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Mental Modeling Approach: Risk Management Application Case Studies 1st ed. 2017 [Kõva köide]

  • Formaat: Hardback, 261 pages, kõrgus x laius: 235x155 mm, kaal: 6149 g, 61 Illustrations, color; 5 Illustrations, black and white; XXVII, 261 p. 66 illus., 61 illus. in color., 1 Hardback
  • Sari: Risk, Systems and Decisions
  • Ilmumisaeg: 10-Dec-2016
  • Kirjastus: Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
  • ISBN-10: 1493966146
  • ISBN-13: 9781493966141
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  • Formaat: Hardback, 261 pages, kõrgus x laius: 235x155 mm, kaal: 6149 g, 61 Illustrations, color; 5 Illustrations, black and white; XXVII, 261 p. 66 illus., 61 illus. in color., 1 Hardback
  • Sari: Risk, Systems and Decisions
  • Ilmumisaeg: 10-Dec-2016
  • Kirjastus: Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
  • ISBN-10: 1493966146
  • ISBN-13: 9781493966141
This book provides an easy-to-read, user-oriented introduction to mental models research and Mental Modeling TechnologyTM.  Mental models are powerful influences human behavior. The book offers insight from the developers and most experienced application professionals of a widely proven methodology for understanding and influencing human judgment, decision making and behavior. 

The case studies show examples of the methodological concepts in their application context. It is one of the most comprehensive collections of cases focused on government needs of any similar qualitative analysis approach. Finally, it presents an introduction to software tools and tutorials that enable readers to use the approach for their own research needs.


1 An Introduction to Mental Modeling
1(12)
Matthew D. Wood
Sarah Thorne
Daniel Kovacs
Gordon Butte
Igor Linkov
Supporting Evidence-Based Strategies and Communications
2(2)
Understanding People's Mental Models
4(1)
Mental Modeling: Critical to Effective Risk Communication
4(1)
Key Benefits of the Mental Modeling
5(1)
Applied Mental Modeling
6(1)
Who Should Use Mental Modeling?
7(1)
Overview of the
Chapters
7(2)
Part I The Mental Modeling Approach
7(1)
Part II Applications in USACE
7(1)
Part III Applications in Other Contexts and Industries
8(1)
Part IV Mental Modeling Software Support
9(1)
References
9(4)
Part I The Mental Modeling Approach
2 Mental Modeling Research Technical Approach
13(18)
Sarah Thorne
Gordon Butte
Daniel Kovacs
Matthew D. Wood
Introduction
13(1)
Overview of Mental Modeling Research Methodology
14(1)
Key Benefits of Mental Modeling
15(1)
Mental Modeling Core Technique
16(1)
Key Steps in the Mental Modeling Process
17(1)
Step 1 Define the Opportunity
18(1)
ASPS Opportunity Statement Example
19(1)
Step 2 Develop the Expert Model
19(3)
ASPS Expert Model Example
20(1)
Drivers
21(1)
Outcomes
22(1)
Step 3 Design, Conduct, and Analyze Mental Models Interviews
22(3)
ASPS Protocol Example
24(1)
ASPS Top Line Findings
24(1)
Step 4 (Optional) Design, Conduct, and Analyze Qualitative and/or Quantitative Research, Building on Foundational Mental Models Research
25(1)
Step 5 Use Research Results to Design and Pretest Strategies, Policies, Interventions, and Communications
26(2)
ASPS Strategy Example
28(1)
Step 6 Implement and Evaluate Strategies
28(2)
ASPS Case: Implementation Results
29(1)
References
30(1)
3 Science of Mental Modeling
31(12)
Matthew D. Wood
Igor Linkov
Mental Modeling as Evidence-Based Practice
31(1)
Mental Model Theory
32(1)
Mental Model Diagrams
33(1)
Mental Modeling History and Method
33(1)
Other Methods for Representing Mental Models
34(3)
Concept Mapping
34(1)
Semantic Web
35(1)
System Dynamics Diagramming
36(1)
Conclusions
37(1)
References
37(6)
Part II Applications at U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE)
4 Flood Risk Management
43(14)
Matthew D. Wood
Igor Linkov
Daniel Kovacs
Gordon Butte
Introduction
43(3)
Literature Review of Layperson Stakeholder Perceptions
46(1)
Literature Review Results
47(2)
Expert Modeling
49(1)
Expert Modeling Results
50(1)
Mental Models Interviews and Comparative Analysis
51(1)
Interview Results
