A Simulation Study to Check the Coverage Probability of the Confidence Ball |
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127 | (1) |
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128 | (4) |
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7.4 Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Obesity and BMI |
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132 | (11) |
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133 | (2) |
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135 | (1) |
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7.4.3 Descriptive Analysis |
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136 | (2) |
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7.4.4 Results on Racial Disparities |
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138 | (2) |
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7.4.5 Results on Ethnic Disparities |
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140 | (3) |
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8 Regularized Third-Variable Effect Analysis for High-Dimensional Dataset |
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143 | (36) |
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8.1 Regularized Third-Variable Analysis in Linear Regression Setting |
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144 | (1) |
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8.2 Computation: The Algorithm to Estimate Third-variable Effects with Generalized Linear Models |
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145 | (3) |
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8.3 The R Package: mmabig |
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148 | (16) |
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148 | (1) |
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8.3.2 Function data.org.big |
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149 | (1) |
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8.3.2.1 Univariate Exposure and Univariate Outcome |
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149 | (3) |
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152 | (1) |
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8.3.2.3 Multivariate Predictors and/or Outcomes |
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153 | (3) |
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156 | (2) |
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158 | (4) |
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162 | (2) |
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8.3.6 Call mmabig from SAS |
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164 | (1) |
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8.4 Sensitivity and Specificity Analysis |
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164 | (3) |
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8.5 Simulations to Illustrate the Use of the Method |
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167 | (9) |
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8.5.1 X - TV Relationship is Nonlinear |
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169 | (2) |
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8.5.2 TV - Y Relationship is Nonlinear |
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171 | (2) |
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8.5.3 When Third-Variables are Highly Correlated |
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173 | (3) |
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8.6 Explore Racial Disparity in Breast Cancer Survival |
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176 | (3) |
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9 Interaction/Moderation Analysis with Third-Variable Effects |
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179 | (24) |
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9.1 Inference on Moderation Effect with Third-Variable Effect Analysis |
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180 | (4) |
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9.1.1 Types of Interaction/Moderation Effects |
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180 | (1) |
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9.1.2 Moderation Effect Analysis with MART |
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181 | (3) |
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184 | (1) |
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9.2 Illustration of Moderation Effects |
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184 | (11) |
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184 | (4) |
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9.2.2 Exposure-Moderated TVE |
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188 | (3) |
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9.2.3 Third-Variable-Moderated TVE |
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191 | (4) |
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9.3 Explore the Trend of Racial Disparity in ODX Utilization among Breast Cancer Patients |
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195 | (7) |
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196 | (2) |
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9.3.2 Third-Variable Effects and the Trend |
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198 | (4) |
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202 | (1) |
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10 Third-Variable Effect Analysis with Multilevel Additive Models |
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203 | (22) |
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10.1 Third-Variable Analysis with Multilevel Additive Models |
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204 | (7) |
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10.1.1 Definitions of Third-Variable Effects with Data of Two Levels |
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204 | (3) |
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10.1.2 Multilevel Additive Models |
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207 | (1) |
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10.1.3 Third-Variable Effects with Multilevel Additive Model |
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208 | (2) |
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10.1.4 Bootstrap Method for Third-Variable Effect Inferences |
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210 | (1) |
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211 | (11) |
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10.2.1 A Simulated Dataset |
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211 | (2) |
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10.2.2 Data Transformation and Organization |
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213 | (1) |
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10.2.3 Multilevel Third-Variable Analysis |
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214 | (1) |
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10.2.3.1 The mlma Function |
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214 | (1) |
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10.2.3.2 The Summary Function for Multilevel Third-Variable Analysis |
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215 | (2) |
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10.2.3.3 The Plot Function for the mlma Object |
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217 | (3) |
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10.2.4 Make Inferences on Multilevel Third-Variable Effect |
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220 | (2) |
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10.3 Explore the Racial Disparity in Obesity |
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222 | (3) |
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11 Bayesian Third-Variable Effect Analysis |
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225 | (20) |
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11.1 Why Bayesian Method? |
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225 | (2) |
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11.2 Continuous Exposure Variable |
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227 | (14) |
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11.2.1 Continuous Outcome and Third-Variables |
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227 | (1) |
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11.2.1.1 Method 1: Functions of Estimated Coefficients |
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228 | (2) |
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11.2.1.2 Method 2: Product of Partial Differences |
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230 | (2) |
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11.2.1.3 Method 3: A Resampling Method |
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232 | (2) |
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11.2.2 Different Format of Outcome and Third-Variables |
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234 | (1) |
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11.2.2.1 Outcomes of Different Format |
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234 | (1) |
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11.2.2.2 Binary Third-Variables |
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235 | (2) |
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11.2.2.3 Categorical Third-Variables |
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237 | (4) |
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11.3 Binary Exposure Variable |
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241 | (3) |
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11.4 Multiple Exposure Variables and Multivariate Outcomes |
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244 | (1) |
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245 | (10) |
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12.1 Explaining Third-Variable Effects |
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245 | (2) |
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12.2 Power Analysis and Sample Sizes |
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247 | (3) |
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247 | (2) |
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249 | (1) |
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12.3 Sequential Third-Variable Analysis and Third-Variable Analysis with Longitudinal Data |
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250 | (5) |
Appendices |
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255 | (12) |
Bibliography |
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267 | (8) |
Index |
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275 | |