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xi | |
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xiii | |
| Preface |
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xiv | |
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| Acknowledgements |
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xv | |
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1 Introduction: and a guide for navigating this book |
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1 | (6) |
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1 | (1) |
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2 | (1) |
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1.3 Focus areas and organisation of book |
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2 | (2) |
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4 | (1) |
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4 | (3) |
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2 Reforming fossil fuel subsidies: drivers, barriers, and the state of progress |
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7 | (24) |
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7 | (1) |
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2.2 Defining and estimating fossil fuel subsidies |
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8 | (3) |
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2.3 Fiscal, economic, environmental, and distributional costs of fossil fuel subsidies |
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11 | (3) |
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2.4 Reform progress: what's being done? |
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14 | (6) |
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2.4.1 Galvanising action: international communities and institutions |
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14 | (2) |
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2.4.2 Implementing subsidy reforms: country-level action |
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16 | (4) |
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2.5 Reforms: drivers and barriers |
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20 | (4) |
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2.5.1 The role of prices in driving reforms |
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20 | (2) |
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2.5.2 Public opposition and political economy |
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22 | (2) |
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2.6 Focus areas for the design of subsidy reforms |
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24 | (2) |
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2.7 Areas for future research |
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26 | (1) |
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27 | (4) |
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3 The impacts on households: the regional variation of poverty effects due to fossil fuel subsidy reform -- evidence from Nigeria |
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31 | (31) |
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31 | (1) |
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3.2 Fossil fuel subsidies in Nigeria |
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32 | (2) |
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3.3 Understanding energy demand |
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34 | (5) |
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39 | (20) |
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40 | (4) |
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3.4.2 A hypothetical fuel subsidy reform: two scenarios |
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44 | (3) |
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3.4.3 Estimation results: the impacts of reform |
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47 | (12) |
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3.5 Designing fossil fuel subsidy reforms: conclusions |
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59 | (3) |
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4 Subsidy reforms and the impacts on firms: transmission channels and response measures |
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62 | (13) |
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62 | (1) |
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63 | (2) |
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4.3 Transmission channels and response measures |
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65 | (7) |
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4.3.1 Transmission channels of energy price increases |
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66 | (2) |
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4.3.2 Four response measures |
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68 | (4) |
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4.4 Conclusion and policy implications |
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72 | (3) |
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4.4.1 Need for further research |
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72 | (1) |
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4.4.2 Implications for the design of fuel subsidy reforms |
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73 | (2) |
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5 Energy price variation and competitiveness: firm level evidence from Indonesia |
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75 | (32) |
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75 | (1) |
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5.2 Literature and background |
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76 | (3) |
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5.3 Background: competitiveness and firms' response measures |
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79 | (4) |
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5.3.1 Using profits to estimate competitiveness |
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79 | (2) |
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5.3.2 Normalising for firm size |
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81 | (1) |
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5.3.3 Profit and cost shares of revenue |
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82 | (1) |
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5.3.4 Response measures determine impacts |
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82 | (1) |
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5.4 Data and descriptive observations |
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83 | (7) |
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83 | (1) |
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84 | (1) |
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5.4.3 Energy prices: regional variation |
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84 | (5) |
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5.4.4 Competitiveness: regional variation |
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89 | (1) |
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89 | (1) |
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5.5 The effects of energy prices on competitiveness -- and firms' response measures |
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90 | (12) |
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5.5.1 Long-run competitiveness: energy prices and cost shares |
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91 | (1) |
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5.5.2 Inter-fuel substitution |
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92 | (5) |
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97 | (2) |
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99 | (3) |
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5.6 Robustness tests and limitations |
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102 | (1) |
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5.7 Conclusion and policy implications |
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103 | (4) |
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6 Illicit dealings: general equilibrium effects of fossil fuel subsidy reform, and the role of tax evasion and smuggling |
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107 | (47) |
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107 | (2) |
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6.2 Relation to prior literature |
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109 | (3) |
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6.2.1 Fossil fuel subsidies |
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109 | (1) |
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6.2.2 Fossil fuel subsidy reform simulations |
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110 | (1) |
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6.2.3 The double dividend |
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111 | (1) |
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6.2.4 Tax evasion and smuggling |
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112 | (1) |
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6.3 The societal cost of illicit activities |
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112 | (1) |
