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xiii | |
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xix | |
Preface |
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xxiii | |
Author Bios |
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xxv | |
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1 Strategies For Experimentation With Multiple Factors |
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1 | (16) |
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1 | (1) |
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2 | (1) |
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1.3 Classical Versus Statistical Approaches to Experimentation |
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3 | (3) |
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1.4 Why Experiment? (Analysis of Historical Data) |
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6 | (1) |
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1.5 Diagnosing the Experimental Environment |
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7 | (2) |
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1.6 Example of a Complete Experimental Program |
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9 | (4) |
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1.6.1 Chemical Process System |
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9 | (1) |
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1.6.2 Step One: Screening |
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9 | (2) |
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1.6.3 Step Two: Crude Optimization |
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11 | (1) |
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1.6.4 Step Three: Final Optimization |
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12 | (1) |
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1.7 Good Design Requirements |
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13 | (2) |
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15 | (2) |
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1.8.1 Important Terms and Concepts |
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15 | (2) |
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2 Statistics And Probability |
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17 | (32) |
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17 | (1) |
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2.2 Graphical and Numerical Summaries of a Single Response-Variable |
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18 | (7) |
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18 | (1) |
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2.2.2 Sample Mean, Variance, and Standard Deviation |
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18 | (2) |
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20 | (2) |
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2.2.4 Five-Number Summaries and Boxplots |
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22 | (3) |
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2.3 Graphical and Numerical Summaries of the Relation Between Variables |
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25 | (2) |
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2.4 What to Expect from Theory |
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27 | (9) |
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2.4.1 Probability Density Functions and Probability |
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27 | (1) |
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2.4.2 Expected Values, Variance, and Standard Deviation |
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28 | (3) |
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2.4.3 Normal Distribution |
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31 | (1) |
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2.4.4 Central Limit Theorem and Distribution of Sample Means |
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32 | (4) |
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2.5 Using Theory to Help Interpret Experimental Data |
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36 | (10) |
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2.5.1 Comparing the Mean of Experimental Results to a Standard |
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36 | (2) |
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2.5.2 Comparing the Means of Two Experimental Conditions |
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38 | (1) |
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2.5.3 Comparing the Means of Several Experimental Conditions |
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39 | (4) |
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2.5.4 Comparing Observed Data to the Normal Distribution |
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43 | (3) |
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46 | (1) |
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2.6.1 Important Equations |
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46 | (1) |
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2.6.2 Important Terms and Concepts |
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47 | (1) |
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47 | (2) |
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3 Basic Two-Level Factorial Experiments |
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49 | (34) |
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49 | (1) |
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3.2 Two-Level Factorial Design Geometry |
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50 | (2) |
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3.3 Main Effect Estimation |
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52 | (2) |
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54 | (2) |
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3.5 General 2k Factorial Designs |
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56 | (2) |
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58 | (1) |
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3.7 Example of a 23 Factorial Experiment |
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59 | (4) |
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3.7.1 Background and Design |
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59 | (2) |
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3.7.2 Calculation of Effects and Interactions |
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61 | (2) |
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3.8 Significance of Effects and Interactions |
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63 | (7) |
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3.8.1 Statistical Significance of Results |
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63 | (1) |
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64 | (2) |
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3.8.3 Statistical Significance of Results for Fly Ash |
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66 | (1) |
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3.8.4 Interpretation of Results for Fly Ash Example |
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66 | (2) |
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3.8.5 Example of Computer Analysis of Data |
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68 | (2) |
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3.9 Example of an Unreplicated 24 Design (Stack Gas Treatment) |
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70 | (6) |
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3.9.1 Background and Design |
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70 | (1) |
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71 | (1) |
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72 | (3) |
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3.9.4 Interpretation of Results |
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75 | (1) |
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3.10 Judging Significance of Effects When There Are No Replicates |
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76 | (3) |
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79 | (2) |
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3.11.1 Analysis of 2k Experiments |
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79 | (1) |
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3.11.2 Important Equations |
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80 | (1) |
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3.11.3 Important Terms and Concepts |
