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Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python [Pehme köide]

  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 224 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 231x185x15 mm, kaal: 381 g
  • Ilmumisaeg: 25-Feb-2021
  • Kirjastus: John Wiley & Sons Inc
  • ISBN-10: 1119682363
  • ISBN-13: 9781119682363
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  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 224 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 231x185x15 mm, kaal: 381 g
  • Ilmumisaeg: 25-Feb-2021
  • Kirjastus: John Wiley & Sons Inc
  • ISBN-10: 1119682363
  • ISBN-13: 9781119682363
Teised raamatud teemal:

Learn how to apply the principles of machine learning to time series modeling with this indispensable resource 

Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is an incisive and straightforward examination of one of the most crucial elements of decision-making in finance, marketing, education, and healthcare: time series modeling.  

Despite the centrality of time series forecasting, few business analysts are familiar with the power or utility of applying machine learning to time series modeling. Author Francesca Lazzeri, a distinguished machine learning scientist and economist, corrects that deficiency by providing readers with comprehensive and approachable explanation and treatment of the application of machine learning to time series forecasting. 

Written for readers who have little to no experience in time series forecasting or machine learning, the book comprehensively covers all the topics necessary to: 

  • Understand time series forecasting concepts, such as stationarity, horizon,  trend, and seasonality  
  • Prepare time series data for modeling 
  • Evaluate time series forecasting models’ performance and accuracy 
  • Understand when to use neural networks instead of traditional time series models in time series forecasting 

Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is full real-world examples, resources and concrete strategies to help readers explore and transform data and develop usable, practical time series forecasts. 

Perfect for entry-level data scientists, business analysts, developers, and researchers, this book is an invaluable and indispensable guide to the fundamental and advanced concepts of machine learning applied to time series modeling. 

 

 

Acknowledgments vii
Introduction xv
Chapter 1 Overview of Time Series Forecasting
1(28)
Flavors of Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting
3(11)
Supervised Learning for Time Series Forecasting
14(7)
Python for Time Series Forecasting
21(3)
Experimental Setup for Time Series Forecasting
24(2)
Conclusion
26(3)
Chapter 2 How to Design an End-to-End Time Series Forecasting Solution on the Cloud
29(32)
Time Series Forecasting Template
31(13)
Business Understanding and Performance Metrics
33(3)
Data Ingestion
36(3)
Data Exploration and Understanding
39(1)
Data Pre-processing and Feature Engineering
40(2)
Modeling Building and Selection
42(2)
An Overview of Demand Forecasting Modeling Techniques
44(10)
Model Evaluation
46(2)
Model Deployment
48(5)
Forecasting Solution Acceptance
53(1)
Use Case: Demand Forecasting
54(4)
Conclusion
58(3)
Chapter 3 Time Series Data Preparation
61(40)
Python for Time Series Data
62(17)
Common Data Preparation Operations for Time Series
65(1)
Time stamps vs. Periods
66(3)
Converting to Timestamps
69(1)
Providing a Format Argument
70(1)
Indexing
71(5)
Time/Date Components
76(2)
Frequency Conversion
78(1)
Time Series Exploration and Understanding
79(10)
How to Get Started with Time Series Data Analysis
79(5)
Data Cleaning of Missing Values in the Time Series
84(2)
Time Series Data Normalization and Standardization
86(3)
Time Series Feature Engineering
89(9)
Date Time Features
90(2)
Lag Features and Window Features
92(3)
Rolling Window Statistics
95(2)
Expanding Window Statistics
97(1)
Conclusion
98(3)
Chapter 4 Introduction to Autoregressive and Automated Methods for Time Series Forecasting
101(36)
Autoregression
102(17)
Moving Average
119(1)
Autoregressive Moving Average
120(2)
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average
122(7)
Automated Machine Learning
129(7)
Conclusion
136(1)
Chapter 5 Introduction to Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting
137(30)
Reasons to Add Deep Learning to Your Time Series Toolkit
138(6)
Deep Learning Neural Networks Are Capable of Automatically Learning and Extracting Features from Raw and Imperfect Data
140(2)
Deep Learning Supports Multiple Inputs and Outputs
142(1)
Recurrent Neural Networks Are Good at Extracting Patterns from Input Data
143(1)
Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting
144(10)
Recurrent Neural Networks
145(2)
Long Short-Term Memory
147(1)
Gated Recurrent Unit
148(2)
How to Prepare Time Series Data for LSTMs and GRUs
150(4)
How to Develop GRUs and LSTMs for Time Series Forecasting
154(10)
Keras
155(1)
TensorFlow
156(1)
Univariate Models
156(4)
Multivariate Models
160(4)
Conclusion
164(3)
Chapter 6 Model Deployment for Time Series Forecasting
167(30)
Experimental Set Up and Introduction to Azure Machine Learning SDK for Python
168(5)
Workspace
169(1)
Experiment
169(1)
Run
169(1)
Model
170(1)
Compute Target, RunConftguration, and ScriptRun Config
171(1)
Image and Webservice
172(1)
Machine Learning Model Deployment
173(4)
How to Select the Right Tools to Succeed with Model Deployment
175(2)
Solution Architecture for Time Series Forecasting with Deployment Examples
177(19)
Train and Deploy an ARIMA Model
179(3)
Configure the Workspace
182(1)
Create an Experiment
183(1)
Create or Attach a Compute Cluster
184(1)
Upload the Data to Azure
184(4)
Create an Estimator
188(1)
Submit the Job to the Remote Cluster
188(1)
Register the Model
189(1)
Deployment
189(1)
Define Your Entry Script and Dependencies
190(1)
Automatic Schema Generation
191(5)
Conclusion
196(1)
References 197(2)
Index 199
FRANCESCA LAZZERI is an accomplished economist who works with machine learning, artificial intelligence, and applied econometrics. She works at Microsoft as a data scientist and machine learning scientist to develop a portfolio of machine learning services. She is a sought-after speaker and has given popular talks at AI conferences and academic seminars at Berkeley, Harvard, and MIT.