Preface |
|
xiii | |
|
|
1 | (16) |
|
1.1 What Is a Dynamic Treatment Regime? |
|
|
1 | (1) |
|
|
2 | (5) |
|
1.2.1 Treatment of Acute Leukemias |
|
|
2 | (2) |
|
1.2.2 Interventions for Children with ADHD |
|
|
4 | (2) |
|
1.2.3 Treatment of HIV Infection |
|
|
6 | (1) |
|
1.3 The Meaning of "Dynamic" |
|
|
7 | (1) |
|
|
8 | (4) |
|
1.4.1 Definition of a Dynamic Treatment Regime |
|
|
8 | (3) |
|
1.4.2 Data for Dynamic Treatment Regimes |
|
|
11 | (1) |
|
|
12 | (5) |
|
|
17 | (34) |
|
|
17 | (2) |
|
2.2 Point Exposure Studies |
|
|
19 | (2) |
|
2.3 Potential Outcomes and Causal Inference |
|
|
21 | (7) |
|
|
21 | (3) |
|
|
24 | (2) |
|
2.3.3 Observational Studies |
|
|
26 | (2) |
|
2.4 Estimation of Causal Effects via Outcome Regression |
|
|
28 | (4) |
|
2.5 Review of M-estimation |
|
|
32 | (7) |
|
2.6 Estimation of Causal Effects via the Propensity Score |
|
|
39 | (7) |
|
2.6.1 The Propensity Score |
|
|
39 | (2) |
|
2.6.2 Propensity Score Stratification |
|
|
41 | (1) |
|
2.6.3 Inverse Probability Weighting |
|
|
41 | (5) |
|
2.7 Doubly Robust Estimation of Causal Effects |
|
|
46 | (4) |
|
|
50 | (1) |
|
3 Single Decision Treatment Regimes: Fundamentals |
|
|
51 | (48) |
|
|
51 | (1) |
|
3.2 Treatment Regimes for a Single Decision Point |
|
|
52 | (3) |
|
3.2.1 Class of All Possible Treatment Regimes |
|
|
52 | (1) |
|
3.2.2 Potential Outcomes Framework |
|
|
53 | (1) |
|
3.2.3 Value of a Treatment Regime |
|
|
54 | (1) |
|
3.3 Estimation of the Value of a Fixed Regime |
|
|
55 | (8) |
|
3.3.1 Outcome Regression Estimator |
|
|
56 | (2) |
|
3.3.2 Inverse Probability Weighted Estimator |
|
|
58 | (3) |
|
3.3.3 Augmented Inverse Probability Weighted Estimator |
|
|
61 | (2) |
|
3.4 Characterization of an Optimal Regime |
|
|
63 | (5) |
|
3.5 Estimation of an Optimal Regime |
|
|
68 | (29) |
|
3.5.1 Regression-based Estimation |
|
|
68 | (4) |
|
3.5.2 Estimation via A-learning |
|
|
72 | (7) |
|
3.5.3 Value Search Estimation |
|
|
79 | (8) |
|
3.5.4 Implementation and Practical Performance |
|
|
87 | (4) |
|
3.5.5 More than Two Treatment Options |
|
|
91 | (6) |
|
|
97 | (2) |
|
4 Single Decision Treatment Regimes: Additional Methods |
|
|
99 | (26) |
|
|
99 | (1) |
|
4.2 Optimal Regimes from a Classification Perspective |
|
|
100 | (7) |
|
4.2.1 Generic Classification Problem |
|
|
100 | (1) |
|
4.2.2 Classification Analogy |
|
|
101 | (6) |
|
4.3 Outcome Weighted Learning |
|
|
107 | (5) |
|
4.4 Interpretable Treatment Regimes via Decision Lists |
|
|
112 | (10) |
|
4.5 Additional Approaches |
|
|
122 | (2) |
|
|
124 | (1) |
|
5 Multiple Decision Treatment Regimes: Overview |
|
|
125 | (60) |
|
|
125 | (1) |
|
5.2 Multiple Decision Treatment Regimes |
|
|
126 | (6) |
|
5.3 Statistical Framework |
|
|
132 | (12) |
|
5.3.1 Potential Outcomes for K Decisions |
|
|
132 | (4) |
|
|
136 | (4) |
|
5.3.3 Identifiability Assumptions |
|
|
140 | (4) |
|
5.4 The g-Computation Algorithm |
|
|
144 | (6) |
|
5.5 Estimation of the Value of a Fixed Regime |
|
|
150 | (10) |
|
5.5.1 Estimation via g-Computation |
|
|
150 | (3) |
|
5.5.2 Inverse Probability Weighted Estimator |
|
|
153 | (7) |
|
5.6 Characterization of an Optimal Regime |
|
|
160 | (6) |
|
5.7 Estimation of an Optimal Regime |
|
|
166 | (17) |
|
|
166 | (7) |
|
5.7.2 Value Search Estimation |
|
|
173 | (3) |
|
5.7.3 Backward Iterative Implementation of Value Search Estimation |
|
|
176 | (5) |
|
5.7.4 Implementation and Practical Performance |
|
|
181 | (2) |
|
|
183 | (2) |
|
6 Multiple Decision Treatment Regimes: Formal Framework |
|
|
185 | (60) |
|
|
185 | (1) |
|
6.2 Statistical Framework |
|
|
186 | (19) |
|
6.2.1 Potential Outcomes for K Decisions |
|
|
186 | (3) |
|
6.2.2 Feasible Sets and Classes of Treatment Regimes |
|
|
189 | (5) |
|
6.2.3 Potential Outcomes for a Fixed k-Decision Regime |
|
|
194 | (2) |
|
6.2.4 Identifiability Assumptions |
|
|
