Preface |
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vii | |
Part One. Economic Comparisons of Atomic and Conventional Power |
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1 | (78) |
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Chapter I Economic Characteristics of Atomic Power |
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3 | (37) |
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A Physical and Economic Features of Useful Atomic Power |
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5 | (14) |
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1 The Uses of Atomic Power |
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5 | (2) |
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7 | (6) |
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a Fuel Production and Consumption in the Nuclear Reactor |
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8 | (2) |
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b The Initial Investment of Fuel in the Nuclear Reactor |
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10 | (3) |
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13 | (10) |
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a The Need for Conventional Facilities to Produce Electricity |
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14 | (1) |
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b The Need for Chemical Processing Facilities |
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15 | (2) |
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c Engineering Problems in Reactor Design |
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17 | (2) |
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B Uranium and Thorium Resources |
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19 | (4) |
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C The Cost of Atomic Power |
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23 | (10) |
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1 The Conceptual Basis of the Cost Estimates |
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23 | (1) |
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24 | (17) |
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a Factors Used in Deriving Costs of Ordinary Thermal Electricity |
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24 | (1) |
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b Estimated Minimum Cost of Atomic Power |
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24 | (1) |
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c Cost Estimates Derived from Published Studies of Atomic Power |
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25 | (1) |
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1 Investment in Plant and Equipment |
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26 | (1) |
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2 The Rate of Fixed Charges on Investment |
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29 | (1) |
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3 The Total Cost of Producing Atomic Power |
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29 | (1) |
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4 Effects of Changing Some of the Basic Assumptions |
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30 | (3) |
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Appendix A. The Rate of Fixed Charges |
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33 | (2) |
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Appendix B. Some Economic Implications of the Control of Atomic Energy |
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35 | (5) |
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Chapter II The Cost of Electricity from Conventional Energy Sources |
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40 | (39) |
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A The World Map of Electricity Costs |
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41 | (24) |
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1 The Nature of the Cost Figures |
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41 | (9) |
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a The Hypothetical Thermal Electric Power Plant |
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41 | (2) |
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43 | (1) |
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c Costs of Hydroelectric Power |
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44 | (1) |
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d Foreign Currency Conversions |
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45 | (5) |
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2 The Map Data Summarized |
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50 | (15) |
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a The Types of Information Contained |
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50 | (1) |
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1 For Thermal Electricity |
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51 | (1) |
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54 | (1) |
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b The Sources of Electric Power |
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54 | (1) |
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c The Costs of Electric Power |
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55 | (1) |
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58 | (1) |
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60 | (2) |
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d Thermal Power Costs in the United States and the Soviet Union |
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62 | (2) |
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64 | (1) |
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B The Significance of Differences in the Composition of Total Costs in Atomic Power and Conventional Power |
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65 | (16) |
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1 The Elements of Total Cost: Atomic Power and Conventional Thermal Power |
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65 | (1) |
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2 Trends in the Cost Components of Atomic Power and Conventional Power |
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65 | (2) |
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3 Technological Changes in Conventional Fuels |
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67 | (4) |
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4 Significance for Different Countries of Differences in the Composition of Total Costs |
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71 | (10) |
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71 | (1) |
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b Foreign Exchange Requirements |
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72 | (4) |
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76 | (3) |
Part Two. Atomic Power in Selected Industries |
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79 | (138) |
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Chapter III The Industry Analyses: A Summary View |
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81 | (24) |
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A The Setting of the Problem |
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81 | (11) |
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1 The Purposes of an Analysis by Industries |
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81 | (1) |
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2 The Major Questions Raised in the Industry Analyses |
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82 | (1) |
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3 The Significance of the Industry Analyses for More General Economic Questions |
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83 | (3) |
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84 | (1) |
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84 | (2) |
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4 The Selection of Industries |
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86 | (3) |
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5 The Cost of Atomic Power |
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89 | (3) |
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B Major Findings of the Industry Analyses |
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92 | (13) |
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93 | (1) |
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94 | (1) |
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95 | (1) |
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96 | (1) |
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97 | (1) |
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98 | |
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94 | (7) |
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8 Railroad Transportation |
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101 | (2) |
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103 | (2) |
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A Processes of Production |
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105 | (2) |
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B Effects of Atomic Power on Costs and Production Sites |
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107 | (3) |
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1 The Importance of Electricity and Transportation in Production Costs |
