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North Korean Decisionmaking: Economic Opening, Conventional Deterrence Breakdown, and Nuclear Use [Pehme köide]

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  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 124 pages, Illustrations, unspecified
  • Ilmumisaeg: 30-Sep-2020
  • Kirjastus: RAND
  • ISBN-10: 1977405533
  • ISBN-13: 9781977405531
Teised raamatud teemal:
North Korean Decisionmaking: Economic Opening, Conventional Deterrence Breakdown, and Nuclear UseSuurem pilt
  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 124 pages, Illustrations, unspecified
  • Ilmumisaeg: 30-Sep-2020
  • Kirjastus: RAND
  • ISBN-10: 1977405533
  • ISBN-13: 9781977405531
Teised raamatud teemal:
Püsilink: https://www.kriso.ee/db/9781977405531.html
Märksõnad:

The authors examine (1) experiences of different communist regimes to forecast North Korean adoption of a new economic model; (2) what might happen if conventional deterrence fails on the Peninsula; and (3) why North Korea might use nuclear weapons.

Preface iii
Tables
vii
Summary ix
Acknowledgments xvii
Abbreviations xix
Chapter One Introduction
1(2)
Chapter Two Prospects That North Korea Will Engage in Market Reform
3(50)
Factors That Influence Economic Reform Decisionmaking
5(1)
Factors That Influenced China's Economic Reform Decisions
5(14)
Factors That Influenced Vietnam's Economic Reform Decisions
19(8)
Factors That Influenced Cuban Economic Reform Decisions
27(10)
Factors That Influenced North Korea's Past Economic Reforms
37(13)
Conclusions
50(3)
Chapter Three Conventional Deterrence on the Korean Peninsula: Two Scenarios for Analysis
53(12)
The Two Scenarios
55(2)
Scenario 1 Moon Defense Reforms Erode Conventional Deterrence
57(3)
Scenario 2 Changes in U.S.-ROK Command Structures Erode
60(3)
Conclusions
63(2)
Chapter Four North Korea Nuclear Doctrine
65(24)
Nuclear Doctrine: The Range of Possibilities
66(3)
Inferring Intentions: DPRK Official Statements
69(6)
Potential DPRK Nuclear Doctrines
75(7)
Possible Nuclear Use Scenarios
82(7)
Chapter Five Conclusions
89(4)
References 93