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Future of the Chemical Industry by 2050 [Kõva köide]

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(8820 W¿denswil, Switze)
  • Formaat: Hardback, 331 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 248x175x22 mm, kaal: 857 g
  • Ilmumisaeg: 23-Apr-2013
  • Kirjastus: Blackwell Verlag GmbH
  • ISBN-10: 352733257X
  • ISBN-13: 9783527332571
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Future of the Chemical Industry by 2050Suurem pilt
  • Formaat: Hardback, 331 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 248x175x22 mm, kaal: 857 g
  • Ilmumisaeg: 23-Apr-2013
  • Kirjastus: Blackwell Verlag GmbH
  • ISBN-10: 352733257X
  • ISBN-13: 9783527332571
Teised raamatud teemal:
Püsilink: https://www.kriso.ee/db/9783527332571.html
An economist with a large international chemical company, Valencia projects what the world and the chemicals business will look like at the middle of the century. The 20th century witnessed the largest and longest period of wealth creation in human history, he says, and predicts that the trend will accelerate until the gross domestic product is four times what it is today. He acknowledges energy scarcity and climate change, but thinks the biggest challenges will be meeting global demand for everything and changes in how people live, communicate, and organize their lives. Annotation ©2013 Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com)

Discussing the technological supremacy of the chemical industry and how it will adopt a leading position to solve some of the largest global challenges humans have even seen, this book details how the industry will address climate change, aging populations, resource scarcity, globality, networks speed, pandemics, and massive growth and demand.
Following a detailed introduction to some of the megatrends shaping our world over the forthcoming decades, the book goes on to provide several scenarios of how the world could look by 2050, including "business as usual" and a "sustainable" one. Chapter 3 gives a comprehensive overview of the current status, while providing a short historical review of the chemical industry, its origins, achievements and fundamentals. The following chapter reviews the potential impact of each of the selected megatrends on the industry, while Chapter 5 proposes how it could look by 2050. Several features of the chemical industry are presented and discussed, including the industrial relevance from an economical, technological and profitability point of view. This chapter also reviews the impact of climate change on the chemical industry and, more specifically, the potential costs in reducing C02 emissions. A final, concluding chapter summarizes the forthcoming megatrends and potential challenges, opportunities and the outlook for the industry as a whole.

Arvustused

Valuable for those who need to know, now and in the future; Yogi would be pleased.  Summing Up: Highly recommended.  Upper-division undergraduates and above.  (Choice, 1 January 2014)

 