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107 | (1) |
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2 The Possibility of Cost Reductions in Present Sites |
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108 | (1) |
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3 The Possibility of Locating Aluminum Reduction Plants at New Sites |
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108 | (2) |
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a Closer to Raw Materials |
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108 | (1) |
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109 | (1) |
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C Atomic Power and the Expansion of Aluminum Production |
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110 | (5) |
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1 Growth of Aluminum Demand |
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111 | (1) |
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2 Power Requirements of Increased Aluminum Production |
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112 | (2) |
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3 Aluminum Production from Ores other than Bauxite |
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114 | (1) |
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D Application of the Analysis to Other Countries |
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115 | (4) |
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Chapter V Chlorine and Caustic Soda |
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119 | (5) |
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A Processes of Production and Factors in the Location of Plants |
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119 | (2) |
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B Possible Economic Effects of Atomic Power |
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121 | (2) |
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1 The Importance of Power Costs |
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121 | (1) |
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2 Possible Cost Reductions From the Use of Atomic Power |
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121 | (2) |
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C Some General Conclusions |
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123 | (1) |
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Chapter VI Phosphate Fertilizers |
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124 | (11) |
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A Processes of Production and Factors in the Location of Plants |
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125 | (3) |
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1 The Sulfuric Acid Process |
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125 | (1) |
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2 The Electric Furnace Process |
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126 | (1) |
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3 Transportation Costs of Superphosphate Fertilizer: A Summary |
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127 | (1) |
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B Possible Economic Effects of Atomic Power |
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128 | (6) |
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1 Comparative Costs of the Sulfuric Acid Process and the Atomically Powered Electric Furnace in Producing Fertilizer Materials in Florida |
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130 | (2) |
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2 The Comparative Costs of Smelting Florida Rock in Florida and Elsewhere |
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132 | (2) |
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134 | (1) |
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135 | (9) |
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A The Process of Production and Factors in the Location of Plants |
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135 | (1) |
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B Comparative Fuel and Power Costs of Coal and Atomic Energy |
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136 | (6) |
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1 The Importance of Fuel and Power Costs |
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136 | (1) |
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2 Comparative Costs: Coal and Atomic Energy |
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136 | (12) |
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a Using Atomic Electricity for All Operations |
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136 | (3) |
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b Nuclear Reactors as a Source of Direct Heat and Electricity |
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139 | (3) |
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C Some General Conclusions |
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142 | (2) |
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144 | (2) |
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146 | (10) |
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A Processes of Production and Factors in the Location of Plants |
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146 | (2) |
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B Possible Effects of Atomic Power on Production Costs and Plant Location |
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148 | (6) |
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1 The Importance of Fuel and Power Costs |
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148 | (2) |
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2 Comparative Costs of Natural Gas and Electricity in Glass Production |
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150 | (1) |
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3 Possible Effects of Atomic Power |
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151 | (5) |
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a Production Costs in Present Locations |
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151 | (2) |
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153 | (1) |
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154 | (2) |
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156 | (26) |
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A Production Process, Raw Materials, and Plant Location |
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156 | (3) |
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156 | (1) |
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2 Plant Location and Integration |
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157 | (2) |
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a Integration and Scale of Production |
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157 | (1) |
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157 | (2) |
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B Possible Effects of Atomic Power on Production Costs, Plant Location, and Integration |
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159 | (17) |
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1 Assumptions of the Analysis |
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159 | (1) |
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2 Effect on Costs, Assuming No Locational Changes, No Changes in Technology, and No Relative Increase in Electricity Consumption |
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160 | (1) |
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3 Effects of Atomic Power Allowing for the Possible Increase in the Relative Importance of Electric Furnace Steel Production |
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161 | (4) |
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a Comparative Costs of Steel Production by Open- Hearth and Electric Furnaces |
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161 | (1) |
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b Location Changes Resulting from Atomic Power-Based Electric Furnaces |
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162 | (3) |
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4 Effects of Atomic Power with Fundamental Changes in the Technology of Iron Ore Reduction, i.e. the Substitution of Electricity for Coking Coal |
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165 | (11) |
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a The Electric Smelting of Iron Ore |
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165 | (1) |
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1 Comparative Costs of Smelting in Electric Furnaces and Blast Furnaces |
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165 | (1) |
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2 Cost-Reducing Possibilities of Atomic Power in Major Steel Centers |
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166 | (1) |
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3 The Possibility of Iron Smelting in New Locations |
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167 | (1) |
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b Low Temperature Processes (Sponge Iron) |
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167 | (1) |
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1 Comparative Costs of Electrolytic Hydrogen Sponge Iron and Coke Blast Furnace Pig Iron |
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169 | (1) |
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169 | (1) |
