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Radiological Risk Assessment and Environmental Analysis [Kõva köide]

Edited by , Edited by (President, Radiological Assessments Corporation)
  • Formaat: Hardback, 728 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 236x155x43 mm, kaal: 1134 g, 185 illustrations
  • Ilmumisaeg: 10-Jul-2008
  • Kirjastus: Oxford University Press Inc
  • ISBN-10: 0195127277
  • ISBN-13: 9780195127270
Teised raamatud teemal:
  • Formaat: Hardback, 728 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 236x155x43 mm, kaal: 1134 g, 185 illustrations
  • Ilmumisaeg: 10-Jul-2008
  • Kirjastus: Oxford University Press Inc
  • ISBN-10: 0195127277
  • ISBN-13: 9780195127270
Teised raamatud teemal:
Radiological Risk Assessment and Environmental Analysis comprehensively explains methods used for estimating risk to people exposed to radioactive materials released to the environment by nuclear facilities or in an emergency such as a nuclear terrorist event. This is the first book that merges the diverse disciplines necessary for estimating where radioactive materials go in the environment and the risk they present to people. It is not only essential to managers and scientists, but is also a teaching text.
The chapters are arranged to guide the reader through the risk assessment process, beginning with the source term (where the radioactive material comes from) and ending with the conversion to risk. In addition to presenting mathematical models used in risk assessment, data is included so the reader can perform the calculations. Each chapter also provides examples and working problems.
The book will be a critical component of the rebirth of nuclear energy now taking place, as well as an essential resource to prepare for and respond to a nuclear emergency.

Arvustused

...the revised edition of the 1983 book is a welcome addition to the published literature. It is based on many years of experience by acknowledged experts in their fields and will serve as an excellent textbook for students of this discipline and as a reference book for practitioners.... universally valid and applicable. * Health Physics Society *

Contributors xxv
The Radiological Assessment Process
1(30)
John E. Till
Radiological Assessment Process Source Term
2(26)
Environmental Transport
3(3)
Environmental Transport of Plutonium in Air During the 1957 Fire at Rocky Flats
6(2)
Exposure Factors
8(1)
Rocky Flats Representative Exposure Scenarios
9(1)
Hanford Site Scenarios for Native Americans
10(2)
Conversion to Dose
12(1)
Uncertainty in Dose Coefficients
12(1)
Appropriate Use of Dose Coefficients as a Function of Age
13(1)
Conversion of Dose to Risk
13(1)
Why Risk?
14(1)
Risk Coefficients
14(1)
Uncertainty Analysis
15(2)
Use of Uncertainty for Determining Compliance with Standards
17(1)
Validation
18(3)
Communication of Dose and Risk and Stakeholder Participation
21(1)
Communication of Results from Radiological Assessment
21(3)
Stakeholder Participation
24(4)
Conclusion
28(1)
References
28(3)
Radionuclide Source Terms
31(48)
Paul G. Voilleque
Radionuclides of Interest and Their Properties
32(5)
Situations That Do Not Require Source Terms
37(1)
Human Activities Producing Releases of Radionuclides
38(24)
Uranium Mining
39(1)
Uranium Milling
39(1)
Uranium Conversion
40(1)
Uranium Enrichment
40(1)
Weapon Component and Fuel Fabrication
41(1)
Reactors
42(2)
Source Terms for Normal Operations
44(12)
Source Terms for Accidents
56(2)
Fuel Processing Plants
58(3)
Solid Waste Disposal
61(1)
Source Term Development for Facilities
62(4)
Source Terms for Prospective Analyses
62(2)
