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Geomorphology and Natural Hazards: Understanding Landscape Change for Disaster Mitigation [Pehme köide]

(University of Canterbury, NZ), (Swiss Federal Research Institutes), (Simon Fraser University, BC, Canada)
  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 576 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 246x189x28 mm, kaal: 1162 g
  • Sari: AGU Advanced Textbooks
  • Ilmumisaeg: 22-Apr-2021
  • Kirjastus: American Geophysical Union
  • ISBN-10: 1119990319
  • ISBN-13: 9781119990314
  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 576 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 246x189x28 mm, kaal: 1162 g
  • Sari: AGU Advanced Textbooks
  • Ilmumisaeg: 22-Apr-2021
  • Kirjastus: American Geophysical Union
  • ISBN-10: 1119990319
  • ISBN-13: 9781119990314
"In spite of ever-increasing research into natural hazards, the reported damage from natural disasters continues to rise, increasingly disrupting human activities. We, as scientists who study the way in which the part of Earth most relevant to society- the surface-behaves, are disturbed and frustrated by this trend. It appears that the large amounts of funding devoted each year to research into reducing the impacts of natural disasters could be much more effective in producing useful results. At the sametime we are aware that society, as represented by its decision makers, while increasingly concerned at the impacts of natural disasters on lives and economies, is reluctant to acknowledge the intrinsic activity of Earth's surface and to take steps to adapt societal behaviour to minimise the impacts of natural disasters. Understanding and managing natural hazards and disasters are beyond matters of applied earth science, and also involve considering human societal, economic and political decisions"--

Naturally triggered disasters are making the headlines in the news more and more frequently. Scarcely a month goes by without a major earthquake, a volcanic eruption or a huge flood, with dramatic footage of fallen buildings, billowing ash clouds and devastated victims on the evening news. Every few years some truly catastrophic event captivates both public attention and political opinion—recent examples include the Indian Ocean tsunami, Hurricanes Katrina, Sandy, and Harvey, the Pakistan floods, and the Wenchuan, Christchurch, and Tohoku earthquakes. News reports proclaim the numbers of people killed or injured or assets destroyed, but rarely illuminate the causes and consequences, or whether these losses could have been predicted, let alone avoided. The decade from 2000 to 2010 saw more than 1.1 million people killed in naturally triggered disasters, and more than 2.5 billion people affected. Hence, more than one out of three persons on Earth has had to deal with naturally triggered disasters in some way recently. Is it possible for this situation to be improved in the future  

In order to reduce future disaster impacts, developing a comprehensive understanding of natural hazards and the disasters they trigger requires us to go beyond matters of applied earth science to involve human societal, economic and political dimensions. This important work attempts to approach this multidisciplinary problem directly, based on the authors’ experience of applying earth science to hazard and risk management in real-life situations. The book addresses potentially damaging hazard events as geomorphic processes, and how the threats these events pose to society can be communicated in the form of impacts and risks.  

In this book, the authors go beyond the view that natural hazards and disasters have adverse implications for human assets by definition. They argue that understanding the forms and processes of Earth’s surface—encapsulated in the science and practice of geomorphology—is essential in order to assess natural hazards and anticipate their impacts on Earth’s surface, and hence on society; this anticipation holds the hope of prior adaptation to reduce disaster impacts. By approaching the problem from an applied geomorphological perspective, the authors shed some light on what can and cannot be achieved in the way of hazard mitigation and disaster impact reduction in a range of situations in the future. 

