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Fossil Fuel Subsidy Reforms: A Guide to Economic and Political Complexity [Kõva köide]

  • Formaat: Hardback, 252 pages, kõrgus x laius: 234x156 mm, kaal: 535 g, 23 Tables, black and white; 31 Line drawings, black and white; 7 Halftones, black and white; 38 Illustrations, black and white
  • Sari: Routledge Studies in Energy Policy
  • Ilmumisaeg: 10-Apr-2018
  • Kirjastus: Routledge
  • ISBN-10: 0815386184
  • ISBN-13: 9780815386186
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  • Formaat: Hardback, 252 pages, kõrgus x laius: 234x156 mm, kaal: 535 g, 23 Tables, black and white; 31 Line drawings, black and white; 7 Halftones, black and white; 38 Illustrations, black and white
  • Sari: Routledge Studies in Energy Policy
  • Ilmumisaeg: 10-Apr-2018
  • Kirjastus: Routledge
  • ISBN-10: 0815386184
  • ISBN-13: 9780815386186
Countries around the world are spending up to $500 billion per year on subsidising fossil fuel consumption. By some estimates, the G20 countries alone are spending around another $450 billion on subsidising fossil fuel production. In addition, the indirect social welfare costs of these subsidies have been shown to be substantial for instance due to air pollution, road congestion, climate change, and economic inefficiency, to name a few. Considering these numbers, there is no doubt that fossil fuel subsidies cause severe economic distortions that compromise countries prospects of achieving equitable and sustainable development.

This book provides a guide to the complex challenge of designing, assessing, and implementing effective fossil fuel subsidy reforms. It shows that subsidy reform requires a careful balancing of complex economic and political trade-offs, as well as measures to mitigate adverse effects on vulnerable households and to assist firms with implementing efficiency enhancing measures. Going beyond the purely fiscal perspective, this book emphasises that smart subsidy reforms can contribute to all three dimensions of sustainable development environment, society, and economy.

Over the course of eight chapters, this book considers a wide range of agents and stakeholders, markets, and policy measures in order to distil the key principles of designing effective fossil fuel subsidy reforms. This book will be of great relevance to scholars and policy makers with an interest in energy economics and policy, climate change policy, and sustainable development more broadly.

Arvustused

"The urgent need to reform fossil fuel prices to combat global warming, reduce air pollution deaths, and strengthen fiscal balances is widely understood--how to get it done in practice is not. Drawing on extensive economic analysis and country experiences, this rich and easily digestible book provides a comprehensive toolkit for overcoming the barriers to reform. It will be especially valuable reading for those in government, international organizations, and the research community engaged in moving reform forward." Ian Parry, Principal Environmental Fiscal Policy Expert, International Monetary Fund, USA

"The reform of fossil fuel subsidies is a top priority for many resource rich emerging economies, but the challenges of implementation have proven to be significant. This book provides policy makers with an in-depth analysis of the economic implications at the household, firm, and macro levels, and demonstrates how these link with common political economy challenges. The analysis of the impacts of subsidy reforms on firms are particularly novel, and could guide future studies on this under-researched topic. Overall, this book offers evidence-based, concrete, and practical guidance for designing and implementing effective reforms." Bassam Fattouh, Director, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies; Professor, School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London, UK

"[ ] fossil fuel subsidies cause severe economic distortions that compromise countries prospects of achieving equitable and sustainable development. Yet, the sheer magnitude of fossil fuel subsidies being paid globally also hints at the size and complexity of the challenge. To reform subsidies entails to understand and gauge economic and political trade-offs, to mitigate adverse effects on vulnerable households, to assist firms with implementing efficiency enhancing measures, and to ensure the long-term contribution of subsidy reform to sustainable development. This book explores these issues, with the objective of informing the preparation, design, and implementation of effective fossil fuel subsidy reforms." Marianne Fay, Chief Economist, Sustainable Development, The World Bank, USA, UK (Extract from preface)

"This book is a must read for anyone wanting to understand how to address the proverbial elephant in the room - fossil fuel subsidies reform. Ignoring Dr Rentschlers insights could well render our efforts to achieve a sustainable energy future completely ineffective." Nigel Jollands, Associate Director, Energy Efficiency and Climate Change, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), UK

"While you will find many articles and books explaining why keeping energy prices artificially low is a bad idea, there are not so many that will help you understand how to improve the situation. However, this is the key question: Fossil fuel subsidies are not so widespread for no reason; they are difficult to reform due to their large distributional impacts, and it remains challenging to manage the negative side effects of any significant reform. This book will help policy makers better understand why reforming fossil fuel subsidies is so difficult, but also help them design "policy packages" that can address the barriers to the reform. This book will support the implementation of reforms that can cancel the negative effects of energy price distortion while contributing to reducing poverty and promoting development." Stéphane Hallegatte, Lead Economist, Climate Change Group, The World Bank, USA

