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Global Demographic Change and Its Implications for Military Power [Pehme köide]

  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 170 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 232x155x10 mm, kaal: 276 g
  • Ilmumisaeg: 16-Sep-2011
  • Kirjastus: RAND
  • ISBN-10: 0833051776
  • ISBN-13: 9780833051776
Teised raamatud teemal:
  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 170 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 232x155x10 mm, kaal: 276 g
  • Ilmumisaeg: 16-Sep-2011
  • Kirjastus: RAND
  • ISBN-10: 0833051776
  • ISBN-13: 9780833051776
Teised raamatud teemal:
What is the impact of demographics on the prospective production of military power and the causes of war? This monograph analyzes this issue by projecting working-age populations through 2050; assessing the influence of demographics on manpower, national income and expenditures, and human capital; and examining how changes in these factors may affect the ability of states to carry out military missions.
Preface iii
Figures
ix
Tables
xi
Summary xiii
Acknowledgments xxv
Abbreviations xxvii
Chapter One Introduction
1(6)
Organization
3(4)
Chapter Two Numbers
7(40)
Fertility Rates
9(10)
Survival Rates
19(2)
Migration
21(3)
Projections
24(14)
Youth Bulges to Come?
38(2)
Projected Muslim Populations
40(4)
Conclusions
44(3)
Chapter Three Long-Term Trends in National GDP
47(12)
Forecasts of GDP per Working-Age Population
48(7)
Uncertainties in the Relationship Between Aging and GDP
55(3)
Conclusions
58(1)
Chapter Four The Economic Burden of Aging Populations
59(24)
Policies Plus People Equals Burden
59(2)
A Profile of the Aging World
61(3)
The Advanced Countries
64(2)
The Developing Countries
66(2)
Medical Expenditures
68(1)
Ambiguities in the Relationship Between Aging and Medical Expenditures
69(3)
Counterevidence That Costs May Rise with Aging
72(2)
Summing Up Aging and Medical Costs
74(1)
Pension Expenditures and the Fiscal Burden
75(2)
Implications for the Fiscal Burden, or the Lack Thereof
77(2)
Conclusions
79(4)
Chapter Five The Influence of Demographics on the Causes of War
83(6)
Chapter Six The Impact of Demographic Trends on Military Power Projection
89(22)
Manpower, Money, and Technical Expertise
90(5)
Manpower
91(2)
National Income
93(1)
Technical Expertise
94(1)
Other
95(1)
The Contribution of Demographics to Various Military Missions
95(12)
Nuclear Coercion
96(1)
Commons Control
97(2)
Surveillance
99(1)
Conventional Combat
100(2)
Raids and Seizures
102(1)
Counterinsurgency
102(4)
Military Operations Other Than War
106(1)
Implications
107(4)
Chapter Seven Implications
111(10)
Findings
111(2)
Major Themes
113(6)
The Once and Future Indispensable Nation
114(3)
The Shrinking Zone of War
117(2)
Lessons for the Air Force
119(2)
APPENDIXES
A Delayed Maternity and Fertility Rates
121(4)
B Trade-Offs Between Fertility Rates and Migration Rates
125(6)
Bibliography 131