| Foreword |
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5 | |
| List of Tables |
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15 | |
| Appendix of Tables |
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18 | |
| List of Diagrams |
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19 | |
| Preface to the English Edition |
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21 | |
| I Foreign Exchanges and Internal Price Movements in Germany, 1914 to 1923 |
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23 | |
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23 | |
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25 | |
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From the Armistice till the Signing of the Treaty of Versailles, |
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28 | |
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From July 1919 to February 1920, |
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29 | |
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From February 1920 to the Acceptance of the Ultimatum of London, |
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30 | |
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From May 1921 to July 1922, |
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32 | |
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33 | |
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June 1923 to the Introduction of the Rentenmark, |
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35 | |
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Summary of Exchange Rates and Prices from 1914 to 1933, |
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37 | |
| II The National Finances, the Inflation and the Depreciation of the Mark |
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42 | |
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The Helfferich Explanation of the Depreciation of the Mark, |
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42 | |
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The Conditions of the National Finances during the War, |
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47 | |
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Income and Expenditure of the Reich from 1919 to 1923, |
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51 | |
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The Causes of the Depreciation of the Mark in 1919, |
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53 | |
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The Depreciation of the Mark during the Financial Year 1920-21, |
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55 | |
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The Discussions concerning the Financial Reform and the Financial Compromise of March 1922, |
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57 | |
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The Conditions of the National Finances in 1921 and 1922, |
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60 | |
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The Conditions of the Reich Budget after the Occupation of the Ruhr, |
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62 | |
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The Influences of the Depreciation of the Mark on the Receipts of the Reich, |
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64 | |
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Influences of the Depreciation of the Mark on the Expenditure of the Reich, |
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68 | |
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The Errors and Weaknesses of German Financial Policy, |
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70 | |
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The Policy of the Reichsbank, |
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75 | |
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The Apparent Scarcity of the Circulating Medium, |
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79 | |
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The Increase in the Issues of Paper Money, |
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82 | |
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The Depreciation of the Mark and the Disequilibrium of the Balance of Trade, |
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83 | |
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The Balance of Payments after the End of the War, |
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86 | |
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Abnormal Conditions of the Foreign Exchange Market, |
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87 | |
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Payments under the Treaty of Versailles, |
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93 | |
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The Influence of Reparation Payments on the Value of the Mark, |
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95 | |
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The Influence of Speculation on the Value of the Mark, |
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100 | |
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The Influence of Certain Classes of German Industrialists on the Depreciation of the Mark, |
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103 | |
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The Foreign Exchanges under Conditions of Inconvertible Paper Money |
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107 | |
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The Determination of Exchange Rates, |
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107 | |
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Influence of Non-Merchandise Transactions on Exchange Rates, |
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112 | |
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The Influence of Transport Costs, |
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114 | |
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Exchange Rates in the Case of Very Elastic Schedules of International Demand for Commodities, |
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115 | |
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Relations between Exchange Rates and Prices of Domestic Commodities, |
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118 | |
| III The Divergences between the Internal Value and the External Value of the Mark |
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120 | |
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Some Historical Examples, |
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120 | |
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The Various Measures of the Depreciation of a Paper Currency, |
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121 | |
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Some Opinions on the Relations between the Internal and External Values of the Mark, |
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124 | |
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Difficulties in ascertaining Exchange Rates and Internal Prices in Germany, |
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125 | |
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128 | |
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Relations between the External and Internal Values of the Mark after 1918, |
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131 | |
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The Sensitiveness of the Various Classes of Prices, |
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133 | |
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The Rapid Adaptation of Internal Prices to the Variations of the Exchange in the Last Phases of the Depreciation of the Mark, |
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136 | |
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Monetary Phenomena observed during the Last Phase of the Depreciation of the Mark, |
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142 | |
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APPENDIX TO CHAPTER III On Certain Methodological Questions regarding the Calculation of the Depreciation of the Mark |
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146 | |
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Arithmetic and Harmonic Averages of the Value of Pin Gold Mark expressed in Paper Marks, |
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146 | |
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The Geometric Mean of the Daily Exchange Rates, of the Gold Mark, |
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146 | |
| IV. Relations between the Total Quantity of Paper Money in Circulation |
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155 | |
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155 | |
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The Fall of the Total Value of the Paper Money in Circulation in an Advanced Phase of Inflation. Explanation given by Keynes and Marshall, |
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158 | |
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Relations between the Quantity of Paper Money, Prices and the Foreign Exchange Rates in an Advanced Phase of Monetary Depreciation, |
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160 | |
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Variations in the Velocity of Circulation of the German Mark, 1914-22, |
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166 | |