Source Terms for Retrospective Analyses
64(2)
Problems
66(3)
References
69(10)
Atmospheric Transport of Radionuclides
79(68)
Todd V. Crawford
Charles W. Miller
Allen H. Weber
The Atmosphere
80(9)
Composition
80(1)
Vertical Extent Important for Atmospheric Releases
80(1)
Scales of Motion
81(3)
Macroscale
84(1)
Mesoscale
84(3)
Microscale
87(2)
Input Data for Atmospheric Transport and Diffusion Calculations
89(19)
Source
89(1)
Winds
90(3)
Turbulence and Stability
93(1)
Atmospheric Stability Categories
94(1)
Pasquill-Gifford Stability Categories
95(4)
Richardson Number
99(7)
Mixing Height
106(2)
Meteorological Data Quality
108(1)
Modeling of Transport and Diffusion
108(31)
Gaussian Diffusion Models
109(1)
Instantaneous Point Source
109(1)
Continuous Point Source
110(1)
Continuous Line Source
110(1)
Continuous Point Source Release from a Stack
111(1)
Sector Averaging
112(1)
Modifications Based on Source Characteristics
113(3)
Special Considerations
116(3)
Summary of Gaussian Plume Model Limitations
119(1)
Puff-Transport and Diffusion Models
120(1)
Puff Transport
120(1)
Puff Diffusion
121(1)
Sequential Puff-Trajectory Model
122(3)
Multibox Models
125(1)
Calculation Grid
125(1)
Calculation Methods and Limitations
126(1)
Particle-in-Cell Models
126(1)
Screening Models
127(1)
Atmospheric Removal Processes
128(1)
Fallout
129(1)
Dry Deposition
129(1)
Wet Deposition
130(2)
Model Validation
132(2)
Model Uncertainty
134(2)
Guidelines for Selecting Models
136(1)
Regulatory Models
137(1)
AERMOD Model
137(1)
CALPUFF Model
138(1)
CAP88 Model
138(1)
Conclusions
139(1)
Problems
139(1)
References
140(7)
Surface Water Transport of Radionuclides
147(61)
Yasuo Onishi
Basic Transport and Fate Mechanisms
149(5)
Transport
149(1)
Water Movement
149(1)
Sediment Movement
150(1)
Bioturbation
151(1)
Intermedia Transfer
151(1)
Adsorption and Desorption
151(1)
Precipitation and Dissolution
152(1)
Volatilization
153(1)
Physical Breakup
153(1)
Degradation/Decay
153(1)
Radionuclide Decay
153(1)
Transformation
153(1)
Yield of Daughter Products
153(1)
Radionuclide Contributions from Other Environmental Media
154(1)
Radionuclide Transport Models
154(38)
Accidental Radionuclide Releases
155(1)
Routine Long-Term Radionuclide Releases
156(3)
Rivers
159(1)
Basic River Characteristics
159(4)
Screening River Model
163(4)
Estuaries
167(1)
Basic Estuarine Characteristics
167(4)
Screening Estuary Methodology
171(5)
Coastal Waters and Oceans
176(1)
Basic Coastal Water and Ocean Characteristics
176(3)
Coastal Water Screening Model
179(2)
Lakes
181(1)
Basic Lake Water Characteristics
181(2)
Small Lake Screening Model
183(2)
Large Lake Screening Model
185(2)
Sediment Effects
187(3)
Numerical Modeling
190(1)
Governing Equations
190(1)
Some Representative Models
191(1)
Chernobyl Nuclear Accident Aquatic Assessment
192(8)
Radinuclide Transport in Rivers
194(3)
Aquatic Pathways and Their Radiation Dose Contributions
197(3)
New Chernobyl Development
200(1)
Problems
200(3)
References
203(5)
Transport of Radionuclides in Groundwater
208(52)
Richard B. Codell
James O. Duguid
Applications of Groundwater Models for Radionuclide Migration
209(2)
Geologic Isolation of High-Level Waste
209(1)
Shallow Land Burial
210(1)
Uranium Mining and Milling
210(1)
Nuclear Power Plant Accidents
211(1)
Types of Groundwater Models
211(5)
Groundwater Models for High-Level Waste Repositories
211(1)
Near-Field Performance
212(1)
Far-Field Performance
213(2)
Groundwater Models for Shallow Land Burial of Low-Level Waste
215(1)
Groundwater Models for Mill Tailings Waste Migration
215(1)
Equations for Groundwater Flow and Radioactivity Transport
216(6)