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80 | (1) |
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81 | (2) |
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4 Additional Tools For Two-Level Factorials |
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83 | (28) |
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83 | (1) |
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4.2 Number of Replicates Needed for Desired Precision |
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83 | (4) |
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4.3 Results in Equation Form |
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87 | (4) |
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4.4 Testing for Curvature |
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91 | (4) |
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4.5 Blocking Factorial Experiments |
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95 | (6) |
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4.5.1 Calculating the Error of an Effect (sE) in Blocked 2k Experiments |
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97 | (1) |
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98 | (2) |
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4.5.3 Designs for Blocked Factorials |
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100 | (1) |
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101 | (6) |
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103 | (4) |
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4.6.2 Designs for Split-Plot 2k Experiments |
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107 | (1) |
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107 | (2) |
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4.7.1 Important Equations |
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108 | (1) |
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4.7.2 Important Terms and Concepts |
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109 | (1) |
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109 | (2) |
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5 General Factorial Experiments And Anova |
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111 | (24) |
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111 | (1) |
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5.2 Multiple Level Factorial Designs |
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112 | (1) |
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5.3 Mathematical Model for Multiple Level Factorials |
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113 | (3) |
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5.4 Testing the Significance of Main Effects and Interaction Effects |
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116 | (1) |
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5.5 Example of a Multilevel Two-Factor Factorial |
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117 | (2) |
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5.6 Comparison of Means after the ANOVA |
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119 | (11) |
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5.6.1 Least Significant Difference (LSD) Method |
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120 | (1) |
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5.6.2 Tukey's Method of Comparing Means after the ANOVA |
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121 | (1) |
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5.6.3 Orthogonal Contrasts |
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122 | (3) |
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5.6.4 Other Applications of Orthogonal Contrasts |
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125 | (1) |
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5.6.4.1 Orthogonal Polynomial Contrasts |
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125 | (1) |
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5.6.4.2 Analysis of Unreplicated Multilevel Factorials |
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125 | (5) |
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5.7 Analysis of Blocked and Split-Plot Factorial Experiments with Multilevel Factors |
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130 | (2) |
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5.7.1 Analysis of a Blocked Factorial by ANOVA |
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130 | (1) |
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5.7.2 Analysis of a Split-Plot Factorial by ANOVA |
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131 | (1) |
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132 | (2) |
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5.8.1 Important Equations |
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132 | (1) |
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133 | (1) |
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134 | (1) |
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6 Variance Component Studies |
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135 | (28) |
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135 | (1) |
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6.2 Additivity of Variances |
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135 | (1) |
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6.3 Simple Experiments for Estimating Two Sources of Variability |
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136 | (1) |
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6.4 Estimation of Variance Components Using ANOVA |
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137 | (2) |
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6.5 Graphical Representation of Data from Simple Experiments for Estimating Two Sources of Variability |
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139 | (2) |
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6.6 Components of Variance---Multiple Sources |
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141 | (6) |
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141 | (1) |
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6.6.2 Nested Designs for Estimating Multiple Components of Variance |
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141 | (6) |
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6.7 Staggered Nested Designs |
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147 | (5) |
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6.7.1 Design and Analysis with Staggered Nested Designs |
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147 | (2) |
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6.7.2 Staggered Nested Design Example with Four Sources |
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149 | (3) |
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6.8 Sequential Experimentation Starting With Components of Variation---Case Study |
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152 | (7) |
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152 | (1) |
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6.8.2 Staggered Nested Experiment |
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153 | (2) |
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6.8.3 Follow-up Split-Plot Experiment |
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155 | (3) |
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158 | (1) |
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159 | (1) |
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6.9.1 Important Equations |
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160 | (1) |
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160 | (1) |
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160 | (3) |
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163 | (40) |
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163 | (2) |
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7.2 Cause-and-Effect Diagrams |
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165 | (2) |
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7.3 Fractionating Factorial Designs |
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167 | (1) |
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7.4 Fractional Factorial Designs |
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168 | (16) |
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7.4.1 Constructing Half Fractions |
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170 | (1) |
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7.4.2 Confounding in Half Fractions |
