Muutke küpsiste eelistusi

Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable [Kõva köide]

3.96/5 (119298 hinnangut Goodreads-ist)
  • Formaat: Hardback, 480 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 240x162x41 mm, kaal: 753 g
  • Ilmumisaeg: 01-Dec-2011
  • Kirjastus: Allen Lane
  • ISBN-10: 1846145651
  • ISBN-13: 9781846145650
Teised raamatud teemal:
  • Kõva köide
  • Hind: 50,50 €*
  • * saadame teile pakkumise kasutatud raamatule, mille hind võib erineda kodulehel olevast hinnast
  • See raamat on trükist otsas, kuid me saadame teile pakkumise kasutatud raamatule.
  • Kogus:
  • Lisa ostukorvi
  • Tasuta tarne
  • Lisa soovinimekirja
  • Formaat: Hardback, 480 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 240x162x41 mm, kaal: 753 g
  • Ilmumisaeg: 01-Dec-2011
  • Kirjastus: Allen Lane
  • ISBN-10: 1846145651
  • ISBN-13: 9781846145650
Teised raamatud teemal:
A slipcased hardback edition of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's bestselling masterpiece, with the original first Penguin edition artwork.

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

Arvustused

Great fun brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling -- Stephen J. Dubner, author of * Freakonomics * An idiosyncratically brilliant new book -- Niall Ferguson * Sunday Telegraph * A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected -- Larry Elliot * Guardian * Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling -- John Kay * Financial Times * Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot -- John Cornwell * Sunday Times * In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point * Time * Great fun brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling -- Stephen J. Dubner, author of * Freakonomics * An idiosyncratically brilliant new book -- Niall Ferguson * Sunday Telegraph * A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected -- Larry Elliot * Guardian * Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling -- John Kay * Financial Times * Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot -- John Cornwell * Sunday Times * In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point * Time *

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an uncompromizing no-nonsense thinker for our times. He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's School of Engineering. He is the author of the 4-volume INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and The Bed of Procrustes). Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.