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Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles [Pehme köide]

  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 466 pages, kõrgus x laius: 279x216 mm
  • Ilmumisaeg: 28-Oct-2015
  • Kirjastus: National Academies Press
  • ISBN-10: 0309373883
  • ISBN-13: 9780309373883
  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 466 pages, kõrgus x laius: 279x216 mm
  • Ilmumisaeg: 28-Oct-2015
  • Kirjastus: National Academies Press
  • ISBN-10: 0309373883
  • ISBN-13: 9780309373883
The light-duty vehicle fleet is expected to undergo substantial technological changes over the next several decades. New powertrain designs, alternative fuels, advanced materials and significant changes to the vehicle body are being driven by increasingly stringent fuel economy and greenhouse gas emission standards. By the end of the next decade, cars and light-duty trucks will be more fuel efficient, weigh less, emit less air pollutants, have more safety features, and will be more expensive to purchase relative to current vehicles. Though the gasoline-powered spark ignition engine will continue to be the dominant powertrain configuration even through 2030, such vehicles will be equipped with advanced technologies, materials, electronics and controls, and aerodynamics. And by 2030, the deployment of alternative methods to propel and fuel vehicles and alternative modes of transportation, including autonomous vehicles, will be well underway. What are these new technologies - how will they work, and will some technologies be more effective than others?



Written to inform The United States Department of Transportation's National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) and Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission standards, this new report from the National Research Council is a technical evaluation of costs, benefits, and implementation issues of fuel reduction technologies for next-generation light-duty vehicles. Cost, Effectiveness, and Deployment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles estimates the cost, potential efficiency improvements, and barriers to commercial deployment of technologies that might be employed from 2020 to 2030. This report describes these promising technologies and makes recommendations for their inclusion on the list of technologies applicable for the 2017-2025 CAFE standards.

