The main contribution of this book lies in its focus on real alternatives in future population growth. At some time-taken as 1956 in India for this case study-a low-income country may have the option of effectively promoting the reduction of fertility, or (by inaction) of permitting fertility to remain at high levels. This book clearly shows the nature and extent of the economic gains resulting from fertility reduction. Since most low-income areas are destined for rapid population growth even with substantial fertility declines, the emphasis is placed between moderately rapid and very rapid growth. The extensive quantitative population projections show the importance of the growth rate itself and of changes in age distribution in addition to population size. The results for India have direct implications for all low-income, primarily agrarian areas entering a program of economic development.
Originally published in 1958.
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*Frontmatter, pg. i*Foreword, pg. v*Preface, pg. vii*Contents, pg.
xiii*Tables, pg. xv*Charts, pg. xx*I. Introduction, pg. 1*II. The Effects of
Economic Development on Population Growth, pg. 9*III. The Effects of
Population Growth on Economic Development, pg. 18*IV. India's
Population-Current and Prospective, pg. 29*V. Recent Indian Mortality and
Fertility Trends, pg. 43*VI. Prospective Changes in Indian Mortality and
Fertility, pg. 55*VII. Guiding Principles In Indian Economic Development, pg.
75*VIII. Potential Development in Agriculture, pg. 85*IX. Agricultural
Manpower, pg. 111*X. Agricultural And Overall Economic Development, pg.
119*XI. Nonagricultural and Total Output-limiting Factors and Development
Policies, pg. 141*XII. The Financing of Development, pg. 148*XIII. The
Productivity Of Developmental Outlays, pg. 181*XIV. Demographic Influences on
India's Prospective Economic Growth, pg. 227*XV. Population Growth And Labor
Supply, pg. 231*XVI. Population Growth and the Disposition of Income, pg.
238*XVII. Projections of the Effect of Reduced Fertility on Indian Economic
Growth, pg. 259*XVIII. Summary and Conclusions of Part Four, pg. 284*XIX.
Introduction to Part Five, pg. 295*XX. Population Change and Economic
Development in Low-Income Areas with Different Demographic Conditions, pg.
297*XXI Population Change and Economic Development with Different Initial
Economic Conditions, pg. 304*XXII. The Economic Effects of Different Courses
of Fertility after 30 Years, pg. 321*XXIII. Population Growth and Economic
Development in Low Income Areas: Summary, pg. 332*Appendix A. Methods
Employed in Adjusting Indian Population Data and Preparing Projections of the
Indian Population, 1956-1986, pg. 337*Appendix B. Methods Employed in
Adjusting Mexican Population Data in Preparing Projections of the Mexican
Population, 1955-1985, pg. 368*Appendix C. Notes on the Population of Mexico,
pg. 375*Index, pg. 385