196 | (9) |
|
6.3 The g-Computation Algorithm |
|
|
205 | (4) |
|
6.4 Estimation of the Value a Fixed Regime |
|
|
209 | (34) |
|
6.4.1 Estimation via g-Computation |
|
|
209 | (1) |
|
6.4.2 Regression-based Estimation |
|
|
209 | (14) |
|
6.4.3 Inverse Probability Weighted Estimator |
|
|
223 | (9) |
|
6.4.4 Augmented Inverse Probability Weighted Estimator |
|
|
232 | (7) |
|
6.4.5 Estimation via Marginal Structural Models |
|
|
239 | (4) |
|
|
243 | (2) |
|
7 Optimal Multiple Decision Treatment Regimes |
|
|
245 | (80) |
|
|
245 | (1) |
|
7.2 Characterization of an Optimal Regime |
|
|
246 | (12) |
|
|
246 | (2) |
|
7.2.2 Characterization in Terms of Potential Outcomes |
|
|
248 | (5) |
|
|
253 | (3) |
|
7.2.4 Characterization in Terms of Observed Data |
|
|
256 | (2) |
|
7.3 Optimal "Midstream" Regimes |
|
|
258 | (4) |
|
7.4 Estimation of an Optimal Regime |
|
|
262 | (61) |
|
|
262 | (5) |
|
|
267 | (10) |
|
7.4.3 Value Search Estimation |
|
|
277 | (10) |
|
7.4.4 Backward Iterative Estimation |
|
|
287 | (15) |
|
7.4.5 Classification Perspective |
|
|
302 | (8) |
|
7.4.6 Interpretable Regimes via Decision Lists |
|
|
310 | (6) |
|
7.4.7 Estimation via Marginal Structural Models |
|
|
316 | (2) |
|
7.4.8 Additional Approaches |
|
|
318 | (2) |
|
7.4.9 Implementation and Practical Performance |
|
|
320 | (3) |
|
|
323 | (2) |
|
8 Regimes Based on Time-to-Event Outcomes |
|
|
325 | (122) |
|
|
325 | (1) |
|
8.2 Single Decision Treatment Regimes |
|
|
326 | (22) |
|
8.2.1 Statistical Framework |
|
|
326 | (4) |
|
8.2.2 Outcome Regression Estimators |
|
|
330 | (3) |
|
8.2.3 Inverse Probability of Censoring Regression Estimators |
|
|
333 | (3) |
|
8.2.4 Inverse Probability Weighted and Value Search Estimators |
|
|
336 | (8) |
|
|
344 | (4) |
|
8.3 Multiple Decision Treatment Regimes |
|
|
348 | (88) |
|
8.3.1 Multiple Decision Regimes |
|
|
348 | (2) |
|
8.3.2 Statistical Framework |
|
|
350 | (13) |
|
8.3.3 Estimation of the Value of a Fixed Regime |
|
|
363 | (46) |
|
8.3.4 Characterization of an Optimal Regime |
|
|
409 | (3) |
|
8.3.5 Estimation of an Optimal Regime |
|
|
412 | (23) |
|
|
435 | (1) |
|
|
436 | (1) |
|
|
436 | (11) |
|
9 Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomized Trials |
|
|
447 | (68) |
|
|
447 | (3) |
|
9.2 Design Considerations |
|
|
450 | (25) |
|
9.2.1 Basic SMART Framework, K = 2 |
|
|
450 | (2) |
|
9.2.2 Critical Decision Points |
|
|
452 | (9) |
|
9.2.3 Feasible Treatment Options |
|
|
461 | (9) |
|
9.2.4 Interim Outcomes, Randomization, and Stratification |
|
|
470 | (5) |
|
9.2.5 Other Candidate Designs |
|
|
475 | (1) |
|
9.3 Power and Sample Size for Simple Comparisons |
|
|
475 | (13) |
|
9.3.1 Comparing Response Rates |
|
|
476 | (5) |
|
9.3.2 Comparing Fixed Regimes |
|
|
481 | (7) |
|
9.4 Power and Sample Size for More Complex Comparisons |
|
|
488 | (9) |
|
9.4.1 Marginalizing versus Maximizing |
|
|
488 | (3) |
|
9.4.2 Marginalizing over the Second Stage |
|
|
491 | (2) |
|
9.4.3 Marginalizing with Respect to Standard of Care |
|
|
493 | (1) |
|
9.4.4 Maximizing over the Second Stage |
|
|
494 | (3) |
|
9.5 Power and Sample Size for Optimal Treatment Regimes |
|
|
497 | (15) |
|
9.5.1 Normality-based Sample Size Procedure |
|
|
499 | (6) |
|
9.5.2 Projection-based Sample Size Procedure |
|
|
505 | (7) |
|
9.6 Extensions and Further Reading |
|
|
512 | (3) |
|
|
515 | (56) |
|
|
515 | (2) |
|
10.2 Nonsmoothness and Statistical Inference |
|
|
517 | (8) |
|
10.3 Inference for Single Decision Regimes |
|
|
525 | (28) |
|
10.3.1 Inference on Model Parameters |
|
|
526 | (9) |
|
10.3.2 Inference on the Value |
|
|
535 | (18) |
|
10.4 Inference for Multiple Decision Regimes |
|
|
553 | (16) |
|
|
554 | (9) |
|
10.4.2 Value Search Estimation with Convex Surrogates |
|
|
563 | (2) |
|
|
565 | (4) |
|
|
569 | (2) |
|
|
571 | (6) |
Bibliography |
|
577 | (18) |
Index |
|
595 | |