Groundwater Flow
216(2)
Saturated Flow
218(1)
Unsaturated Flow
219(1)
Mass Transport
219(1)
Chain Decay of Radionuclides
220(1)
Percolation of Water into the Ground
221(1)
Parameters for Transport and Flow Equations
222(11)
Diffusion and Dispersion in Porous Media
222(1)
Molecular Diffusion
222(1)
Dispersion
222(1)
Macrodispersion
223(1)
Determination of Dispersion
224(1)
Porosity and Effective Porosity
224(2)
Hydraulic Conductivity for Saturated Flow
226(2)
Sorption, Retardation, and Colloids
228(1)
Transport Based on Assumption of Equilibrium (Retardation Factor)
228(3)
Transport Based on Geochemical Models
231(1)
Colloid Migration
232(1)
Methods of Solution for Groundwater Flow and Transport
233(17)
Numerical Methods
233(1)
Finite Difference
234(1)
Finite Element
234(1)
Method of Characteristics
234(1)
Random Walk Method
234(1)
Flow Network Models
235(1)
Advection Models
235(1)
Analytic Elements
235(1)
Analytical Solutions of the Convective-Dispersive Equations
236(1)
Point Concentration Model
237(3)
Flux Model
240(3)
Generalization of Instataneous Models
243(1)
Superposition of Solutions
243(1)
Simplified Analytical Methods for Minimum Dilution
243(3)
Models for Population Doses
246(4)
Source Term Models for Low-Level Waste
250(1)
Model Validation and Calibration
251(2)
Misuse of Models
253(1)
Problems
254(1)
References
254(6)
Terrestrial Food Chain Pathways: Concepts and Models
260(80)
F. Ward Whicker
Arthur S. Rood
Conceptual Model of the Terrestrial Environment
262(6)
Strategies for Evaluating Food Chain Transport
268(5)
Predictive Approaches
268(1)
Direct Measurements
268(1)
Statistical Models
269(1)
Mechanistic Models
270(1)
Choosing a Predictive Approach
271(1)
Model Attributes
271(2)
Mechanistic Models: The Mathematical Foundations for Single Compartments
273(14)
Concepts and Terminology of Tracer Kinetics
273(2)
Single-Compartment, First-Order Loss Systems
275(1)
Source and Sink Compartments
275(2)
Single Compartments with Constant Input Rates
277(3)
Single Compartments with Time-Dependent Input Rates
280(4)
Single-Compartments, Non-First-Order Loss Systems
284(1)
The Convolution Integral
284(1)
Borel's Theorem
285(1)
Derivation of Rate Constants Involving Fluid Flow Compartments
286(1)
Numeric Solutions
287(1)
Individual Transport Processes: Concepts and Mathematical Formulations
287(37)
Types of Processes
288(1)
Continuous Processes
288(1)
Discrete Preocess
288(1)
Stochastic Processes
288(1)
Deposition from Air to Soil and Vegetation
289(1)
Gravitational Setting
289(1)
Dry Deposition
290(2)
Wet Deposition
292(2)
Soil-Vegetation Partitioning of Deposition
294(1)
Transport from Soil to Vegetation
295(1)
Suspension and Resuspension
296(7)
Root Uptake
303(4)
Transport from Vegetation to Soil
307(1)
Weathering
307(1)
Senescence
308(1)
Transport within the Soil Column
309(1)
Percolation
310(1)
Leaching
310(7)
Other Natural Processes Producing Vertical Migration in Soil
317(1)
Tillage
318(1)
Transport from Vegetation to Animals
318(2)
Transport from Soil to Animals
320(1)
Ingestion
320(1)
Inhalation
321(1)
Transfers to Animal-Derived Human Food Products
321(2)
Ingestion Pathways to Humans
323(1)
Dynamic Multicompartment Models: Putting It All Together
324(7)
Conclusions
331(2)
Problems
333(1)
References
334(6)
Aquatic Food Chain Pathways
340(36)
Steven M. Bartell
Ying Feng
Aquatic Ecosystem Classification
341(1)
Conceptual Model for an Aquatic Environment
342(2)
Physicochemical Processes
343(1)
Radionuclide Uptake and Concetration Factors
344(27)
Examples of Bioconcentration Factors
348(3)
Bioconcentration Factors in Screening-Level Risk Estimations
351(1)
