| Preface |
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xi | |
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1 | (4) |
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1.2 Important features of this textbook |
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5 | (1) |
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1.3 Organization of textbook |
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6 | (5) |
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11 | (6) |
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2 Fundamentals and data collection |
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17 | (1) |
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2.2 Crash process: drivers, roadways, and vehicles |
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18 | (2) |
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2.3 Crash process: analytical framework |
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20 | (2) |
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2.4 Sources of data and data collection procedures |
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22 | (14) |
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36 | (1) |
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2.6 4-stage modeling framework |
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37 | (7) |
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2.7 Methods for evaluating model performance |
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44 | (7) |
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2.8 Heuristic methods for model selection |
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51 | (4) |
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55 | (4) |
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3 Crash---frequency modeling |
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59 | (1) |
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60 | (1) |
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3.3 Applications of crash-frequency models |
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60 | (3) |
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3.4 Sources of dispersion |
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63 | (2) |
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65 | (6) |
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3.6 Generalized count models for underdispersion |
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71 | (4) |
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3.7 Finite mixture and multivariate models |
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75 | (2) |
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3.8 Multi-distribution models |
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77 | (5) |
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3.9 Models for better capturing unobserved heterogeneity |
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82 | (3) |
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3.10 Semi- and nonparametric models |
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85 | (9) |
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94 | (2) |
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96 | (7) |
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4 Crash-severity modeling |
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103 | (1) |
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4.2 Characteristics of crash injury severity data and methodological challenges |
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104 | (1) |
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105 | (2) |
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4.4 Modeling crash severity as an unordered discrete outcome |
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107 | (12) |
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4.5 Modeling crash severity as an ordered discrete outcome |
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119 | (11) |
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130 | (1) |
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131 | (4) |
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II Highway safety analyses |
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5 Exploratory analyses of safety data |
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135 | (1) |
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5.2 Quantitative techniques |
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136 | (25) |
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161 | (15) |
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176 | (3) |
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6 Cross-sectional and panel studies in safety |
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179 | (1) |
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180 | (8) |
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6.3 Data and modeling issues |
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188 | (5) |
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193 | (1) |
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6.5 Application of crash-frequency and crash-severity models |
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194 | (17) |
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211 | (3) |
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214 | (5) |
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7 Before---after studies in highway safety |
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219 | (1) |
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7.2 Critical issues with before---after studies |
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220 | (3) |
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223 | (9) |
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232 | (7) |
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7.5 Adjusting for site selection bias |
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239 | (3) |
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7.6 Propensity score matching method |
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242 | (2) |
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7.7 Before---after study using survival analysis |
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244 | (2) |
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7.8 Sample size calculations |
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246 | (9) |
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255 | (4) |
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8 Identification of hazardous sites |
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259 | (2) |
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8.2 Observed crash methods |
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261 | (7) |
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8.3 Predicted crash methods |
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268 | (5) |
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273 | (4) |
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277 | (1) |
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8.6 Geostatistical methods |
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278 | (4) |
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8.7 Crash concentration location methods |
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282 | (3) |
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285 | (3) |
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8.9 Evaluating site selection methods |
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288 | (7) |
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295 | (4) |
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9 Models for spatial data |
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299 | (1) |
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9.2 Spatial data and data models |
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300 | (1) |
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9.3 Measurement of spatial association |
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300 | (6) |
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9.4 Spatial weights and distance decay models |
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306 | (3) |
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309 | (9) |
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9.6 Spatial regression analysis |
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318 | (14) |
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332 | (3) |
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10 Capacity, mobility, and safety |
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335 | (1) |
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10.2 Modeling space between vehicles |
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336 | (2) |
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10.3 Safety as a function of traffic flow |
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338 | (2) |
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10.4 Characterizing crashes by real-time traffic |
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340 | (6) |
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10.5 Predicting imminent crash likelihood |
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346 | (2) |
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10.6 Real-time predictive analysis of crashes |
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348 | (6) |
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10.7 Using traffic simulation to predict crashes |
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354 | (10) |
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364 | (5) |
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III Alternative safety analyses |
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11 Surrogate safety measures |
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369 | (1) |
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11.2 An historical perspective |
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370 | (1) |
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11.3 Traffic conflicts technique |
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371 | (2) |
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11.4 Field survey of traffic conflicts |
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373 | (1) |
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11.5 Proximal surrogate safety measures |
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374 | (9) |
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11.6 Theoretical development of safety surrogate measures |
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383 | (11) |
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11.7 Safety surrogate measures from traffic microsimulation models |
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394 | (1) |
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11.8 Safety surrogate measures from video and emerging data sources |
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395 | (2) |
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397 | (2) |
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12 Data mining and machine learning techniques |
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399 | (1) |
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400 | (3) |
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403 | (2) |
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405 | (7) |
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412 | (4) |
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416 | (7) |
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12.7 Support vector machines |
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423 | (3) |
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12.8 Sensitivity analysis |
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426 | (1) |
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427 | (4) |
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Appendix A Negative binomial regression models and estimation methods |
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431 | (12) |
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Appendix B Summary of crash-frequency and crash-severity models in highway safety |
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443 | (26) |
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Appendix C Computing codes |
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469 | (8) |
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Appendix D List of exercise datasets |
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477 | (2) |
| Index |
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479 | |