| Preface |
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xi | |
| Acknowledgements |
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xiii | |
| List of Contributors |
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xv | |
| List of Figures |
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xvii | |
| List of Tables |
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xxiii | |
| List of Abbreviations |
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xxv | |
| 1 Analysis of Consensus-Building Time in Social Groups Based on the Results of Statistical Modeling |
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1 | (32) |
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Maksimova Olga Vladimirovna |
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Grigoryev Vadim Iosifovich |
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1.1 Introduction and Purpose of the Study |
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2 | (1) |
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1.2 Description of the Model for Consensus Based on Regular Markov Chains |
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3 | (2) |
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1.3 Specific Cases in the Model of Attaining Consensus in the Work of TC |
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5 | (1) |
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5 | (1) |
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1.3.2 Presence of Several Leaders |
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5 | (1) |
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6 | (1) |
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1.3.4 Responsibility Shift |
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6 | (1) |
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6 | (1) |
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1.4 Analysis of the General Case in the Consensus Model |
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6 | (4) |
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1.5 Management of the TCs by the National Standardization Body |
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10 | (2) |
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1.6 The Quality of Consensus |
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12 | (1) |
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1.7 Consensus-Building Model Description Based on Cellular Automata Methodology |
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13 | (4) |
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1.8 Study of Consensus-Building Model Based on Cellular Automata Methodology |
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17 | (11) |
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1.9 Conclusions and Results Interpretation |
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28 | (2) |
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30 | (3) |
| 2 Classification and Modeling of Intersystem Accidents in Critical Infrastructure Systems |
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33 | (24) |
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33 | (4) |
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2.2 Examples of Intersystem Failures |
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37 | (2) |
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2.3 Classification of Intersystem Failures |
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39 | (3) |
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2.4 Simulation of Intersystem Failures |
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42 | (7) |
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2.4.1 Gas Transmission Network Model |
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43 | (3) |
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2.4.2 Electric Network Model |
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46 | (1) |
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47 | (2) |
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2.5 Results of Calculations |
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49 | (2) |
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2.6 Perturbance Propagation Functions |
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51 | (2) |
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53 | (1) |
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54 | (3) |
| 3 Stochastic Approaches to Analysis and Modeling of Multi-Sources and Big Data in Tasks of Homeland Security: Socio-Economic and Socio-Ecological Crisis Control Tools |
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57 | (44) |
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57 | (5) |
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3.1.1 Case Study: The Conflict |
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59 | (3) |
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3.2 Methodological Notes: Approach to Data Analysis |
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62 | (6) |
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3.2.1 Big Data Classification Approach |
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64 | (2) |
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3.2.2 Multisource Data Regularization and Optimization Approach |
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66 | (2) |
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3.3 Population Dynamics Assessment in the Crisis Area Using Multisource Data |
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68 | (6) |
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3.3.1 Population Assessment in Rural Areas |
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69 | (1) |
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3.3.2 Population Assessment in Urban Areas |
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70 | (1) |
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3.3.3 Satellite Observations and Data Integration Approach |
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71 | (3) |
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3.4 Assessment of the Economic Dynamics in the Crisis Area Using Multisource Data |
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74 | (7) |
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3.4.1 Analysis of Land-Use Structure Change: Markov's Chains Modeling of Satellite Data |
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74 | (4) |
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3.4.2 Satellite Data for Analysis of Land-Use Efficiency and Crop Structure Dynamics |
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78 | (1) |
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3.4.3 Data Integration Algorithm and Satellite Based Approach to Economic Activity Variations |
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79 | (2) |
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3.5 Assessment of Number and Dynamics of Illegal Armed Groups Using Big Data |
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81 | (3) |
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3.6 Assessment of Combatant and Non-Combatant Losses Using Multisource Data |
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84 | (3) |
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3.7 On the Model of Population Dynamics under the Conflict |
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87 | (5) |
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92 | (3) |
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95 | (6) |
| 4 Modeling and Performance Evaluation of Computational DoS Attack on an Access Point in Wireless LANs |
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101 | (20) |
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102 | (2) |
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4.2 Review of Key Hiding Communication (KHC) Scheme |
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104 | (1) |
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105 | (3) |
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4.3.1 Simulation Topology |
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106 | (1) |
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4.3.2 Simulation Parameters |
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107 | (1) |
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4.3.3 Performance Evaluation Metrics |
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108 | (1) |
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4.4 Results and Discussion |
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108 | (8) |
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116 | (1) |
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117 | (4) |
| 5 Development of Computation Algorithm and Ranking Methods for Decision-Making under Uncertainty |
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121 | (34) |
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5.1 Trough-Ranking Method for a Regulate Lists Objects of Different Types by Partial Expert Comparisons |
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123 | (18) |