Bioaccumulation Factors in Estimating Exposure
352(2)
Bioaccumulation under Nonequilibrium Conditions: The Chernobyl Cooling Pond Example
354(1)
Initial 137 Cs Contamination in the Chernobyl Cooling Pond Water
355(1)
The Chernobyl Cooling Pond Ecosystem
356(1)
Chernobyl Cooling Pond Model Structure
357(3)
Food Web Structure
360(1)
Population Dynamics and Biomass Distributions
360(2)
Spatial and Temporal Radionuclide Ingestion Rates
362(1)
Radionuclide Transport and Distribution
363(1)
Case Studies in Exposure and Bioaccumulation
364(1)
Homogeneous and Steady-State Exposures
364(1)
Homogeneous and Dynamic Radioactive Environment
364(2)
Homogeneous and Dynamic Radioactive Environment with Dynamic Population Biomass
366(1)
Heterogeneous and Dynamic Radioactive Environment
366(1)
Heterogeneous and Dynamic Radioactive Environment with Varying Biomass
367(1)
Dynamic Exposures and Variations in Feeding Rates
368(1)
Dynamic Exposures and Multiple Prey
368(1)
Discussion of the Chernobyl Modeling Results
368(2)
Temporally and Spatially Dependent Ecological Factors
370(1)
Problems
371(1)
References
372(4)
Site Conceptual Exposure Models
376(13)
James R. Rocco
Elisabeth A. Stetar
Lesley Hay Wilson
Evaluation Area
377(1)
Interested Party Input
377(1)
Exposure Pathways
378(7)
Sources and Source Areas
379(1)
Radionuclides
380(1)
Exposure Areas
381(1)
Potentially Exposed Persons
382(1)
Behaviors and Activities
383(1)
Exposure Media
383(1)
Exposure Routes
383(1)
Transport Mechanisms
384(1)
Transfer Mechanisms
385(1)
Exposure Scenarios
385(2)
Exposure Factors
386(1)
Problems
387(1)
References
388(1)
Internal Dosimetry
389(58)
John W. Poston Sr.
John R. Ford
External versus Internal Exposure
389(5)
Internal Dose Control
392(2)
Regulatory Requirements
394(50)
ICRP Publication 26 Techniques
394(3)
Tissues at Risk
397(2)
ICRP Publication 30 Techniques
399(1)
Determination of the Tissue Weighting Factors
399(1)
Secondary and Derived Limits
400(2)
Other Definitions
402(1)
Calculation of the Committed Dose Equivalent
402(7)
Dosimetric Models Used in the ICRP 30 Calculations
409(1)
Model of the Respiratory System
409(8)
Model of the Gastrointestinal Tract
417(2)
Dosimetric Model for Bone
419(2)
Submersion in a Radioactive Cloud
421(1)
Recent Recommendations
422(1)
ICRP Publication 60
422(1)
Dosimetric Quantities
423(6)
Dose Limits
429(1)
Age-Dependent Doses to the Public (ICRP Publications 56, 67, 69, 71, and 72)
430(2)
ICRP Publication 56
432(2)
ICRP Publication 67
434(3)
ICRP Publication 69
437(1)
ICRP Publication 71
437(5)
ICRP Publication 72
442(1)
ICRP Publication 89
443(1)
ICRP Publication 88 and 95
444(1)
Summary
444(1)
Problems
445(1)
References
445(2)
External Dosimetry
447(18)
David C. Kocher
Dose Coefficients for External Exposure
448(6)
Definition of External Dose Coefficient
449(1)
Compilation of External Dose Coefficients
449(1)
Description of Dose Coefficients in Current Federal Guidance
450(2)
Applicability of Dose Coefficients
452(1)
Effective Dose Coefficients
453(1)
Dose Coefficients for Other Age Groups
454(1)
Corrections to Dose Coefficients for Photons
454(3)
Shielding during Indoor Residence
455(1)
Effects of Ground Roughness
456(1)
Exposure during Boating Activities
456(1)
Exposure to Contaminated Shorelines
456(1)
Point-Kernel Method
457(4)
Description of the Point-Kernel Method
457(2)
Point-Kernel Method for Photons
459(1)
Applications of the Point-kernel Method for Photons
459(2)
Point-Kernel Method for Electrons
461(1)
Problems
461(1)
References
462(3)
Estimating and Applying Uncertainty in Assessment Models
465(66)
Thomas B. Kirchner
Why Perform an Uncertainty Analysis?