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169 | (1) |
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170 | (1) |
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170 | (1) |
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2 Competitive Possibilities of Atomic Power in Major Steel Centers |
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170 | (1) |
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3 The Possibility of Iron Smelting in New Locations |
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172 | (1) |
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4 Some General Observations on Locational Factors in Hydrogen Reduction Using Atomic Power |
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174 | (2) |
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C The Use of New Iron and Steel Technology in the United States and Other Countries |
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176 | (6) |
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1 The Possible Importance of Electric Steel Furnace Operations |
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176 | (1) |
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2 The Possible Importance of Hydrogen Reduction |
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177 | (7) |
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177 | (1) |
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178 | (4) |
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Chapter XI Railroad Transportation |
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182 | (17) |
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A Comparative Costs of Different Forms of Railroad Motive Power |
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184 | (8) |
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1 The Cost of Railroad Motive Power |
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184 | (1) |
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2 Recent Tendencies in the Use of Railroad Motive Power |
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185 | (2) |
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3 Comparative Capital Requirements and Operating Costs: Diesel and Electric Motive Power |
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187 | (5) |
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188 | (1) |
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189 | (3) |
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B Implications of Atomic Power for Railroad Electrification in the United States and Other Countries |
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192 | (4) |
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192 | (3) |
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195 | (1) |
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Appendix: On the Feasibility of Using Nuclear Power Plants in Rail-road Locomotives |
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196 | (3) |
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Chapter XII Residential Heating |
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199 | (18) |
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A The Use of Atomic Power in Residential Heating |
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200 | (2) |
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B The Cost of Atomic Energy in District Heating of Residences |
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202 | (8) |
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1 Distribution of Centrally Produced Heat |
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202 | (6) |
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a Peak Demand (Annual Plant Capacity) |
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202 | (3) |
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205 | (1) |
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c The Cost of Heat Distribution |
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206 | (2) |
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2 Generation of Heat in a Nuclear Reactor |
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208 | (1) |
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3 The Significance of Heat Losses |
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209 | (1) |
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C The Economic Feasibility of Atomic-Powered District Heating |
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210 | (7) |
Part Three. Atomic Power and Economic Development |
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217 | (66) |
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Chapter XIII The Effects of Atomic Power on National or Regional Economies |
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219 | (29) |
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A Possible Effects on the National Income |
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221 | (18) |
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1 Estimation of the Increase in Income |
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221 | (5) |
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2 Estimation of the Increased Demand for Energy |
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226 | (6) |
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232 | (2) |
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4 Economic Assumptions Involved in Estimates of Increased Income |
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234 | (3) |
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a The Full Employment of Resources |
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234 | (2) |
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236 | (1) |
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5 Long-term Repercussions |
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237 | (2) |
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a Changes in the Rate of Capital Accumulation |
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237 | (1) |
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b Changes in Population and the Labor Force |
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238 | (1) |
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c Long-term Repercussions: Changes in Technology |
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238 | (1) |
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B Possible Effects upon Location |
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239 | (7) |
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1 The Production Multiplier |
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241 | (1) |
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2 The Production Goods Multiplier |
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241 | (1) |
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3 The Consumption Multiplier |
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242 | (2) |
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a The Income Effect and the Consumption Multiplier |
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243 | (1) |
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4 The Capital Equipment Multiplier |
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244 | (1) |
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5 Source of the New Labor Force |
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245 | (1) |
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C Some General Conclusions |
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246 | (2) |
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Chapter XIV Atomic Power and the Industrialization of Backward Areas |
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248 | (35) |
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A Typical Stages of Industrialization Stage |
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249 | (4) |
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1 The Village Economy Stage |
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249 | (1) |
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2 The Single-Crop Economy Stage |
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250 | (1) |
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3 Initial Industrialization Stage |
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251 | (1) |
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4 The Introduction of Heavy Industry |
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252 | (1) |
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B Industrialization and Real Income |
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253 | (2) |
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C The Limiting Factors for Industrialization |
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255 | (11) |
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256 | (4) |
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260 | (1) |
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261 | (3) |
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264 | (2) |
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D Prospects of Industrialization Through Atomic Power |
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266 | (17) |
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1 Capital Savings Through Atomic Power |
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267 | (3) |
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2 Regional Development and Atomic Energy |
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270 | (13) |
Index |
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283 | |