Preface |
|
xi | |
Acknowledgements |
|
xv | |
1 Natural Disasters and Sustainable Development in Dynamic Landscapes |
|
1 | (18) |
|
|
1 | (4) |
|
1.2 Dealing with Future Disasters: Potentials and Problems |
|
|
5 | (5) |
|
1.3 The Sustainable Society |
|
|
10 | (2) |
|
1.4 Benefits from Natural Disasters |
|
|
12 | (4) |
|
|
16 | (1) |
|
|
16 | (3) |
2 Defining Natural Hazards, Risks, and Disasters |
|
19 | (30) |
|
2.1 Hazard Is Tied To Assets |
|
|
19 | (6) |
|
2.1.1 Frequency and Magnitude |
|
|
20 | (4) |
|
|
24 | (1) |
|
2.2 Defining and Measuring Disaster |
|
|
25 | (1) |
|
2.3 Trends in Natural Disasters |
|
|
26 | (1) |
|
2.4 Hazard is Part of Risk |
|
|
27 | (10) |
|
|
28 | (4) |
|
|
32 | (3) |
|
|
35 | (1) |
|
2.4.4 Risk is a Multidisciplinary Expectation of Loss |
|
|
36 | (1) |
|
2.5 Risk Management and the Risk Cycle |
|
|
37 | (2) |
|
2.6 Uncertainties and Reality Check |
|
|
39 | (2) |
|
2.7 A Future of More Extreme Events? |
|
|
41 | (2) |
|
2.8 Read More About Natural Hazards and Disasters |
|
|
43 | (3) |
|
|
46 | (3) |
3 Natural Hazards and Disasters Through the Geomorphic Lens |
|
49 | (28) |
|
3.1 Drivers of Earth Surface Processes |
|
|
50 | (7) |
|
3.1.1 Gravity, Solids, and Fluids |
|
|
50 | (2) |
|
3.1.2 Motion Mainly Driven by Gravity |
|
|
52 | (2) |
|
3.1.3 Motion Mainly Driven by Water |
|
|
54 | (2) |
|
3.1.4 Motion Mainly Driven by Ice |
|
|
56 | (1) |
|
3.1.5 Motion Driven Mainly by Air |
|
|
56 | (1) |
|
3.2 Natural Hazards and Geomorphic Concepts |
|
|
57 | (16) |
|
3.2.1 Landscapes are Open, Nonlinear Systems |
|
|
57 | (2) |
|
3.2.2 Landscapes Adjust to Maximize Sediment Transport |
|
|
59 | (3) |
|
3.2.3 Tectonically Active Landscapes Approach a Dynamic Equilibrium |
|
|
62 | (3) |
|
3.2.4 Landforms Develop Toward Asymptotes |
|
|
65 | (3) |
|
3.2.5 Landforms Record Recent Most Effective Events |
|
|
68 | (1) |
|
3.2.6 Disturbances Travel Through Landscapes |
|
|
69 | (2) |
|
3.2.7 Scaling Relationships Inform Natural Hazards |
|
|
71 | (2) |
|
|
73 | (4) |
4 Geomorphology Informs Natural Hazard Assessment |
|
77 | (20) |
|
4.1 Geomorphology Can Reduce Impacts from Natural Disasters |
|
|
77 | (3) |
|
4.2 Aims of Applied Geomorphology |
|
|
80 | (1) |
|
4.3 The Geomorphic Footprints of Natural Disasters |
|
|
81 | (5) |
|
4.4 Examples of Hazard Cascades |
|
|
86 | (8) |
|
4.4.1 Megathrust Earthquakes, Cascadia Subduction Zone |
|
|
86 | (4) |
|
4.4.2 Postseismic River Aggradation, Southwest New Zealand |
|
|
90 | (3) |
|
4.4.3 Explosive Eruptions and their Geomorphic Aftermath, Southern Volcanic Zone, Chile |
|
|
93 | (1) |
|
4.4.4 Hotter Droughts Promote Less Stable Landscapes, Western United States |
|
|
93 | (1) |
|
|
94 | (3) |
5 Tools for Predicting Natural Hazards |
|
97 | (48) |
|
5.1 The Art of Prediction |
|
|
97 | (3) |
|
5.2 Types of Models for Prediction |
|
|
100 | (2) |
|
|
102 | (9) |
|
5.3.1 Linking Landforms and Processes |
|
|
102 | (5) |
|
|
107 | (2) |
|
5.3.3 Classification Models |
|
|
109 | (2) |
|
|
111 | (13) |
|
5.4.1 Probability Expresses Uncertainty |
|
|
111 | (4) |
|
5.4.2 Probability Is More than Frequency |
|
|
115 | (4) |
|
5.4.3 Extreme-value Statistics |
|
|
119 | (2) |
|
5.4.4 Stochastic Processes |
|
|
121 | (1) |
|
5.4.5 Hazard Cascades, Event Trees, and Network Models |
|
|
122 | (2) |
|
5.5 Prediction and Model Selection |
|
|
124 | (2) |
|
|
126 | (11) |
|
5.6.1 Static Stability Models |
|
|
126 | (1) |
|
|
127 | (10) |
|
|
137 | (8) |
6 Earthquake Hazards |
|
145 | (28) |
|
6.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Earthquakes |
|
|
145 | (3) |
|
6.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Earthquakes |
|
|
148 | (6) |
|
6.2.1 The Seismic Hazard Cascade |
|
|
148 | (4) |
|
6.2.2 Postseismic and Interseismic Impacts |
|
|
152 | (2) |
|