52(1)
Discussion
53(1)
References
54(3)
5 Adaptive Management for Climate Change
57(12)
Matthew D. Wood
Sarah Thorne
Gordon Butte
Igor Linkov
Daniel Kovacs
Introduction
57(3)
Expert Modeling
60(1)
Results
61(3)
Conclusions
64(1)
References
65(4)
6 Technology Infusion and Marketing
69(16)
Matthew D. Wood
Sarah Thorne
Gordon Butte
The Opportunity
69(2)
Base Model of the TIM Approach
71(1)
Step One Opportunity Formulation
71(2)
Critical Definitions
72(1)
Step Two Validation
73(1)
Step Three Implementation
73(1)
Workshop: Technology Infusion and Marketing (TIM): Guided Thinking on Three Technologies
74(1)
Preworkshop with EL Sponsors and Project Leads
74(1)
Facilitators' Protocol
75(1)
Workshop Agenda Overview
75(1)
Breakout Group Results
76(1)
TREECS: Training Range Environmental Evaluation and Characterization System
76(1)
Computational Chemistry
77(1)
Risk
77(1)
Key Learnings and Applying the Results
78(1)
TIM Path Forward Considerations/Action Options
79(1)
An Example of Project-Specific Successes and Learnings: TREECS
80(2)
References
82(3)
Part III Applications in Other Contexts and Industries
7 Farmers' Decision Making to Avoid Drug Residues in Dairy Cows: A Mental Modeling Case Study
85(20)
Sarah Thorne
Gordon Butte
The Opportunity
85(2)
Expert Modeling
87(4)
Mental Modeling
91(1)
Sample Development
92(1)
Protocol Design
92(1)
Sampling Process
92(1)
Coding and Analysis
93(1)
Key Results
94(5)
Improving Risk Communication
99(1)
Variances Between Violators and Non-violators
99(3)
Considerations on Next Steps for Strategic Risk Communications with Dairy Farmers
102(1)
Key Learnings and Applying the Results
103(1)
References
104(1)
8 Influence of the CHEMM Tool on Planning, Preparedness, and Emergency Response to Hazardous Chemical Exposures: A Customized Strategic Communications Process Based on Mental Modeling
105(28)
Daniel Kovacs
Sarah Thorne
Gordon Butte
The Opportunity
105(2)
Mental Modeling Approach
107(1)
Expert Models
107(1)
Mental Models Research
107(1)
Expert Models of Influences on CHEMM Effectiveness
108(1)
Expert Model Narrative
108(12)
Influence of the CHEMM Tool on Planning. Preparedness, and Emergency Response to Hazardous Chemical Exposures: System Perspective
108(6)
Influences of the CHEMM Tool on Planning. Preparedness, and Emergency Response to Hazardous Chemical Exposures: User Perspective
114(6)
User Matrices for CHEMM Optimization
120(1)
Deeper Insight into CHEMM Users' Mental Models
121(2)
Research Sample
121(1)
Interview Topics
122(1)
Summary Mental Models Research Findings
123(5)
CHEMM Uses and Information Needs
124(2)
CHEMM Information Quality Criteria
126(1)
CHEMM Functionality
127(1)
Stakeholder Engagement and Continuing CHEMM Development
127(1)
Interview Wrap-Up and Interviewees' Closing Thoughts
128(1)
Building on the Mental Models Research Results
128(1)
Client Perspectives on Mental Models Research, Key Learnings, and Applying the Results
129(4)
9 The Chamber of Mines of South Africa Leading Practice Adoption System
133(20)
John Stewart
Gordon Butte
Background to Development of the System
133(1)
Leadership Commitment and Exploratory Work
134(1)
Key Outcomes
134(3)
A Residual Communication Challenge
137(1)
The Road Ahead
138(1)
Appendix
139(12)
Reference
151(2)
10 Conducting Effective Outreach with Community Stakeholders About Biosolids: A Customized Strategic Risk Communications Process™ Based on Mental Modeling
153(26)
Sara Eggers
Sarah Thorne
Introduction
153(1)
The Global Opportunity for Biosolids Professionals
154(2)
The Strategic Risk Communications Process
156(2)
Applying the Strategic Risk Communications Process™: Two Case Studies
158(1)
Step 1 Define the Opportunity
159(1)
Sample Opportunity Statement
159(1)
Step 2 Characterize the Situation
160(3)
Technical Assessment, Using Expert Modeling
160(1)
Preliminary Stakeholder Analysis
160(3)
Step 3 Assess Stakeholders' Interests, Priorities, and Communications Needs, Through Mental Models Research
163(9)
Sample Development and Recruitment
164(1)
Protocol Outline
164(1)
Conducting Interviews
165(1)
Coding and Analysis
165(1)
Sample Characteristics