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171 | (2) |
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7.4.3 Simple Example of a Half Fraction |
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173 | (1) |
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7.4.4 One-Quarter and Higher Fractional Factorials |
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174 | (2) |
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7.4.5 Fractional Factorial Design Tables |
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176 | (1) |
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7.4.6 Example of Fractional Factorial in Process Improvement |
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177 | (3) |
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7.4.7 Advantages of Fractional Factorial Designs |
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180 | (3) |
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7.4.8 Resolution of Fractional Factorial Designs |
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183 | (1) |
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7.5 Plackett--Burman Screening Designs |
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184 | (9) |
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7.5.1 Tables of Plackett--Burman Designs |
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185 | (1) |
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7.5.2 Using the Tables of Plackett--Burman Designs |
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186 | (1) |
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7.5.3 An Example of Using a Plackett--Burman Design |
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187 | (6) |
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7.6 Other Applications of Fractional Factorials |
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193 | (3) |
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7.6.1 Fractional Factorial Designs for Estimating Some Interactions |
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193 | (1) |
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7.6.2 Designs for Blocked Factorials in Fractional Arrangements |
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193 | (3) |
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7.7 Screening Designs with Multiple Level Factors |
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196 | (4) |
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7.7.1 Combination of Factors Method (Pseudofactors) |
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197 | (1) |
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7.7.2 Collapsing Levels (Dummy Levels) |
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198 | (1) |
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7.7.3 L18 Orthogonal Array |
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198 | (2) |
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200 | (1) |
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7.8.1 Important Terms and Concepts |
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200 | (1) |
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200 | (1) |
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200 | (3) |
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203 | (34) |
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203 | (1) |
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8.2 Method of Least Squares |
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203 | (4) |
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8.2.1 Estimating the Slope of a Straight Line Through the Origin |
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205 | (2) |
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207 | (9) |
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8.3.1 Estimating the Slope and Intercept of a Straight Line |
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207 | (2) |
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8.3.2 Statistical Significance of Coefficients |
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209 | (3) |
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8.3.3 Confidence Intervals for Coefficients |
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212 | (3) |
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8.3.4 Precision of Predictions |
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215 | (1) |
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216 | (9) |
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216 | (1) |
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8.4.2 Estimation of Coefficients |
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217 | (3) |
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8.4.3 Statistical Significance of Coefficients |
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220 | (2) |
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8.4.4 Confidence Intervals for Coefficients |
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222 | (1) |
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8.4.5 Precision of Predictions |
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223 | (2) |
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8.5 Quantifying Model Closeness (R2) |
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225 | (2) |
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8.6 Checking Model Assumptions (Residual Plots) |
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227 | (4) |
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8.6.1 Checking for Normal Distribution of Errors |
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228 | (1) |
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8.6.2 Checking for Constant Variance |
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229 | (1) |
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8.6.3 Checking for Independence of Errors |
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230 | (1) |
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8.6.4 Checking for a Mean of Zero for the Errors |
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230 | (1) |
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8.7 Data Transformation for Linearity |
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231 | (2) |
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233 | (1) |
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8.8.1 Important Equations |
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233 | (1) |
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8.8.2 Important Terms and Concepts |
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234 | (1) |
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234 | (3) |
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9 Response Surface Designs |
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237 | (26) |
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9.1 Response Surface Concepts and Methods |
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237 | (1) |
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9.2 Empirical Quadratic Model |
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238 | (3) |
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9.3 Design Considerations |
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241 | (3) |
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9.4 Central Composite Designs |
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244 | (3) |
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9.5 Central Composite Design Example |
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247 | (4) |
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9.6 Graphical Interpretation of Response Surfaces |
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251 | (5) |
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9.7 Other Response Surface Designs |
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256 | (4) |
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9.7.1 Box--Behnken Designs |
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256 | (2) |
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9.7.2 Small Composite Designs |
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258 | (1) |
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9.7.3 Example---Coal Gasification Modeling |
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258 | (2) |
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260 | (2) |
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9.8.1 Procedure for Design of Experiments for RSM |
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260 | (1) |
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9.8.2 Important Terms and Concepts |
