New statistical tools are changing the ways in which scientists analyze and interpret data and models. Many of these are emerging as a result of the wide availability of inexpensive, high speed computational power. In particular, hierarchical Bayes and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for anyalsis provide consistent framework for inference and prediction where information is heterogeneous and uncertain, processes are complex, and responses depend on scale. Nowhere are these methods more promising than in the environmental sciences. Models have developed rapidly, and there is now a requirement for a clear exposition of the methodology through to application for a range of environmental challenges.
Arvustused
'...if you are already quite well acquainted with Bayesian concepts and terminology then this book should provide an excellent guide to the application of these advanced statistical techniques within ecology.' Justin Travis, Bulletin of the British Ecological Society 2007 38:1
| Preface |
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| Contributors |
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ix | |
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Part I Introduction to hierarchical modeling |
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1 | (38) |
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Elements of hierarchical Bayesian inference |
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3 | (22) |
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Bayesian hierarchical models in geographical genetics |
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25 | (14) |
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Part II Hierarchical models in experimental settings |
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39 | (36) |
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Synthesizing ecological experiments and observational data with hierarchical Bayes |
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41 | (18) |
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Effects of global change on inflorescence production: a Bayesian hierarchical analysis |
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59 | (16) |
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Janneke Hille Ris Lambers |
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Part III Spatial modeling |
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75 | (44) |
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Building statistical models to analyze species distributions |
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77 | (21) |
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Implications of vulnerability to hurricane damage for long-term survival of tropical tree species: a Bayesian hierarchical analysis |
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98 | (21) |
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Part IV Spatio-temporal modeling |
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119 | (66) |
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Spatial-temporal statistical modeling and prediction of environmental processes |
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121 | (24) |
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Hierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal models for population spread |
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145 | (25) |
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Spatial models for the distribution of extremes |
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170 | (15) |
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| References |
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185 | (12) |
| Index |
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197 | |
Jim Clark is the Blomquist professor at Duke University, where his research focuses on how global change affects forests and grasslands. He received a B.S. from the North Carolina State University in Entomology (1979), a M.S. from the University of Massachusetts in Forestry and Wildlife (1984), and a Ph.D. from the University of Minnesota in Ecology (1988). At Duke University, Clark teaches Community Ecology and Ecological Models & Data. He has served as the Director of Graduate Studies for the University Program in Ecology and as Director of the Center on Global Change.
Alan E. Gelfand is the J B Duke Professor of Statistics and Decision Sciences at Duke University. An early contributor to the development of computational machinery for fitting hierarchical Bayesian models, his current research focuses on the analysis of spatial and spatio-temporal data. His primary areas of application are to problems in environmental science, ecology, and climatology. He received a B.S. from the City College of New York and an M.S. and Ph.D. from Stanford University. After many years at the University of Connecticut, he joined the faculty at Duke University in August 2002.