Preface IX
Acknowledgments XIII
Introduction 1(3)
Methodology 4(7)
1 Global Megatrends by 2050 11(130)
1.1 Social Megatrends
16(13)
1.1.1 Population Growth
16(2)
1.1.2 Demographics
18(7)
1.1.2.1 Area and Age Distribution
18(1)
1.1.2.2 Change in Age Distribution
18(7)
1.1.3 Urbanization
25(4)
1.1.3.1 Megacities
27(2)
1.2 Economic Megatrends
29(13)
1.2.1 Foreign Direct Investment(FDI)
40(2)
1.3 Political Megatrend
42(19)
1.3.1 Trend - A New International Order
43(11)
1.3.1.1 Sub Trend - the Emergence of the BRIC Economies
43(3)
1.3.1.2 Sub Trend - Corporate Mega Economies - (CME)
46(4)
1.3.1.3 Sub trend - Social Networks
50(4)
1.3.2 Trend - An increasing role of Governments
54(7)
1.4 Energy Megatrends
61(38)
1.4.1 Recent Energy Transitions
63(6)
1.4.2 Key Lessons from Recent Energy Mix Transitions
69(1)
1.4.3 Energy Life Cycle
69(1)
1.4.4 Energy Success Criteria
69(1)
1.4.5 Shocks Are a Valuable Source of Information
70(1)
1.4.6 Transitions Occur in "Life"
70(1)
1.4.7 The Golden Rule - Economics Dictate Energy Transitions
70(1)
1.4.8 Transitions Always Occur, the Question Is When: The Oil Peak
71(3)
1.4.9 The Oil Peak - M. King Hubbert
74(1)
1.4.10 OPEC - Energy projections to 2030
75(5)
1.4.11 Recent Developments
80(19)
1.4.11.1 Nudear Energy - The Aftermath of Fukushima
80(5)
1.4.11.2 Shale Gas the "Game Changer" - Natural Gas the Energy of the Future
85(14)
1.5 Climate Change
99(30)
1.5.1 Business Case - EU Tire Labeling - CO2 Emissions Reduction in the Tire and Automotive Industry
113(16)
1.6 Wild Cards
129(3)
1.6.1 Political
131(1)
1.6.2 Social
131(1)
1.6.3 Technological
132(1)
1.6.4 Transportation
132(1)
1.7 Accelerators - Information Technology and "Singularity"
132(7)
Appendix: Climate Change
139(2)
2 The World by 2050 141(22)
2.1 "A Much Larger, Wealthier, Healthier, and Sustainable World"
141(4)
2.1.1 Methodology
144(1)
2.2 Status of the World - 2010
145(1)
2.3 The World in 2050
146(15)
2.3.1 BAU Scenario
146(9)
2.3.2 Sustainable Scenario
155(6)
Appendix: Roadmaps to a World of 4000 g of CO2 per Capita per Day
161(2)
3 The Chemical Industry in 2010 163(38)
3.1 Chemical Industry: Economic Relevance
163(3)
3.2 Chemical Industry: Technological Relevance
166(2)
3.3 Industry Relevance: Profitability
168(3)
3.4 Feedstocks and Energy
171(2)
3.5 Major Sectors and Products of the Chemical Industry
173(1)
3.6 Industry Structure and Companies
173(11)
3.7 Safety
184(2)
3.8 Background
186(8)
3.8.1 Recent History of the Chemical Industry Excluding Pharmaceuticals
186(11)
3.8.1.1 1750-1850 Industrial Revolution and Inorganic Chemistry
187(1)
3.8.1.2 1850 Synthetic Dyes from Coal for Textiles, and Chlorine Bleach
187(1)
3.8.1.3 1870 Celluloid
187(1)
3.8.1.4 1880 Rayon from Wood Fibers
188(1)
3.8.1.5 1900 Electrolysis of Brine (Chlorine)
188(1)
3.8.1.6 1913 Synthetic Fertilizers
189(1)
3.8.1.7 1910-1920 Steam Cracker (Ethylene, Propylene and Butadiene)
190(1)
3.8.1.8 1920-1930 - Styrene Cracking (Ethyl-benzene and Styrene) Cracking
190(1)
3.8.1.9 Polyamide Nylon (DuPont)
190(1)
3.8.1.10 1930s - Synthetic Rubber
190(1)
3.8.1.11 1950s - Plastics Demand Explodes
191(3)
3.8.1.12 1960s Internationalization
194(1)
3.8.1.13 2010-2050 - The Chemical Industry Leads the Revolution against Climate Change
194(1)
3.9 Conclusion
194(1)
3.10 Summary - Industry Major Features and Upcoming Megatrends
195(2)
3.11 Major Features of the Chemical Industry
197(3)
3.11.1 Summary: Global Major Megatrends
199(1)
Bibliography
200(1)
4 Impact Assessment of the Global Megatrends on the Chemical Industry 201(20)
4.1 Introduction
201(6)
4.2 Megatrends with the Highest Impact into the Chemical Industry (Global & Area Level)
207(1)
4.3 Megatrends with the Highest Impact in the Industry (Area Level) -(Figure 4.4)
208(2)
4.4 Megatrends with the Highest Impact into the Different Features of the Industry
210(2)
4.5 Major Results for the Chemical Industry Globally
212(2)
4.6 Major Results for the Chemical Industry in the ADV Economies
214(2)
4.7 Major Results for the Chemical Industry in the BRIC Economies
216(2)
4.8 Major Results for the Chemical Industry in the REST Economies
218(3)
5 The Chemical Industry by 2050 221(86)
5.1 Introduction
221(4)
5.2 Feature 1: The Relevance of the Chemical Industry
225(20)
5.2.1 Economic Relevance
226(10)
5.2.1.1 Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals by 2050 - per Capita Demand in $US
229(7)
5.2.2 Technological Relevance
236(5)
5.2.2.1 The Chemical Industry - Long Term Cycles
236(5)
5.2.3 Profitability
241(4)
5.3 Feature 2: Inputs - Feedstocks
245(11)
5.3.1 BAU Scenario for Feedstocks by 2050
247(3)
5.3.2 Feedstock Simulation II by 2050: "Shale Gas I - Ethane + 20% Globally"
250(2)
5.3.3 Simulation II by 2050: "Shale Gas II - Ethane at Maximum Capacity Globally" - (Unreal)
252(2)
5.3.4 Conclusionand Feedstock Alternatives
254(2)
5.4 Feature 3: Outputs - Products
256(8)
5.4.1 Global Ethylene Market by 2050 - BAU Scenario
258(6)
5.5 Feature 4: Climate Change - Greenhouse Emissions - CO2 Emissions
264(19)
5.5.1 Historical and Future Scenarios on World CO2 Emissions
268(9)
5.5.2 Summary - Global Emission Trading Systems in Operation
277(6)
5.5.2.1 Chemical Industry - Greenhouse Emissions Abatement in 2005
281(2)
5.6 Feature 5: Industry Structure
283(11)
5.6.1 Markets - Largest World Markets
284(3)
5.6.1.1 Chemicals
284(1)
5.6.1.2 Pharmaceuticals
284(3)
5.6.2 Per Capita Demand
287(4)
5.6.2.1 Chemicals
287(2)
5.6.2.2 Pharmaceuticals
289(2)
5.6.3 Companies - Changes in Global Sales Rankings and Company Structures
291(3)
5.7 Feature 6: Social Awareness
294(2)
Appendix - Climate Change
296(11)
6 Conclusion 307(8)
Appendix 315(4)
Index 319
Rafael Cayuela Valencia is an economist by the education and has a decade of experience within the chemical industry. He holds a degree in Business and Economics from the university Complutense in Madrid, Spain and Wolverhampton in UK, a Masters degree in European Economics from the College of Europe, Brugge, Belgium and an Executive MBA from The University of Chicago, USA and an MBA from the Dow Chemical & Northwood MBA, Michigan, USA. Rafael Cayuela has worked for The Dow Chemical Company in Madrid, Spain, Dow global headquarters in Midland Michigan and Dow European Headquarters in Horgen, Zurich, Switzerland. Since 2010 Rafael Cayuela works as the global product and marketing director for STYRON, a spin off company of Dow Chemical. In its current work for the last years Rafael has been gathering significant experience in petrochemicals, plastics and synthetic rubber around the world and specially in emerging markets; in particular in China, Korea, Indonesia, Brazil and India.