Preface xi
Acknowledgements xv
1 Natural Disasters and Sustainable Development in Dynamic Landscapes 1(18)
1.1 Breaking News
1(4)
1.2 Dealing with Future Disasters: Potentials and Problems
5(5)
1.3 The Sustainable Society
10(2)
1.4 Benefits from Natural Disasters
12(4)
1.5 Summary
16(1)
References
16(3)
2 Defining Natural Hazards, Risks, and Disasters 19(30)
2.1 Hazard Is Tied To Assets
19(6)
2.1.1 Frequency and Magnitude
20(4)
2.1.2 Hazard Cascades
24(1)
2.2 Defining and Measuring Disaster
25(1)
2.3 Trends in Natural Disasters
26(1)
2.4 Hazard is Part of Risk
27(10)
2.4.1 Vulnerability
28(4)
2.4.2 Elements at Risk
32(3)
2.4.3 Risk Aversion
35(1)
2.4.4 Risk is a Multidisciplinary Expectation of Loss
36(1)
2.5 Risk Management and the Risk Cycle
37(2)
2.6 Uncertainties and Reality Check
39(2)
2.7 A Future of More Extreme Events?
41(2)
2.8 Read More About Natural Hazards and Disasters
43(3)
References
46(3)
3 Natural Hazards and Disasters Through the Geomorphic Lens 49(28)
3.1 Drivers of Earth Surface Processes
50(7)
3.1.1 Gravity, Solids, and Fluids
50(2)
3.1.2 Motion Mainly Driven by Gravity
52(2)
3.1.3 Motion Mainly Driven by Water
54(2)
3.1.4 Motion Mainly Driven by Ice
56(1)
3.1.5 Motion Driven Mainly by Air
56(1)
3.2 Natural Hazards and Geomorphic Concepts
57(16)
3.2.1 Landscapes are Open, Nonlinear Systems
57(2)
3.2.2 Landscapes Adjust to Maximize Sediment Transport
59(3)
3.2.3 Tectonically Active Landscapes Approach a Dynamic Equilibrium
62(3)
3.2.4 Landforms Develop Toward Asymptotes
65(3)
3.2.5 Landforms Record Recent Most Effective Events
68(1)
3.2.6 Disturbances Travel Through Landscapes
69(2)
3.2.7 Scaling Relationships Inform Natural Hazards
71(2)
References
73(4)
4 Geomorphology Informs Natural Hazard Assessment 77(20)
4.1 Geomorphology Can Reduce Impacts from Natural Disasters
77(3)
4.2 Aims of Applied Geomorphology
80(1)
4.3 The Geomorphic Footprints of Natural Disasters
81(5)
4.4 Examples of Hazard Cascades
86(8)
4.4.1 Megathrust Earthquakes, Cascadia Subduction Zone
86(4)
4.4.2 Postseismic River Aggradation, Southwest New Zealand
90(3)
4.4.3 Explosive Eruptions and their Geomorphic Aftermath, Southern Volcanic Zone, Chile
93(1)
4.4.4 Hotter Droughts Promote Less Stable Landscapes, Western United States
93(1)
References
94(3)
5 Tools for Predicting Natural Hazards 97(48)
5.1 The Art of Prediction
97(3)
5.2 Types of Models for Prediction
100(2)
5.3 Empirical Models
102(9)
5.3.1 Linking Landforms and Processes
102(5)
5.3.2 Regression Models
107(2)
5.3.3 Classification Models
109(2)
5.4 Probabilistic Models
111(13)
5.4.1 Probability Expresses Uncertainty
111(4)
5.4.2 Probability Is More than Frequency
115(4)
5.4.3 Extreme-value Statistics
119(2)
5.4.4 Stochastic Processes
121(1)
5.4.5 Hazard Cascades, Event Trees, and Network Models
122(2)
5.5 Prediction and Model Selection
124(2)
5.6 Deterministic Models
126(11)
5.6.1 Static Stability Models
126(1)
5.6.2 Dynamic Models
127(10)
References
137(8)
6 Earthquake Hazards 145(28)
6.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Earthquakes
145(3)
6.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Earthquakes
148(6)
6.2.1 The Seismic Hazard Cascade
148(4)
6.2.2 Postseismic and Interseismic Impacts
152(2)
6.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Earthquakes
154(13)
6.3.1 Offset Landforms
155(3)
6.3.2 Fault Trenching
158(3)
6.3.3 Coseismic Deposits
161(5)
6.3.4 Buildings and Trees
166(1)
References
167(6)
7 Volcanic Hazards 173(30)
7.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Volcanic Eruptions
173(4)
7.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Volcanic Eruptions
177(11)
7.2.1 The Volcanic Hazard Cascade
177(1)
7.2.2 Geomorphic Impacts During Eruption
177(3)
7.2.3 Impacts on the Atmosphere
180(1)
7.2.4 Geomorphic Impacts Following an Eruption
181(7)
7.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Volcanic Impacts
