Summary |
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1 | (14) |
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15 | (8) |
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Study Context and Charge to the Committee |
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17 | (1) |
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Study Approach and Methodology |
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17 | (3) |
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20 | (3) |
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2 Rationale For Continued Arctic Research |
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23 | (10) |
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33 | (78) |
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36 | (5) |
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Will Arctic communities have greater or lesser influence on their futures? |
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41 | (1) |
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Will the land be wetter or drier, and what are the associated implications for surface water, energy balances, and ecosystems? |
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42 | (3) |
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How much of the variability of the Arctic system is linked to ocean circulation? |
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45 | (2) |
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What are the impacts of extreme events in the new ice-reduced system? |
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47 | (3) |
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How will primary productivity change with decreasing sea ice and snow cover? |
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50 | (2) |
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How will species distributions and associated ecosystem structure change with the evolving cryosphere? |
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52 | (4) |
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56 | (1) |
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What surprises are hidden within and beneath the ice? |
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57 | (2) |
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What is being irretrievably lost as the Arctic changes? |
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59 | (2) |
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61 | (1) |
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What can "break or brake" glaciers and ice sheets? |
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62 | (2) |
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How unusual is the current Arctic warmth? |
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64 | (3) |
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What is the role of the Arctic in abrupt change? |
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67 | (2) |
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What has been the Cenozoic evolution of the Arctic Ocean Basin? |
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69 | (2) |
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71 | (4) |
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How will rapid Arctic warming change the jet stream and affect weather patterns in lower latitudes? |
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75 | (1) |
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What is the potential for a trajectory of irreversible loss of Arctic land ice, and how will its impact vary regionally? |
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76 | (2) |
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How will climate change affect exchanges between the Arctic Ocean and subpolar basins? |
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78 | (1) |
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How will Arctic change affect the long-range transport and persistence of biota? |
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79 | (3) |
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How will changing societal connections between the Arctic and the rest of the world affect Arctic communities? |
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82 | (2) |
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84 | (4) |
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How will decreasing populations in rural villages and increasing urbanization affect Arctic peoples and societies? |
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88 | (2) |
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Will local, regional, and international relations in the Arctic move toward cooperation or conflict? |
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90 | (2) |
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How can 21st-century development in the Arctic occur without compromising the environment or indigenous cultures while still benefiting global and Arctic inhabitants? |
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92 | (3) |
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How can we prepare forecasts and scenarios to meet emerging management needs? |
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95 | (4) |
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What benefits and risks are presented by geoengineering and other large-scale technological interventions to prevent or reduce climate change and associated impacts in the Arctic? |
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99 | (2) |
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101 | (3) |
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104 | (7) |
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111 | (54) |
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111 | (2) |
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113 | (1) |
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113 | (2) |
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115 | (1) |
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116 | (1) |
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Cooperation through Social Media |
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116 | (2) |
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Sustaining Long-Term Observations |
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118 | (1) |
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Rationale for Long-Term Observations |
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118 | (2) |
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Coordinating Long-Term Observation Efforts |
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120 | (4) |
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Managing and Sharing Information |
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124 | (1) |
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Preserving the Legacy of Research through Data Preservation and Dissemination |
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124 | (1) |
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Creating a Culture of Data Preservation and Sharing |
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125 | (1) |
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Infrastructure to Ensure Data Flows from Observation to Users, Stakeholders, and Archives |
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126 | (3) |
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Data Visualization and Analysis |
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129 | (2) |
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Maintaining and Building Operational Capacity |
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131 | (1) |
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132 | (5) |
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Fixed Platforms and Systems |
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137 | (1) |
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138 | (7) |
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145 | (2) |
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147 | (3) |
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Models in Prediction, Projection, and Re-Analyses |
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150 | (1) |
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Partnerships with Industry |
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151 | (2) |
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153 | (1) |
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154 | (3) |
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157 | (1) |
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Comprehensive Systems and Synthesis Research |
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157 | (2) |
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Non-Steady-State Research |
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159 | (1) |
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Social Sciences and Human Capacity |
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159 | (1) |
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Stakeholder-Initiated Research |
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160 | (1) |
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International Funding Cooperation |
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160 | (1) |
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161 | (4) |
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5 Building Knowledge And Solving Problems |
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165 | (6) |
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171 | (20) |
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A Acronyms and Abbreviations |
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191 | (4) |
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B Speaker and Interviewee Acknowledgments |
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195 | (4) |
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C Summary of Questionnaire Responses |
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199 | (6) |
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D Biographical Sketches of Committee Members |
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205 | |