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261 | (1) |
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262 | (1) |
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10 Response Surface Model Fitting |
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263 | (24) |
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263 | (1) |
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10.2 Estimation of Coefficients in a Quadratic Model |
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263 | (3) |
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10.3 Checking Model Assumptions (Residual Plots) |
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266 | (2) |
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10.4 Statistical Check of Model Adequacy -- Lack of Fit (LoF) |
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268 | (3) |
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10.5 Trimming Insignificant Terms from a Model |
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271 | (4) |
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271 | (1) |
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10.5.2 Deleting Statistically Non-Significant Coefficients from Model |
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272 | (3) |
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10.6 Exploring the Response Surface |
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275 | (4) |
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10.6.1 Analytical Interpretation of Response Surfaces |
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276 | (3) |
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10.6.2 Numerical Methods for Interpreting Response Surfaces |
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279 | (1) |
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10.7 Precision of Predictions |
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279 | (2) |
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281 | (2) |
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10.8.1 General Procedure for Analysis of Data from RSM Design |
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281 | (1) |
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10.8.2 Important Equations |
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282 | (1) |
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10.8.3 Important Terms and Concepts |
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283 | (1) |
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283 | (4) |
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11 Sequential Experimentation |
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287 | (30) |
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287 | (1) |
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11.2 Augmenting Screening Designs to Resolve Confounding |
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288 | (5) |
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11.3 Application of Sequential Experimentation in a Process Start-up |
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293 | (7) |
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11.4 Sequential Analysis without Follow-up Experiments |
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300 | (11) |
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11.4.1 Sequential Analysis of Data from a Plackett--Burman Design |
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300 | (8) |
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11.4.2 Sequential Analysis of Screening Designs to Find Quadratic Optima |
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308 | (3) |
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311 | (1) |
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11.5.1 Important Terms and Concepts |
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312 | (1) |
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312 | (5) |
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317 | (42) |
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317 | (1) |
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12.2 Models for Mixture Problems |
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318 | (3) |
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12.2.1 Overview of Modeling |
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318 | (1) |
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12.2.2 Slack Variable Models |
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319 | (1) |
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320 | (1) |
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12.2.3.1 Scheffe Linear Model |
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320 | (1) |
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12.2.3.2 Scheffe Quadratic Model |
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320 | (1) |
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12.2.3.3 Scheffe Special Cubic Model |
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321 | (1) |
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12.2.3.4 Scheffe Full Cubic Model |
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321 | (1) |
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12.3 Experimental Designs for Mixture Problems |
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321 | (12) |
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12.3.1 Unconstrained Problems |
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321 | (2) |
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323 | (2) |
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12.3.3 Constrained Mixture Problems |
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325 | (2) |
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12.3.3.1 Pseudocomponents |
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327 | (1) |
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12.3.3.2 Extreme Vertices Design |
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328 | (5) |
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12.4 Data Analysis and Model Fitting for Constrained Mixture Problems |
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333 | (10) |
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12.4.1 Least Squares Model Fitting Examples |
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333 | (4) |
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12.4.2 A Procedure for Choosing the Correct Model |
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337 | (1) |
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12.4.3 Interpretation of Fitted Models |
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338 | (3) |
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12.4.4 Identifying Optimum Conditions |
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341 | (2) |
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12.5 Screening Experiments with Mixtures |
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343 | (6) |
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12.5.1 Designs for Screening Experiments with Mixtures |
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343 | (3) |
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346 | (3) |
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12.6 Mixture Experiments with Process Variables |
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349 | (7) |
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12.6.1 Designs for Mixture Experiments with Process Variables |
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349 | (1) |
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12.6.2 Models for Mixture Experiments with Process Variables |
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350 | (1) |
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351 | (5) |
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356 | (1) |
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356 | (3) |
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13 Practical Suggestions For Successful Experimentation |
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359 | (4) |
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359 | (1) |
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359 | (4) |
Appendix A |
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363 | (6) |
Appendix B |
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369 | (42) |
Check Figures for Selected Exercises |
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411 | (2) |
Bibliography |
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413 | (4) |
Index |
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417 | |