6.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Earthquakes |
|
|
154 | (13) |
|
|
155 | (3) |
|
|
158 | (3) |
|
|
161 | (5) |
|
6.3.4 Buildings and Trees |
|
|
166 | (1) |
|
|
167 | (6) |
7 Volcanic Hazards |
|
173 | (30) |
|
7.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Volcanic Eruptions |
|
|
173 | (4) |
|
7.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Volcanic Eruptions |
|
|
177 | (11) |
|
7.2.1 The Volcanic Hazard Cascade |
|
|
177 | (1) |
|
7.2.2 Geomorphic Impacts During Eruption |
|
|
177 | (3) |
|
7.2.3 Impacts on the Atmosphere |
|
|
180 | (1) |
|
7.2.4 Geomorphic Impacts Following an Eruption |
|
|
181 | (7) |
|
7.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Volcanic Impacts |
|
|
188 | (7) |
|
|
188 | (3) |
|
7.3.2 Explosive Eruptions |
|
|
191 | (4) |
|
7.4 Climate-Driven Changes in Crustal Loads |
|
|
195 | (2) |
|
|
197 | (6) |
8 Landslides and Slope Instability |
|
203 | (30) |
|
8.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Landslides |
|
|
203 | (7) |
|
8.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Landslides |
|
|
210 | (3) |
|
8.2.1 Landslides in the Hazard Cascade |
|
|
210 | (2) |
|
8.2.2 Landslides on Glaciers |
|
|
212 | (1) |
|
8.2.3 Submarine Landslides |
|
|
213 | (1) |
|
8.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Landslides |
|
|
213 | (5) |
|
8.3.1 Landslide Inventories |
|
|
213 | (2) |
|
8.3.2 Reconstructing Slope Failures |
|
|
215 | (3) |
|
8.4 Other Forms of Slope Instability: Soil Erosion and Land Subsidence |
|
|
218 | (2) |
|
8.5 Climate Change and Landslides |
|
|
220 | (5) |
|
|
225 | (8) |
9 Tsunami Hazards |
|
233 | (24) |
|
9.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Tsunamis |
|
|
233 | (3) |
|
9.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Tsunamis |
|
|
236 | (5) |
|
9.2.1 Tsunamis in the Hazard Cascade |
|
|
236 | (1) |
|
9.2.2 The Role of Coastal Geomorphology |
|
|
237 | (4) |
|
9.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Tsunamis |
|
|
241 | (11) |
|
9.4 Future Tsunami Hazards |
|
|
252 | (1) |
|
|
253 | (4) |
10 Storm Hazards |
|
257 | (28) |
|
10.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Storms |
|
|
257 | (4) |
|
|
257 | (2) |
|
10.1.2 Extratropical Storms |
|
|
259 | (2) |
|
10.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Storms |
|
|
261 | (8) |
|
10.2.1 The Coastal Storm-Hazards Cascade |
|
|
261 | (5) |
|
10.2.2 The Inland Storm-Hazard Cascade |
|
|
266 | (3) |
|
10.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Storms |
|
|
269 | (6) |
|
|
270 | (3) |
|
|
273 | (2) |
|
10.4 Naturally Oscillating Climate and Increasing Storminess |
|
|
275 | (5) |
|
|
280 | (5) |
11 Rood Hazards |
|
285 | (38) |
|
11.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Floods |
|
|
286 | (3) |
|
11.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Floods |
|
|
289 | (9) |
|
11.2.1 Floods in the Hazard Cascade |
|
|
289 | (2) |
|
11.2.2 Natural Dam-break Floods |
|
|
291 | (6) |
|
|
297 | (1) |
|
11.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Floods |
|
|
298 | (8) |
|
11.4 Lessons from Prehistoric Megafloods |
|
|
306 | (2) |
|
11.5 Measures of Catchment Denudation |
|
|
308 | (3) |
|
11.6 The Future of Flood Hazards |
|
|
311 | (4) |
|
|
315 | (8) |
12 Drought Hazards |
|
323 | (22) |
|
12.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Droughts |
|
|
323 | (3) |
|
|
324 | (1) |
|
|
325 | (1) |
|
12.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Droughts |
|
|
326 | (8) |
|
12.2.1 Droughts in the Hazard Cascade |
|
|
326 | (1) |
|
12.2.2 Soil Erosion, Dust Storms, and Dune Building |
|
|
327 | (5) |
|
12.2.3 Surface Runoff and Rivers |
|
|
332 | (2) |
|
12.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Drought Impacts |
|
|
334 | (5) |
|
12.4 Towards More Megadroughts? |
