"Advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) will likely revolutionize human affairs in the coming decades. How will military organizations innovate and adapt to this AI revolution? The stakes are high. Military organizations that best integrate AI stand poised to generate significant advantages over their rivals. Those that fail could find themselves irrelevant on future battlefields. Understanding the extent to which AI will change the character of warfare and strategic competition requires a deeper understanding of the relationship between information, organizational dynamics, and military power. To assess how militaries may adopt AI, and where they may go wrong, Benjamin Jensen, Christopher Whyte, and Scott Cuomo offer a conceptual framework and analyzepast examples of successes and failures in innovation with military information technologies. Their comparative historical case studies include radar, the switch to early computers in air-defense coordination, battle networks in the Revolution in Military Affairs, and remotely piloted aerial vehicles. The cases demonstrate that the discovery of new technology does not ensure innovation. They identify obstacles to military innovation and suggest how they can be overcome. "Information in War" concludes by sketching four hypothetical outcomes in the US military's adoption of AI by 2040"--
In the coming decades, artificial intelligence (AI) will revolutionize the way we live and transform how we wage war. The case studies in this work reveal the ways in which AI will change warfare and strategic competition through a deeper understanding of the relationship between information, organizational dynamics, and military power.
An in-depth assessment of innovations in military information technology informs hypothetical outcomes for artificial intelligence adaptations
In the coming decades, artificial intelligence (AI) could revolutionize the way humans wage war. The military organizations that best innovate and adapt to this AI revolution will likely gain significant advantages over their rivals. To this end, great powers such as the United States, China, and Russia are already investing in novel sensing, reasoning, and learning technologies that will alter how militaries plan and fight. The resulting transformation could fundamentally change the character of war.
In Information in War, Benjamin Jensen, Christopher Whyte, and Scott Cuomo provide a deeper understanding of the AI revolution by exploring the relationship between information, organizational dynamics, and military power. The authors analyze how militaries adjust to new information communication technology historically to identify opportunities, risks, and obstacles that will almost certainly confront modern defense organizations as they pursue AI pathways to the future. Information in War builds on these historical cases to frame four alternative future scenarios exploring what the AI revolution could look like in the US military by 2040.