166(1)
Highlights from the Mental Models Research
167(5)
Step 4 Develop and Pretest Communications Plan and Materials
172(2)
Pretesting Communication Plan and Materials
174(1)
Implementation and Evaluation
174(1)
Developing Guidance for Biosolids Professionals
175(1)
Key Learnings and Demonstrated Value
175(2)
References
177(2)
11 Using Mental Modeling to Systematically Build Community Support for New Coal Technologies for Electricity Generation
179(16)
Sarah Thorne
Megan Young
Opportunity for New Coal-Based Power Generation Technology
179(2)
Opportunity at Genesee
181(1)
Key Challenges
182(1)
Project Steps
183(1)
Draft the Opportunity Statement and Guiding Principles
183(2)
Opportunity Statement
184(1)
Guiding Principles
184(1)
Develop Expert Model
185(1)
Conduct Mental Models Research
186(1)
Key Learnings from the Mental Models Research
186(1)
Hold a Series of Community Advisory Task Group Workshops
187(2)
Draft a Community Engagement Strategy
189(1)
Community Workshop to Draft the Environmental Impact Assessment Terms of Reference
190(1)
Finalize Community Engagement Strategy and Plan
191(2)
Conclusions
193(1)
References
194(1)
12 Saving Lives from a Silent Killer: Using Mental Modeling to Address Homeowners' Decision Making About Carbon Monoxide Poisoning
195(28)
Sarah Thorne
Gordon Butte
Sarah Hailey
Introduction
195(1)
Communicating the Risk of Carbon Monoxide in the Home
196(1)
Applying the Mental Modeling Research Approach
197(1)
Step 1 Define the Opportunity
198(1)
Step 2 Characterize the Situation
199(5)
Development of the Expert Model
199(1)
Expert Model Narrative
200(1)
Expert Model Workshop
201(1)
Detailed Expert Model of Reducing Carbon Monoxide Risk in the Home
202(2)
Expert Model Validation
204(1)
Step 3 Assess Stakeholders' Interests, Priorities and Communications Needs, Through Mental Models Research
204(8)
Sample Development
204(1)
Interview Protocol Outline
205(1)
Conducting Interviews
205(1)
Coding and Analysis
205(2)
Weighted Mental Model
207(1)
Key Results
207(5)
Mental Models Analysis
212(1)
Step 4 Develop and Pretest Communications Plan and Materials
212(9)
Communication Goal and Strategic Objectives
212(2)
Key Communities of Interest and Potential Partners
214(1)
Message Platforms
215(1)
TSSA Action Plan
216(4)
Implementation and Evaluation
220(1)
Key Learnings and Demonstrated Value
221(1)
References
221(2)
13 U.S. Census Bureau Integrated Communications Services for Data Dissemination: Mental Modeling Case Study with Key Internal Expert Stakeholders
223(16)
Daniel Kovacs
Sarah Thorne
The Opportunity
223(1)
Mental Modeling Approach
224(3)
Developing the Expert Models
225(1)
Developing the Sample
226(1)
Conducting Mental Models Research
227(1)
Research Highlights
227(6)
Key Census Bureau Stakeholders
227(1)
Modes of Communications and Engagement
228(1)
What Is Working Well
228(2)
Current Challenges
230(2)
Improving Communication and Engagement
232(1)
Preliminary Considerations on Key Components of the Communications Research and Analytics Roadmap (CRAR)
233(2)
Strategic Framework for CRAR
234(1)
Strategic Framework for the Communications Research and Analytics Roadmap
235(4)
Part IV Mental Modeling Software Support
14 Supporting and Expanding the Scope and Application of Mental Modeling: Current and Future Software Developments
239(16)
Daniel Kovacs
Alex Tkachuk
Gordon Butte
Sarah Thorne
Introduction
239(1)
CASS Support Software for Mental Modeling Technology™ (MMT™) Research Processes
239(10)
eCASS Software for Modeling
240(4)
eCASS Coding and Analysis Module
244(4)
Cass Module Integration (eCASS and cCASS)
248(1)
Cass Development
248(1)
Case Study: IDST™ used by Enersource Hydro Mississauga to Fulfill Customer Engagement Regulatory Requirements
249(4)
The Customer Engagement Challenge
249(1)
New Technology for Customer Engagement
250(1)
IDST™ Experience
250(1)
The Results
251(2)
Advantages over Conventional Customer Engagement Methods
253(1)
Considerations on Future Applications of the IDST™
253(1)
Mental Modeling Technology™ with Quantitative Risk Analysis Tools
253(1)
References
254(1)
Index 255