Muutke küpsiste eelistusi

17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle: Connecting the Panics of 1929, 1987, 2000 and 2007 [Pehme köide]

  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 96 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 244x170x5 mm, kaal: 177 g, black & white illustrations
  • Ilmumisaeg: 11-Mar-2013
  • Kirjastus: Harriman House Publishing
  • ISBN-10: 0857192736
  • ISBN-13: 9780857192738
Teised raamatud teemal:
  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 96 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 244x170x5 mm, kaal: 177 g, black & white illustrations
  • Ilmumisaeg: 11-Mar-2013
  • Kirjastus: Harriman House Publishing
  • ISBN-10: 0857192736
  • ISBN-13: 9780857192738
Teised raamatud teemal:
How do we know where we are in the current stock market cycle? Are we in the midst of a new long term bull market or a market rally within an ongoing bear market?

The answers to the above questions are critical to forming an appropriate investment strategy to plan for the future. The difference between anticipating the end of a secular (or cyclical) bull market and reacting to the significant crash that follows will have a big impact on anyone's investment returns and retirement plans.

This book is concerned with cycles. A cycle is a sequence of events that repeat over time. The outcome won't necessarily be the same each time, but the underlying characteristics are the same. A good example is the seasonal cycle. Each year we have spring, summer, autumn and winter, and after winter we have spring again. But the weather can, and does, vary a great deal from one year to another. And so it is with the stock market.

Kerry Balenthiran has studied stock market data going back 100 years and discovered a regular 17.6 year stock market cycle consisting of increments of 2.2 years. He has also extrapolated the cycle forwards to provide investors with a market roadmap stretching out to 2053. He describes this in detail and outlines the changing character of the stock market through the different phases of the 17.6 year stock market cycle.

Whether you are an investment professional or private investor, this book provides a fascinating insight into the cyclical nature of the stock market and enables you to ensure that you have the right strategy for the prevailing stock market conditions.

Arvustused

An excellent book -- MoneyMaker magazine Well researched and a good read...a great first book and more importantly could be an excellent anchor for what follows -- Capitalsynthesis Kerry Balenthiran is a brilliant cycles analyst -- Dominic Picarda, Investors Chronicle The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle is a relatively slight book because it contains so few wasted words. I enjoyed the brief tours of cycle theory and stock market history and take some comfort from the conclusions Kerry Balenthiran draws. -- Richard Beddard, Interactive Investor Instructional as well as inspirational -- Dividend Income Investor All in all, I think the book does a good job at laying out some well known economic cycles, and presents an interesting hypothesis with an elegant pattern that tries to connect them. -- Danny Van den Berghe, Lunatic Trader

About the Author iv
Introduction v
Chapter 1 Commodity Cycles
1(6)
Chapter 2 Business Cycles - A Historical Perspective
7(6)
Chapter 3 Business Cycles - A Modern Psychological Perspective
13(10)
Chapter 4 Balenthiran 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle
23(36)
Part I Bull Market 1982 to 2000
33(6)
Part II Bear Market 1929 to 1947
39(8)
Part III Bull Market 1947 to 1965 and Bear Market 1965 to 1982
47(8)
Part IV Bear Market 2000 to 2018
55(4)
Chapter 5 How to Trade the Balenthiran 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle
59(12)
Chapter 6 Conclusion
71(8)
Appendices
79(10)
How I Discovered the 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle
81(6)
Bibliography
87(2)
Index 89
Kerry Balenthiran studied mathematics at the University of Warwick and then worked as a Spacecraft Operations Engineer in the UK and at the European Space Agency. He qualified as a chartered accountant with Arthur Andersen and now works as a consultant within financial services. His mathematical background led to a fascination with the cyclical nature of stock market booms and busts.