188(7)
7.3.1 Effusive Eruptions
188(3)
7.3.2 Explosive Eruptions
191(4)
7.4 Climate-Driven Changes in Crustal Loads
195(2)
References
197(6)
8 Landslides and Slope Instability 203(30)
8.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Landslides
203(7)
8.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Landslides
210(3)
8.2.1 Landslides in the Hazard Cascade
210(2)
8.2.2 Landslides on Glaciers
212(1)
8.2.3 Submarine Landslides
213(1)
8.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Landslides
213(5)
8.3.1 Landslide Inventories
213(2)
8.3.2 Reconstructing Slope Failures
215(3)
8.4 Other Forms of Slope Instability: Soil Erosion and Land Subsidence
218(2)
8.5 Climate Change and Landslides
220(5)
References
225(8)
9 Tsunami Hazards 233(24)
9.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Tsunamis
233(3)
9.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Tsunamis
236(5)
9.2.1 Tsunamis in the Hazard Cascade
236(1)
9.2.2 The Role of Coastal Geomorphology
237(4)
9.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Tsunamis
241(11)
9.4 Future Tsunami Hazards
252(1)
References
253(4)
10 Storm Hazards 257(28)
10.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Storms
257(4)
10.1.1 Tropical Storms
257(2)
10.1.2 Extratropical Storms
259(2)
10.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Storms
261(8)
10.2.1 The Coastal Storm-Hazards Cascade
261(5)
10.2.2 The Inland Storm-Hazard Cascade
266(3)
10.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Storms
269(6)
10.3.1 Coastal Settings
270(3)
10.3.2 Inland Settings
273(2)
10.4 Naturally Oscillating Climate and Increasing Storminess
275(5)
References
280(5)
11 Rood Hazards 285(38)
11.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Floods
286(3)
11.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Floods
289(9)
11.2.1 Floods in the Hazard Cascade
289(2)
11.2.2 Natural Dam-break Floods
291(6)
11.2.3 Channel Avulsion
297(1)
11.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Floods
298(8)
11.4 Lessons from Prehistoric Megafloods
306(2)
11.5 Measures of Catchment Denudation
308(3)
11.6 The Future of Flood Hazards
311(4)
References
315(8)
12 Drought Hazards 323(22)
12.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Droughts
323(3)
12.1.1 Defining Drought
324(1)
12.1.2 Measuring Drought
325(1)
12.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Droughts
326(8)
12.2.1 Droughts in the Hazard Cascade
326(1)
12.2.2 Soil Erosion, Dust Storms, and Dune Building
327(5)
12.2.3 Surface Runoff and Rivers
332(2)
12.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Drought Impacts
334(5)
12.4 Towards More Megadroughts?
339(3)
References
342(3)
13 Wildfire Hazards 345(20)
13.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Wildfires
345(3)
13.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Wildfires
348(6)
13.2.1 Wildfires in the Hazard Cascade
348(1)
13.2.2 Direct Fire Impacts
348(2)
13.2.3 Indirect and Postfire Impacts
350(4)
13.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Wildfires
354(5)
13.4 Towards More Megafires?
359(2)
References
361(4)
14 Snow and Ice Hazards 365(30)
14.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Snow and Ice Hazards
365(2)
14.2 Geomorphic Impact of Snow and Ice Hazards
367(13)
14.2.1 Snow and Ice in the Hazard Cascade
367(1)
14.2.2 Snow and Ice Avalanches
367(7)
14.2.3 J8kulhlaups
374(1)
14.2.4 Degrading Permafrost
375(4)
14.2.5 Other Ice Hazards
379(1)
14.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Snow and Ice Processes
380(4)
14.4 Atmospheric Warming and Cryospheric Hazards
384(5)
References
389(6)
15 Sea-Level Change and Coastal Hazards 395(24)
15.1 Frequency and Magnitude of Sea-Level Change
399(5)
15.2 Geomorphic Impacts of Sea-Level Change
404(4)
15.2.1 Sea Levels in the Hazard Cascade
404(1)
15.2.2 Sedimentary Coasts