"Phasing out fossil fuel subsidies is easier said than done. This book provides a much-needed coherent analysis from different angles, namely political economy and economics. Jun Rentschler has managed to delve into data from two emerging economies, Nigeria and Indonesia, assessing firms, private households, and regions. The book also develops a macro-economic model to account for fuel smuggling, certainly a real life ingredient for any analysis. Perhaps most importantly, the book makes a concise attempt to bring those strands together and develops an agenda for subsidy reforms. A must-read for scholars, international organisations, and public administrations." Raimund Bleischwitz, Chair in Sustainable Global Resources and Deputy Director, Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, UK

"With policy-makers around the world pondering how to ramp up measures against climate change in the wake of the 2016 Paris Agreement, Jun Rentschlers volume is a very timely, clear and perceptive study of a key element, the reform of fossil fuel subsidies. This book brings together economic theory, data and policy analysis in a thoughtful investigation that considers key issues such as the distributional implications of reforms and includes novel aspects such as the impact on firms and the interaction of policies with illicit activities. As such, the volume will be of interest not only to fiscal, energy and climate-change specialists but also anyone involved in applying economics to policy-making in the real world." Alex Bowen, Special Adviser, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), UK

List of figures
xi
List of tables
xiii
Preface xiv
Marianne Fay
Acknowledgements xv
1 Introduction: and a guide for navigating this book
1(6)
1.1 Policy relevance
1(1)
1.2 Content summary
2(1)
1.3 Focus areas and organisation of book
2(2)
1.4 Methods
4(1)
1.5 Contribution
4(3)
2 Reforming fossil fuel subsidies: drivers, barriers, and the state of progress
7(24)
2.1 Introduction
7(1)
2.2 Defining and estimating fossil fuel subsidies
8(3)
2.3 Fiscal, economic, environmental, and distributional costs of fossil fuel subsidies
11(3)
2.4 Reform progress: what's being done?
14(6)
2.4.1 Galvanising action: international communities and institutions
14(2)
2.4.2 Implementing subsidy reforms: country-level action
16(4)
2.5 Reforms: drivers and barriers
20(4)
2.5.1 The role of prices in driving reforms
20(2)
2.5.2 Public opposition and political economy
22(2)
2.6 Focus areas for the design of subsidy reforms
24(2)
2.7 Areas for future research
26(1)
2.8 Conclusion
27(4)
3 The impacts on households: the regional variation of poverty effects due to fossil fuel subsidy reform -- evidence from Nigeria
31(31)
3.1 Introduction
31(1)
3.2 Fossil fuel subsidies in Nigeria
32(2)
3.3 Understanding energy demand
34(5)
3.4 Simulating reform
39(20)
3.4.1 Methodology
40(4)
3.4.2 A hypothetical fuel subsidy reform: two scenarios
44(3)
3.4.3 Estimation results: the impacts of reform
47(12)
3.5 Designing fossil fuel subsidy reforms: conclusions
59(3)
4 Subsidy reforms and the impacts on firms: transmission channels and response measures
62(13)
4.1 Introduction
62(1)
4.2 Background
63(2)
4.3 Transmission channels and response measures
65(7)
4.3.1 Transmission channels of energy price increases
66(2)
4.3.2 Four response measures
68(4)
4.4 Conclusion and policy implications
72(3)
4.4.1 Need for further research
72(1)
4.4.2 Implications for the design of fuel subsidy reforms
73(2)
5 Energy price variation and competitiveness: firm level evidence from Indonesia
75(32)
5.1 Introduction
75(1)
5.2 Literature and background
76(3)
5.3 Background: competitiveness and firms' response measures
79(4)
5.3.1 Using profits to estimate competitiveness
79(2)
5.3.2 Normalising for firm size
81(1)
5.3.3 Profit and cost shares of revenue
82(1)
5.3.4 Response measures determine impacts
82(1)
5.4 Data and descriptive observations
83(7)
5.4.1 Data preparation
83(1)
5.4.2 Sectors
84(1)
5.4.3 Energy prices: regional variation
84(5)
5.4.4 Competitiveness: regional variation
89(1)
5.4.5 Energy intensity
89(1)
5.5 The effects of energy prices on competitiveness -- and firms' response measures
90(12)
5.5.1 Long-run competitiveness: energy prices and cost shares
91(1)
5.5.2 Inter-fuel substitution
92(5)
5.5.3 Energy efficiency
