Alternative Futures for Changing Landscapes: The Upper San Pedro River Basin in Arizona and Sonora [Pehme köide]

List of Tables		viii
List of Figures		ix
Foreword		xiii
Preface		xv
Alternative Futures for a Changing Region		1	(8)
The Upper San Pedro River Basin		9	(4)
The Framework for Alternative Futures Studies		13	(5)
The Organization of the Research		18	(5)
Natural and Cultural History		23	(9)
The Issues for Research		32	(1)
The Scenarios for Change		33	(7)
The Development Model		40	(20)
The Hydrological Model		60	(13)
The Vegetation Model		73	(6)
The Landscape Ecological Pattern Model		79	(5)
Single Species Potential Habitat Models		84	(27)
Threatened and Endangered Species Potential Habitat		111	(5)
The Vertebrate Species Richness and GAP Species Models		116	(8)
The Visual Preference Model		124	(6)
Summary of Impacts		130	(4)
Testing the Alternative Futures		134	(30)
Conclusions		164	(7)
Appendix A: The Scenarios Guide		171	(14)
Appendix B: The Computational Process		185	(2)
References		187	(6)
Acknowledgements		193	(1)
About the Authors		194	(3)
Index		197

Carl Steinitz is the Alexander and Victoria Wiley Professor of Landscape Architecture and Planning at the Harvard University Graduate School of Design. Hector Manuel Arias Rojo is vision and planning officer for the World Wildlife Fund Gulf of California Program. Scott Bassett is post-doctoral fellow at the Desert Research Institute. Michael Flaxman is lecturer at the Harvard University Graduate School of Design. Tomas Goode is consulting groundwater hydrologist with HydroSystems Inc., in Tempe, Arizona. Thomas Maddock III is professor of hydrology and water resources at the University of Arizona and co-director of the Research Laboratory for Riparian Studies. David Mouat is associate research professor at the Desert Research Institute. Richard Peiser is the Michael D. Spear Professor of Real Estate Development at the Harvard University Graduate School of Design. Allan Shearer is research fellow at Harvard University.