404(3)
15.2.3 Rocky Coasts
407(1)
15.3 Geomorphic Tools for Reconstructing Past Sea Levels
408(3)
15.4 A Future of Rising Sea Levels
411(3)
References
414(5)
16 How Natural are Natural Hazards? 419(38)
16.1 Enter the Anthropocene
419(5)
16.2 Agriculture, Geomorphology, and Natural Hazards
424(6)
16.3 Engineered Rivers
430(5)
16.4 Engineered Coasts
435(3)
16.5 Anthropogenic Sediments
438(5)
16.6 The Urban Turn
443(2)
16.7 Infrastructure's Impacts on Landscapes
445(1)
16.8 Humans and Atmospheric Warming
446(2)
16.9 How Natural Are Natural Hazards and Disasters?
448(2)
References
450(7)
17 Feedbacks with the Biosphere 457(38)
17.1 The Carbon Footprint of Natural Disasters
457(16)
17.1.1 Erosion and Intermittent Burial
460(6)
17.1.2 Organic Carbon in River Catchments
466(3)
17.1.3 Climatic Disturbances
469(4)
17.2 Protective Functions
473(12)
17.2.1 Forest Ecosystems
473(5)
17.2.2 Coastal Ecosystems
478(7)
References
485(10)
18 The Scope of Geomorphology in Dealing with Natural Risks and Disasters 495(24)
18.1 Motivation
496(2)
18.2 The Geomorphologist's Role
498(1)
18.3 The Disaster Risk Management Process
499(12)
18.3.1 Identify Stakeholders
500(1)
18.3.2 Know and Share Responsibilities
501(2)
18.3.3 Understand that Risk Changes
503(1)
18.3.4 Analyse Risk
504(1)
18.3.5 Communicate and Deal with Risk Aversion
505(2)
18.3.6 Evaluate Risks
507(2)
18.3.7 Share Decision Making
509(2)
18.4 The Future - Beyond Risk?
511(5)
18.4.1 Limitations of the Risk Approach
511(1)
18.4.2 Local and Regional Disaster Impact Reduction
511(2)
18.4.3 Relocation of Assets
513(1)
18.4.4 A Way Forward?
514(2)
References
516(3)
19 Geomorphology as a Tool for Predicting and Reducing Impacts from Natural Disasters 519(6)
19.1 Natural Disasters Have Immediate and Protracted Geomorphic Consequences
519(1)
19.2 Natural Disasters Motivate Predictive Geomorphology
520(1)
19.3 Natural Disasters Disturb Sediment Fluxes
521(1)
19.4 Geomorphology of Anthropocenic Disasters
521(2)
References
523(2)
Glossary 525(6)
Index 531
Tim Davies is Professor in the School of Earth and Environment at University of Canterbury, New Zealand. Educated in Civil Engineering in UK in the 1970s, he taught in Agricultural Engineering and subsequently Natural Resources Engineering at Lincoln University, New Zealand before transferring to University of Canterbury in the present millennium to teach into Engineering Geology and Disaster Risk and Resilience. He has published a total of over 140 papers on a range of pure and applied geomorphology topics including river mechanics and management, debris-flow hazards and management, landslides, earthquakes and fault mechanics, rock mechanics and alluvial fans; natural hazard and disaster risk and resilience.

Oliver Korup is Professor in the Institute of Environmental Sciences and Geography and the Institute of Geosciences, University of Potsdam, Germany. Following an academic training in Germany and New Zealand, his research and teaching is now at the interface between geomorphology, natural hazards, and data science. He has worked on catastrophic erosion and disturbances in mountain belts, particularly on landslides, natural dams, river-channel changes, and glacial lake outburst floods.

John J. Clague is Emeritus Professor at Simon Fraser University. He was educated at Occidental College, the University of California Berkeley, and the University of British Columbia. He worked as a Research Scientist with the Geological Survey of Canada from 1975 until 1998, and in Department of Earth Sciences at Simon Fraser University from 1998 until 2016. Clague is a Quaternary geologist with research specializations in glacial geology, geomorphology, natural hazards, and climate change, and has authored over 200 papers on these topics. He is a Fellow of the Royal Society of Canada and an Officer of the Order of Canada.