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123 | (1) |
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5.1.2 Algorithm Description |
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124 | (7) |
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131 | (10) |
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5.2 The Analytic Hierarchy Process Modification for Decision Making under Uncertainty |
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141 | (10) |
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141 | (1) |
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142 | (1) |
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143 | (1) |
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5.2.4 Methodology Description |
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144 | (3) |
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147 | (4) |
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151 | (1) |
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152 | (3) |
| 6 Understanding Time Delay Based Modeling and Diffusion of Technological Products |
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155 | (10) |
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155 | (2) |
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157 | (3) |
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157 | (3) |
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6.3 Research Results and Findings |
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160 | (1) |
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161 | (1) |
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162 | (1) |
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162 | (3) |
| 7 Role of Soft Computing in Science and Engineering |
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165 | (20) |
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165 | (3) |
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7.1.1 Why Soft Computing Approach? |
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167 | (1) |
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7.2 Soft Computing Techniques |
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168 | (9) |
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169 | (3) |
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7.2.1.1 Notation of dataset |
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170 | (1) |
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7.2.1.2 Training data and test data |
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170 | (1) |
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7.2.1.3 Relationships with other disciplines |
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170 | (1) |
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7.2.1.4 Basic concepts and ideals of machine learning |
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171 | (1) |
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7.2.1.5 The categorization of machine learning algorithms |
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171 | (1) |
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172 | (1) |
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7.2.3 Evolutionary Algorithms |
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172 | (1) |
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173 | (1) |
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173 | (1) |
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173 | (2) |
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174 | (1) |
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174 | (1) |
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7.2.4.3 Genetic operators |
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174 | (1) |
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175 | (1) |
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175 | (1) |
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175 | (1) |
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7.2.7 Particle Swarm Optimization |
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176 | (1) |
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177 | (3) |
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180 | (1) |
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180 | (5) |
| 8 Complex System Reliability Analysis and Optimization |
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185 | (16) |
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185 | (4) |
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8.1.1 Reliability Measuring Parameters |
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186 | (1) |
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8.1.2 Stochastic Processes |
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187 | (1) |
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187 | (1) |
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8.1.4 Reliability Optimization |
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188 | (1) |
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189 | (1) |
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190 | (3) |
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8.3.1 Supplementary Variable Technique |
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190 | (1) |
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8.3.2 Birth-Death Processes |
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191 | (1) |
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8.3.3 Multi-objective Particle Swarm Optimization |
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192 | (1) |
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8.3.4 Mathematical Model and Reliability Block Diagram |
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193 | (9) |
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8.3.4.1 Complex bridge system |
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193 | (1) |
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8.4 Results and Discussion |
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193 | (2) |
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8.5 Conclusion and Summary |
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195 | (1) |
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196 | (5) |
| 9 Tree Growth Models in Forest Ecosystem Modeling-A Tool for Development of Tree Ring Width Chronology and Climate Reconstruction |
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201 | (18) |
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202 | (5) |
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9.1.1 Notion of Ecosystem Modeling |
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202 | (5) |
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9.1.1.1 Growth and yield models |
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204 | (1) |
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9.1.1.2 Succession models |
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205 | (1) |
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9.1.1.3 Biogeochemical-mechanistic models |
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206 | (1) |
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206 | (1) |
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207 | (1) |
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9.2.1 General Linear Aggregate Model |
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207 | (1) |
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9.2.2 Growth Curve for Detrending Tree Growth Time Series |
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208 | (1) |
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208 | (2) |
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9.3.1 Negative Exponential Curve |
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208 | (1) |
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9.3.2 Linear Regression Curve |
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209 | (1) |
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9.3.3 Hugershoff Growth Curve |
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209 | (1) |
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210 | (1) |
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9.4.1 The Smoothing Spline Curve |
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210 | (1) |
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9.4.2 Friedman's Super Smoother |
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210 | (1) |
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211 | (1) |
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9.5.1 Regional Curve Standardization Method |
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211 | (1) |
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9.6 Application of Tree Ring Growth Models-An Example from A Case Study |
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212 | (2) |
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214 | (1) |
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215 | (4) |
| Index |
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219 | (2) |
| About the Editors |
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221 | |