97(2)
5.5.4 Pass-on
99(3)
5.6 Robustness tests and limitations
102(1)
5.7 Conclusion and policy implications
103(4)
6 Illicit dealings: general equilibrium effects of fossil fuel subsidy reform, and the role of tax evasion and smuggling
107(47)
6.1 Introduction
107(2)
6.2 Relation to prior literature
109(3)
6.2.1 Fossil fuel subsidies
109(1)
6.2.2 Fossil fuel subsidy reform simulations
110(1)
6.2.3 The double dividend
111(1)
6.2.4 Tax evasion and smuggling
112(1)
6.3 The societal cost of illicit activities
112(1)
6.4 Fuel subsidies in Nigeria: background and overview
113(1)
6.5 Fuel subsidy reform, tax evasion, and smuggling: a Computable General Equilibrium model
113(12)
6.5.1 Tax evasion: representation in the model
114(1)
6.5.2 Smuggling: representation in the model
114(2)
6.5.3 Domestic production
116(3)
6.5.4 Government
119(1)
6.5.5 Investments and savings
120(1)
6.5.6 Households
121(1)
6.5.7 Exports, imports, and the balance of payments
122(2)
6.5.8 Market clearing
124(1)
6.6 Calibration and data
125(6)
6.6.1 Data
125(4)
6.6.2 Calibration of evasion parameters Afh,j, Nfh,j, Azj and Nzj
129(2)
6.6.3 Calibration of smuggling parameters AjSM
131(1)
6.7 Simulation scenarios
131(1)
6.8 Assessing welfare effects
132(2)
6.8.1 Fiscal efficiency and social welfare
132(1)
6.8.2 Distribution and household welfare
133(1)
6.9 Results
134(12)
6.9.1 Effect on the distribution of petrol consumption
134(1)
6.9.2 Effect on subsidy (or tax) incidence
134(1)
6.9.3 Effect on consumption
134(4)
6.9.4 Effect on household welfare
138(1)
6.9.5 Effect on government expenditure
138(1)
6.9.6 Effect on output
139(1)
6.9.7 Effect on labour tax evasion
140(1)
6.9.8 Effect on fuel smuggling
140(1)
6.9.9 Fiscal efficiency and social welfare: the role of tax evasion and smuggling
141(5)
6.10 Sensitivity and robustness
146(4)
6.10.1 The elasticities of substitution and transformation
146(1)
6.10.2 Parameter r in the smuggling function
146(2)
6.10.3 Tax evasion parameters Nfh,j and Nzj
148(2)
6.11 Conclusion
150(4)
7 Limits to green fiscal reform: how market distortions undermine price signals and create barriers to efficiency and clean energy
154(26)
7.1 Introduction
154(3)
7.1.1 Fossil fuel subsidy reform and externality taxes in the presence of market distortions
154(2)
7.1.2 Competitive markets, distortions, and the rationale for complementary policies
156(1)
7.2 Barriers to resource efficiency investments
157(17)
7.2.1 Information constraints
159(3)
7.2.2 Capacity constraints
162(4)
7.2.3 Financial market constraints
166(3)
7.2.4 Uncompetitive market structures
169(2)
7.2.5 Fiscal mismanagement
171(2)
7.2.6 Uncertainty, volatility, and instability
173(1)
7.3 Policy instruments for improving resource efficiency
174(4)
7.3.1 Need for complementary policies
174(2)
7.3.2 Addressing distortions and complementing FFS reform
176(1)
7.3.3 Complementary measures: Intervention levels and types
176(2)
7.4 Conclusion: what it means for policy makers
178(2)
8 Principles for designing effective fossil fuel subsidy reforms
180(22)
8.1 Introduction
180(1)
8.2 Background: fossil fuel subsidies and their reform
181(2)
8.2.1 Adverse effects
182(1)
8.2.2 Recent reform efforts
183(1)
8.3 The effective design and implementation of fossil fuel subsidy reform
183(13)
8.3.1 Assessment of subsidies and pricing mechanisms
184(3)
8.3.2 Public acceptance and social protection - mitigating short-term price shocks
187(3)
8.3.3 Revenue redistribution and reinvestment in the long-term
190(3)
8.3.4 Complementary measures
193(1)
8.3.5 Timing and price smoothing
194(2)
8.4 Towards effective green fiscal reforms
196(6)
8.4.1 Key messages for policy makers
196(3)
8.4.2 Outlook
199(3)
Appendix A 202(7)
Appendix B 209(8)
Bibliography 217(16)
Index 233
Jun Rentschler is an Economist (YP) at The World Bank working at the intersection of climate change and sustainable resilient development. He is also a Visiting Research Fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, the Payne Institute for Earth Resources in Colorado, and the Graduate Institute for Policy Studies in Tokyo. Prior, he worked at the German Foreign Ministry and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD). He is a co-author of the book Investing in Resource Efficiency: The Economics and Politics of Financing the Resource Transition (2018).