From On My Watch:
One day in mid-October, a NATO intelligence officer requested a confidential conversation. He came into my office, and after ensuring all phones were out of the room as usual, we sat down at the meeting table. The intelligence officer then showed me a map of the Russian forces.
As you know, Secretary General, he said, weve maintained a precise overview of the Russian military buildup, but weve so far been unable to say anything certain about the intention behind it.
He took a brief pause, lifted his eyes from his notes, and looked at me, his expression serious.
Today, however, we know what the intention is. Its to invade Ukraine.