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The Total Real Value of Marks in Circulation in 1922 and 1923, |
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173 | |
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Bortkiewicz's Views on the Causes of the Increase of the Velocity of the Circulation of the Paper Mark, |
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173 | |
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Objections to the Bortkiewicz Theory, |
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176 | |
| V The Influences of the Depreciation of the Mark on Economic Activity |
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183 | |
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The Opinions of the Classical Economists about the Effects of the Monetary Inflation on Production, |
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183 | |
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"Forced Saving" imposed on Some Classes by the Inflation, as the Source of the New Resources, |
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186 | |
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Relations between the Depreciation of the Mark and Unemployment, |
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188 | |
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Economic Activity in Germany from October 1921 to the Summer of 1922, |
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190 | |
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Certain Statistics of Production in Germany in the Years 1920-23, |
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192 | |
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Disturbance in the Direction of Economic Activity, |
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193 | |
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The Production of Instrumental Goods, |
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197 | |
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The Expansion of Germany's Productive Equipment during the Inflation, |
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201 | |
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The Formation of the Great Post-War Industrial Groups, |
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203 | |
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The Influences of the Monetary Inflation on Industrial Concentration, |
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207 | |
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The Situation of the Private Credit Banks during the Inflation, |
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212 | |
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The Influence of the Inflation on Economic Production in an Advanced Phase of the Depreciation of the Mark, |
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214 | |
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The Increase of Unproductive Work, |
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215 | |
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The Decline in the Intensity of Labour, |
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217 | |
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The Suspension of the Natural Selection of Firms, |
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219 | |
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The Difficulties of National Production, |
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220 | |
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The Economic Crisis caused by the Inflation in 1923, |
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220 | |
| VI The Depreciation of the Mark and Germany's Foreign Trade |
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224 | |
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Differences of Opinion between Economists about the Influence of the Paper Inflation on the Balance of Trade, |
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224 | |
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Relations between Inflation and the Balance of Trade in Various Phases of the Depreciation of the Mark, |
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225 | |
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Influences of the Depreciation of the Mark on the Volume of Exports, |
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227 | |
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Influences of the Depreciation of the Mark on the Volume of Imports, |
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230 | |
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Influences of the Depreciation of the Mark on the Composition of the Export and Import Totals, |
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232 | |
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The Supposed "Invasion" by German Goods, |
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234 | |
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Causes which limited the Expansion of German Exports during the Depreciation of the Mark, |
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236 | |
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Influences of the Depreciation of the Mark on Invisible Exports, |
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238 | |
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Relations between Exports and Production during the Monetary Depreciation, |
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240 | |
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Errors in German Statistics of the Aggregate Value of Exports, |
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242 | |
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The Influence of the Depreciation of the Mark on Prices of Exported Goods, |
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244 | |
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Certain Statistics of Export Prices, |
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246 | |
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Comparisons between Prices in the World Market, in the German Market, and Prices of Goods Exported from Germany, |
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249 | |
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The Ratio of Interchange between German and Foreign Goods, |
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251 | |
| VII The Course of Prices of Industrial Shares during the Paper Inflation |
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253 | |
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Methodological Observations, |
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253 | |
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The Course of Share Prices in 1919, |
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255 | |
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The Close Connection between Share Prices and the Dollar Rate in 1920 and 1921, |
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258 | |
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The Fall in the Prices of Industrial Shares in 1922, |
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263 | |
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The Increase in the Price of Shares Towards the End of 1922 and during 1923, |
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270 | |
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The Question of the "Gold Balance Sheets," |
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274 | |
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Principal Results of the New "Gold Balance Sheets," |
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277 | |
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The Capital of the Principal German Industrial Groups in 1924, |
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282 | |
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284 | |
| VIII Social Influences of the Inflation |
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286 | |
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286 | |
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The Post-Armistice Social Revolution, |
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288 | |
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The Origin of the Great Private Fortunes amassed during the Inflation, |
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290 | |
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Speculation on the Bourse during the Inflation, |
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295 | |
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The Great "Inflation Profiteers," |
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296 | |
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Unfavourable Effects of the War and the Inflation on Certain Classes of Great Wealth, |
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298 | |
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German Statistics of Working-class Wages, |
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300 | |
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The Calculation of the Real Wages during a Time of Rapid Monetary Depreciation, |
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302 | |
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The Effects on Wages of the Political Upheaval of November 1918, |
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303 | |
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The Influence of the Inflation until the Summer of 1922. The Fall in Real Wages and Increase of Employment, |