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6.4 Fuel subsidies in Nigeria: background and overview |
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113 | (1) |
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6.5 Fuel subsidy reform, tax evasion, and smuggling: a Computable General Equilibrium model |
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113 | (12) |
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6.5.1 Tax evasion: representation in the model |
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114 | (1) |
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6.5.2 Smuggling: representation in the model |
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114 | (2) |
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6.5.3 Domestic production |
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116 | (3) |
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119 | (1) |
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6.5.5 Investments and savings |
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120 | (1) |
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121 | (1) |
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6.5.7 Exports, imports, and the balance of payments |
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122 | (2) |
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124 | (1) |
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125 | (6) |
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125 | (4) |
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6.6.2 Calibration of evasion parameters Afh,j, Nfh,j, Azj and Nzj |
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129 | (2) |
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6.6.3 Calibration of smuggling parameters AjSM |
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131 | (1) |
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131 | (1) |
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6.8 Assessing welfare effects |
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132 | (2) |
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6.8.1 Fiscal efficiency and social welfare |
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132 | (1) |
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6.8.2 Distribution and household welfare |
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133 | (1) |
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134 | (12) |
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6.9.1 Effect on the distribution of petrol consumption |
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134 | (1) |
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6.9.2 Effect on subsidy (or tax) incidence |
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134 | (1) |
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6.9.3 Effect on consumption |
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134 | (4) |
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6.9.4 Effect on household welfare |
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138 | (1) |
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6.9.5 Effect on government expenditure |
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138 | (1) |
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139 | (1) |
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6.9.7 Effect on labour tax evasion |
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140 | (1) |
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6.9.8 Effect on fuel smuggling |
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140 | (1) |
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6.9.9 Fiscal efficiency and social welfare: the role of tax evasion and smuggling |
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141 | (5) |
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6.10 Sensitivity and robustness |
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146 | (4) |
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6.10.1 The elasticities of substitution and transformation |
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146 | (1) |
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6.10.2 Parameter r in the smuggling function |
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146 | (2) |
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6.10.3 Tax evasion parameters Nfh,j and Nzj |
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148 | (2) |
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150 | (4) |
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7 Limits to green fiscal reform: how market distortions undermine price signals and create barriers to efficiency and clean energy |
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154 | (26) |
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154 | (3) |
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7.1.1 Fossil fuel subsidy reform and externality taxes in the presence of market distortions |
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154 | (2) |
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7.1.2 Competitive markets, distortions, and the rationale for complementary policies |
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156 | (1) |
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7.2 Barriers to resource efficiency investments |
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157 | (17) |
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7.2.1 Information constraints |
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159 | (3) |
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7.2.2 Capacity constraints |
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162 | (4) |
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7.2.3 Financial market constraints |
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166 | (3) |
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7.2.4 Uncompetitive market structures |
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169 | (2) |
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7.2.5 Fiscal mismanagement |
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171 | (2) |
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7.2.6 Uncertainty, volatility, and instability |
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173 | (1) |
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7.3 Policy instruments for improving resource efficiency |
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174 | (4) |
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7.3.1 Need for complementary policies |
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174 | (2) |
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7.3.2 Addressing distortions and complementing FFS reform |
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176 | (1) |
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7.3.3 Complementary measures: Intervention levels and types |
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176 | (2) |
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7.4 Conclusion: what it means for policy makers |
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178 | (2) |
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8 Principles for designing effective fossil fuel subsidy reforms |
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180 | (22) |
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180 | (1) |
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8.2 Background: fossil fuel subsidies and their reform |
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181 | (2) |
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182 | (1) |
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8.2.2 Recent reform efforts |
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183 | (1) |
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8.3 The effective design and implementation of fossil fuel subsidy reform |
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183 | (13) |
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8.3.1 Assessment of subsidies and pricing mechanisms |
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184 | (3) |
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8.3.2 Public acceptance and social protection - mitigating short-term price shocks |
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187 | (3) |
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8.3.3 Revenue redistribution and reinvestment in the long-term |
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190 | (3) |
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8.3.4 Complementary measures |
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193 | (1) |
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8.3.5 Timing and price smoothing |
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194 | (2) |
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8.4 Towards effective green fiscal reforms |
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196 | (6) |
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8.4.1 Key messages for policy makers |
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196 | (3) |
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199 | (3) |
| Appendix A |
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202 | (7) |
| Appendix B |
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209 | (8) |
| Bibliography |
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217 | (16) |
| Index |
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233 | |