|
|
339 | (3) |
|
|
342 | (3) |
13 Wildfire Hazards |
|
345 | (20) |
|
13.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Wildfires |
|
|
345 | (3) |
|
13.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Wildfires |
|
|
348 | (6) |
|
13.2.1 Wildfires in the Hazard Cascade |
|
|
348 | (1) |
|
13.2.2 Direct Fire Impacts |
|
|
348 | (2) |
|
13.2.3 Indirect and Postfire Impacts |
|
|
350 | (4) |
|
13.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Wildfires |
|
|
354 | (5) |
|
13.4 Towards More Megafires? |
|
|
359 | (2) |
|
|
361 | (4) |
14 Snow and Ice Hazards |
|
365 | (30) |
|
14.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Snow and Ice Hazards |
|
|
365 | (2) |
|
14.2 Geomorphic Impact of Snow and Ice Hazards |
|
|
367 | (13) |
|
14.2.1 Snow and Ice in the Hazard Cascade |
|
|
367 | (1) |
|
14.2.2 Snow and Ice Avalanches |
|
|
367 | (7) |
|
|
374 | (1) |
|
14.2.4 Degrading Permafrost |
|
|
375 | (4) |
|
|
379 | (1) |
|
14.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Snow and Ice Processes |
|
|
380 | (4) |
|
14.4 Atmospheric Warming and Cryospheric Hazards |
|
|
384 | (5) |
|
|
389 | (6) |
15 Sea-Level Change and Coastal Hazards |
|
395 | (24) |
|
15.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Sea-Level Change |
|
|
399 | (5) |
|
15.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Sea-Level Change |
|
|
404 | (4) |
|
15.2.1 Sea Levels in the Hazard Cascade |
|
|
404 | (1) |
|
15.2.2 Sedimentary Coasts |
|
|
404 | (3) |
|
|
407 | (1) |
|
15.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Sea Levels |
|
|
408 | (3) |
|
15.4 A Future of Rising Sea Levels |
|
|
411 | (3) |
|
|
414 | (5) |
16 How Natural are Natural Hazards? |
|
419 | (38) |
|
16.1 Enter the Anthropocene |
|
|
419 | (5) |
|
16.2 Agriculture, Geomorphology, and Natural Hazards |
|
|
424 | (6) |
|
|
430 | (5) |
|
|
435 | (3) |
|
16.5 Anthropogenic Sediments |
|
|
438 | (5) |
|
|
443 | (2) |
|
16.7 Infrastructure's Impacts on Landscapes |
|
|
445 | (1) |
|
16.8 Humans and Atmospheric Warming |
|
|
446 | (2) |
|
16.9 How Natural Are Natural Hazards and Disasters? |
|
|
448 | (2) |
|
|
450 | (7) |
17 Feedbacks with the Biosphere |
|
457 | (38) |
|
17.1 The Carbon Footprint of Natural Disasters |
|
|
457 | (16) |
|
17.1.1 Erosion and Intermittent Burial |
|
|
460 | (6) |
|
17.1.2 Organic Carbon in River Catchments |
|
|
466 | (3) |
|
17.1.3 Climatic Disturbances |
|
|
469 | (4) |
|
17.2 Protective Functions |
|
|
473 | (12) |
|
|
473 | (5) |
|
17.2.2 Coastal Ecosystems |
|
|
478 | (7) |
|
|
485 | (10) |
18 The Scope of Geomorphology in Dealing with Natural Risks and Disasters |
|
495 | (24) |
|
|
496 | (2) |
|
18.2 The Geomorphologist's Role |
|
|
498 | (1) |
|
18.3 The Disaster Risk Management Process |
|
|
499 | (12) |
|
18.3.1 Identify Stakeholders |
|
|
500 | (1) |
|
18.3.2 Know and Share Responsibilities |
|
|
501 | (2) |
|
18.3.3 Understand that Risk Changes |
|
|
503 | (1) |
|
|
504 | (1) |
|
18.3.5 Communicate and Deal with Risk Aversion |
|
|
505 | (2) |
|
|
507 | (2) |
|
18.3.7 Share Decision Making |
|
|
509 | (2) |
|
18.4 The Future - Beyond Risk? |
|
|
511 | (5) |
|
18.4.1 Limitations of the Risk Approach |
|
|
511 | (1) |
|
18.4.2 Local and Regional Disaster Impact Reduction |
|
|
511 | (2) |
|
18.4.3 Relocation of Assets |
|
|
513 | (1) |
|
|
514 | (2) |
|
|
516 | (3) |
19 Geomorphology as a Tool for Predicting and Reducing Impacts from Natural Disasters |
|
519 | (6) |
|
19.1 Natural Disasters Have Immediate and Protracted Geomorphic Consequences |
|
|
519 | (1) |
|
19.2 Natural Disasters Motivate Predictive Geomorphology |
|
|
520 | (1) |
|
19.3 Natural Disasters Disturb Sediment Fluxes |
|
|
521 | (1) |
|
19.4 Geomorphology of Anthropocenic Disasters |
|
|
521 | (2) |
|
|
523 | (2) |
Glossary |
|
525 | (6) |
Index |
|
531 | |