This book aims at the new opportunities, development connotation, problems and potential risks of the Maritime Silk Road in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), as well as the problems of insufficient case samples, incomplete assessment information, uncertain decision-making knowledge, etc., Some new methods and technical such as dynamic Bayesian networks, intuitionistic fuzzy sets, group decision-making, information flow, are introduced to build an indicator system and mathematical model for risk assessment and emergency management. Aim at the impacts and hazards of extreme weather such as tropical cyclones, strong winds, waves, low visibility, and rising sea levels in the sea area along the Maritime Silk Road, research are conducted on risk assessment and emergency management of disaster environment such as geographical environmental characteristics, climate change scenarios, islands, straits and ports. This book can be used as a reference for researchers in the fields of atmosphere, ocean, environmental ecology, transportation, natural resources, disaster prevention and reduction, emergency management, and related university teachers.
Introduction.- Risk Analysis and Emergency Management.- Natural
Environmental Characteristics of the Maritime Silk Road.- Maritime Silk Road
Natural Risk Conceptual Model and Evaluation Indicators.- Natural Risk
Assessment of the Maritime Silk Road.
Ren Zhang, Professor and doctoral supervisor at Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, and visiting researcher at Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Guest Professor at Shandong University. Engaged in research on natural disaster risk assessment and emergency management, climate change and ocean response, marine disaster risk assessment and emergency management, uncertainty artificial intelligence, etc. Director of the China Oceanographic Society and Deputy Director of the Artificial Intelligence Oceanography Committee, standing director of the Risk Analysis Committee of the China Disaster Prevention Association, won 2 second prizes and 6 third prizes for provincial and ministerial level scientific and technological achievements; Published over 200 papers and 10 monographs.
Xin Li, Associate Professor and Master's Supervisor at National University of Defense Technology, and Supervisor of Jiangsu Meteorological Society. Engaged in research on ocean-atmosphere interactions, meteorological and marine environmental impact assessments, marine disaster risk assessment and emergency management, climate change and ocean response, etc. Won 2 second prizes for provincial and ministerial level scientific and technological achievements; Published over 60 academic papers and 5 monographs.
Mei Hong, Associate Professor and Master's Supervisor at the University of National Defense Technology, mainly engaged in marine environmental forecasting and support, risk assessment, and decision-making assistance. Winner of the Hunan Provincial Natural Science Outstanding Youth Fund, recipient of the Xie Yibing Youth Meteorological Award, has led more than 20 projects including the National Natural Science Foundation of China, published 58 papers, and won 2 third prizes for provincial and ministerial level scientific and technological achievements.
Yangjun Wang, Lecturer at National University of Defense Technology, engaged in research on artificial intelligence oceanography, marine environmental risk assessment, and decision optimization. Collaborated to publish 4 monographs and received recommendations for excellent marine science and technology books and national excellent marine books; Collaborated in publishing 5 translated works and published over 40 papers.