Table of Contents



Front Matter Summary 1 Introduction 2 Technologies for Reducing Fuel Consumption in Spark-Ignition Engines 3 Technologies for Reducing Fuel Consumption in Compression-Ignition Diesel Engines 4 Electrified Powertrains 5 Transmissions 6 Non-Powertrain Technologies 7 Cost and Manufacturing Considerations for Meeting Fuel Economy Standards 8 Estimates of Technology Costs and Fuel Consumption Reduction Effectiveness 9 Consumer Impacts and Acceptance Issues 10 Overall Assessment of CAFE Program Methodology and Design Appendix A: Statement of Task Appendix B: Committee Biographies Appendix C: Presentations and Committee Meetings Appendix D: Ideal Thermodynamic Cycles for Otto, Diesel, and Atkinson Engines Appendix E: SI Engine Definitions and Efficiency Fundamentals Appendix F: Examples of Friction Reduction Opportunities for Main Engine Components Appendix G: Friction Reduction in Downsized Engines Appendix H: Variable Valve Timing Systems Appendix I: Variable Valve Lift Systems Appendix J: Reasons for Potential Differences from NHTSA Estimates for Fuel Consumption Reduction Effectiveness of Turbocharged, Downsized Engines Appendix K: DOE Research Projects on Turbocharged and Downsized Engines Appendix L: Relationship between Power and Performance Appendix M: HCCI Projects Appendix N: Effect of Compression Ratio of Brake Thermal Efficiency Appendix O: Variable Compression Ratio Engines Appendix P: Fuel Consumption Impact of Tier 3 Emission Standards Appendix Q: Examples of EPA's Standards for Gasoline Appendix R: Impact of Low Carbon Fuels to Achieve Reductions in GHG Emissions (California LCFS 2007 Alternative Fuels and Cleaner Fossil Fuels CNG, LPG) Appendix S: NHTSA's Estimated Fuel Consumption Reduction Effectiveness of Technologies and Estimated Costs of Technologies Appendix T: Derivation of Turbocharged, Downsized Engine Direct Manufacturing Costs Appendix U: SI Engine Pathway NHTSA Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs and Total Costs Appendix V: SI Engine Pathway NRC Estimates Direct Manufacturing Costs Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger Appendix W: Technologies, Footprints, and Fuel Economy for Example Passenger Cars, Trucks, and Hybrid Passenger Cars Appendix X: Full System Simulation Modeling of Fuel Consumption Reductions Appendix Y: Acronym List
Summary 1(14)
1 Introduction 15(8)
Study Background and Setting,
15(3)
Approach to Technology Cost and Fuel Consumption Reduction Estimates,
18(2)
Study Origin and Organization of Report,
20(1)
References,
21(2)
2 Technologies For Reducing Fuel Consumption In Spark-Ignition Engines 23(74)
Introduction,
23(1)
SI Engine Efficiency Fundamentals,
23(3)
Fuel Consumption Reduction Technologies—Identified in Final CAFE Rule Analysis,
26(34)
Fuel Consumption Reduction Technologies—Not Included in Final CAFE Rule Analysis,
60(7)
Fuel Consumption Reduction Technologies—Not Considered in Final CAFE Rule Analysis,
67(9)
Control Systems, Models, and Simulation Techniques,
76(1)
Future Emission Standards for Criteria Pollutant Emissions,
77(4)
Other Considerations,
81(1)
Findings and Recommendations,
82(2)
References,
84(6)
Annex Tables,
90(7)
3 Technologies For Reducing Fuel Consumption In Compression-Ignition Diesel Engines 97(32)
Introduction,
97(1)
Compression Ignition Engine Efficiency Fundamentals,
97(2)
Fuel Consumption Reduction Effectiveness,
99(3)
Combustion Ignition Engine Criteria Emission Reduction,
102(2)
Diesel Engine and Diesel Vehicle Cost Data,
104(1)
Conversion to Advanced Diesel—From NRC Phase 1 Report,
104(2)
Tier 3 From Tier 2 Bin 5 Incremental Costs—From TSD,
106(1)
Other Cost Estimates,
107(5)
New and Emerging Technologies,
112(7)
Findings and Recommendations,
119(2)
References,
121(2)
Annex,
123(6)
4 Electrified Powertrains 129(38)
Fuel Efficiency Fundamentals of Electrified Powertrains,
129(1)
Types of Electrified Powertrains,
130(24)
Fuel Consumption Benefits,
154(3)
Costs,
157(1)
Findings and Recommendations,
157(2)
References,
159(5)
Annex Tables,
164(3)
5 Transmissions 167(40)
Introduction,
167(1)
Transmission Fundamentals for Achieving Fuel Consumption Reductions,
167(18)
Fuel Consumption Reduction Technologies Considered in the Final CAFE Rule Analysis,
185(11)
Fuel Consumption Reduction Technologies Not Included in the Final CAFE Rule Analysis,
196(1)
Transmission Controls,
197(2)
Findings and Recommendations,
199(1)
References,
200(2)
Annex Tables,
202(5)
6 Non-Powertrain Technologies 207(38)
Introduction,
207(1)
Aerodynamics,
207(2)
Mass Reduction Opportunities from Vehicle Body and Interiors,
209(19)
Rolling Resistance,
228(3)
Vehicle Accessories,
231(7)
Automated and Connected Vehicles,
238(2)
Findings and Recommendations,
240(3)
References,
243(2)
7 Cost And Manufacturing Considerations For Meeting Fuel Economy Standards 245(18)
Estimating the Costs of Meeting the Fuel Economy Standards,
245(7)
Manufacturing Issues—Timing Considerations for New Technologies,
252(7)
Findings and Recommendations,
259(1)
References,
260(3)
8 Estimates Of Technology Costs And Fuel Consumption Reduction Effectiveness 263(44)
Introduction,
263(1)
Fuel Consumption Reduction Effectiveness and Cost of Technologies,
263(8)
Technology Pathway Example,
271(9)
Full System Simulation Modeling of Fuel Consumption Reductions,
280(7)
Implementation Status of Fuel Consumption Reduction Technologies,
287(3)
Findings and Recommendations,
290(3)
References,
293(1)
Annex Tables,
294(13)
9 Consumer Impacts And Acceptance Issues 307(30)
Introduction,
307(1)
Trends in Vehicle Characteristics,
307(4)
Consumer Valuation of Fuel Economy: The Energy Paradox?,
311(7)
Automakers' Risk Aversion to Supplying Greater Fuel Economy,
318(2)
Evidence on Consumer Value for Vehicle Attributes,
320(7)
Costs and Benefits of the New Rules to Individual Consumers,
327(5)
Findings and Recommendations,
332(1)
References,
333(4)
10 Overall Assessment Of Cafe Program Methodology And Design 337(32)
Choice of Vehicle Attributes in the Design of Current Regulations,
337(5)
Credit Trading,
342(5)
Assessing Adequacy of the Certification Test Cycles,
347(3)
The Treatment of "Alternative" Technologies in the CAFE/GHG Program,
350(5)
Approach and Methodology Used to Set Standards and Evaluate Costs and Benefits,
355(8)
Findings and Recommendations,
363(3)
References,
366(3)
Appendixes
A Statement of Task
369(2)
B Committee Biographies
371(5)
C Presentations and Committee Meetings
376(3)
D Ideal Thermodynamic Cycles for Otto, Diesel, and Atkinson Engines
379(1)
E SI Engine Definitions and Efficiency Fundamentals
380(1)
F Examples of Friction Reduction Opportunities for Main Engine Components
381(2)
G Friction Reduction in Downsized Engines
383(1)
H Variable Valve Timing Systems
384(2)
I Variable Valve Lift Systems
386(4)
J Reasons for Potential Differences from NHTSA Estimates for Fuel Consumption Reduction Effectiveness of Turbocharged, Downsized Engines
390(3)
K DOE Research Projects on Turbocharged and Downsized Engines
393(2)
L Relationship between Power and Performance
395(1)
M HCCI Projects
396(5)
N Effect of Compression Ratio of Brake Thermal Efficiency
401(1)
O Variable Compression Ratio Engines
402(2)
P Fuel Consumption Impact of Tier 3 Emission Standards
404(2)
Q Examples of EPA's Standards for Gasoline
406(1)
R Impact of Low Carbon Fuels to Achieve Reductions in GHG Emissions (California LCFS 2007—Alternative Fuels and Cleaner Fossil Fuels CNG, LPG)
407(2)
S NHTSA's Estimated Fuel Consumption Reduction Effectiveness of Technologies and Estimated Costs of Technologies
409(11)
T Derivation of Turbocharged, Downsized Engine Direct Manufacturing Costs
420(2)
U SI Engine Pathway—NHTSA Estimates—Direct Manufacturing Costs and Total Costs
422(4)
V SI Engine Pathway—NRC Estimates—Direct Manufacturing Costs—Alternative Pathway, Alternative High CR with Exhaust Scavenging, and Alternative EVAS Supercharger
426(8)
W Technologies, Footprints, and Fuel Economy for Example Passenger Cars, Trucks, and Hybrid Passenger Cars
434(4)
X Full System Simulation Modeling of Fuel Consumption Reductions
438(4)
Y Acronym List
442