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305 | |
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Real Wages and Unemployment in the Last Phases of the Depreciation of the Mark, |
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308 | |
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The Variability of Workers' Incomes during the Inflation, |
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311 | |
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The Tendency to Equality of Wages of Different Classes of Workers, |
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313 | |
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The Position of Owners of Marketable Securities, |
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314 | |
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The Losses suffered by Small Shareholders, |
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315 | |
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The Holders of the Fixed Interest Securities and Mortgage Bonds, |
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317 | |
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The Question of the "Revaluation" of Old Credits expressed in Paper Marks, |
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320 | |
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The Decree of February 14th, 1924, and the Law of July 16th, 1925, on "Revaluation," |
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322 | |
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Special Taxes on Inflation Profits, |
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323 | |
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The Revaluation of Government Securities, |
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324 | |
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The Incomes of Government Employees and of the Professions during the Inflation, |
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326 | |
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The Poverty of Certain Social Classes during the Inflation, |
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328 | |
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Some Political, Demographic, and Moral Consequences of the Inflation, |
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330 | |
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ix The Monetary Reform of November 1923 |
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334 | |
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Characteristics of the Monetary Reform, |
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334 | |
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The Position in Germany at the Time of the Monetary Reform, |
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335 | |
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Some Explanation of the "Miracle" of the Rentenmark, |
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337 | |
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The Substitution for Legal Tender Currency of Other Means of Payment, during the Last Phase of the Inflation, |
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341 | |
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Circumstances which favoured the Success of the German Monetary Reform, |
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345 | |
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Monetary and Banking Policy during 1924, 349 The New German Currency: the Reichsmark, |
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353 | |
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Financial Policy in 1924, |
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355 | |
| X The Stabilization Crisis |
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359 | |
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The Scarcity of Working Capital immediately after the Monetary Inflation, |
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359 | |
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The "Conversion of Circulating Capital into Fixed Capital" during the Inflation, |
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363 | |
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The Causes of the Shortage of Capital, |
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365 | |
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The Post-Stabilization Fall in the Demand for Instrumental Goods, |
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369 | |
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The Movement of the Working Classes towards Industries producing Goods for Direct Consumption, |
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370 | |
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The Crisis in the Great Industrial Groups formed during the Inflation, |
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372 | |
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The Progress of Horizontal Concentration after the Monetary Stabilization, |
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374 | |
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The Situation of Industries producing Consumption Goods, |
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376 | |
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Changes within the Consumption Trades, |
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377 | |
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The Reaction of Entrepreneurs to the Shortage of Capital, |
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383 | |
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The Reconstitution of Working-Capital by Foreign Loans, |
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385 | |
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The "Rationalization" of German Industry, |
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388 | |
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The Monetary Stabilization as a Prerequisite of Economic Reconstruction, |
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391 | |
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The Influence of the Monetary Stabilization on the Situation of Ordinary Credit Banks, |
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393 | |
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Wages after the Monetary Stabilization, |
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394 | |
| XI Conclusion |
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398 | |
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405 | |
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German Economic Conditions from the End of the Inflation until 1931, |
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405 | |
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The Different Phases of the Stabilization Crisis, |
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405 | |
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The Economic Revival of 1926 and its Causes, |
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406 | |
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The Influence of the English Coal Strike of 1926, |
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409 | |
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The Transformation of the Productive Equipment of German Industry, |
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410 | |
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The Expansion of Bank Credit and of the Monetary Circulation, |
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412 | |
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"Forced Saving" during the Expansion, |
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415 | |
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Economic Activity during 1927-28, |
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417 | |
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The Check to Economic Expansion, |
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420 | |
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Causes of the Depression. Two Theories: "Crisis of Returns" or "Shortage of Capital"? |
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422 | |
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The Connection between Unemployment and the Ratio between Nominal Wages and Sale Prices, |
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424 | |
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Other Factors in the Depression: The Reparations Problem, the Government Financial Position, and the Internal Political Situation, |
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427 | |
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The Variations in the Supply of Capital. Internal Saving, |
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429 | |
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Mistakes made in the Investment of Capital, |
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431 | |
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The Banking Situation and the Restriction of Bank Credits, |
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432 | |
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The Banking Crisis of the Summer of 1931, |
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434 | |
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436 | |
| Appendix of Tables |
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437 | |
| Index |
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459 | |