468(1)
Describing Uncertainty
469(18)
Probability Distributions
471(1)
Descriptive Statistics
471(5)
Statistical Intervals
476(1)
Confidence Intervals
476(3)
Tolerance Intervals
479(4)
Typical Distributions
483(2)
Correlations and Multivariate Distributions
485(2)
Assigning Distributions
487(10)
Deriving Distributions from Data
490(1)
Estimating Parameters of a Distribution
491(1)
Using Limited Data
491(2)
Using Expert Elicitation
493(4)
Methods of Propagation
497(9)
Analytical Methods
497(1)
Sum and Difference of Random Variables
498(1)
Product of Random Variables
499(1)
Quotient of Random Variables
500(1)
Formulas for Normal and Lognormal Distributions
501(1)
Linear Operations
501(1)
Geometric Means and Standard Deviations
501(1)
Mathematical Approximation Techniques
502(1)
Mean
502(1)
Variance
502(2)
Propagation Using Interval Estimates
504(1)
Sum and Difference
504(1)
Products and Quotients
504(1)
Other Functions
505(1)
Covariance and the Order of Operations
505(1)
Monte Carlo Methods
506(11)
Generating Random Numbers
508(1)
Potential Problems with Monte Carlo Methods
508(1)
Sampling Designs
509(1)
Simple Random Sampling
509(1)
Latin Hypercube Sampling
509(1)
Importance Sampling
510(1)
Sampling Designs to Partition Variability and True Uncertainty
511(1)
Number of Simulations
511(2)
Interpretation of the Output Distributions
513(4)
Sensitivity Analysis
517(5)
Local Sensitvity Analysis
518(2)
Global Sensitivity Analysis
520(1)
Statistics for Ranking Parameters
521(1)
Uncertainty and Model Validation
522(2)
Summary
524(1)
Problems
525(1)
References
526(5)
The Risks from Exposure to lonizing Radiation
531(20)
Roger H. Clarke
Radiobiological Effects after Low Doses of Radiation
533(7)
Biophysical Aspects of Radiation Action on Cells
533(2)
Chromosomal DNA as the Principal Target for Radiation
535(1)
Epigenetic Responses to Radiation
535(2)
Effects at Low Doses of Radiation
537(1)
Dose and Dose-Rate Effectiveness Factor
538(1)
Genetic Susceptibility to Cancer
538(1)
Heritable Diseases
539(1)
Cancer Epidemiology
540(5)
Japanese A-Bomb Survivors
541(1)
Other Cohorts
542(1)
In Utero Exposures
543(1)
Uncertainties in Risk Estimates Based on Mortality Data
544(1)
Risk Coefficients for Cancer and Hereditary Effects
545(2)
Cancer Risk Coefficients
545(1)
Hereditary Risk
546(1)
Overall Conclusions on Biological Effects at Low Doses
547(2)
Problems
549(1)
References
549(2)
The Role of Epidemiology in Estimating Radiation Risk: Basic Methods and Applications
551(38)
Owen J. Devine
Paul L. Garbe
Measures of Disease Burden in Populations
552(5)
Estimating Disease Risk
552(2)
Estimating Disease Rate
554(1)
Estimating Disease Prevalence
555(2)
Measures of Association between Disease Risk and Suspected Causative Factors
557(6)
Risk Ratio
557(2)
Risk Odds Ratio
559(1)
Exposure Odds Ratio
559(4)
Study Designs Commonly Used in Epidemiologic Investigations
563(3)
Cohort Designs
563(2)
Case-Control Designs
565(1)
Nested Designs
566(1)
Assessing the Observed Level of Association between Disease and Exposure
566(14)
Interpreting Estimates of Disease Exposure Association
567(3)
Confidence Intervals
570(10)
Issues in Radiation Epidemiology
580(4)
Conclusion
584(1)
Problems
584(3)
References
587(2)
Model Validation
589(24)
Helen A. Grogan
Validation Process
590(6)
Model Composition
591(2)
Model Performance
593(1)
Calibration
594(2)
Tests of Model Performance
596(7)
Testing for Bias
596(2)
Measures of Scatter
598(1)
Correlation and Regression
599(1)
Visual Display of Information
599(4)
Reasons for Poor Model Performance
603(5)
User Error
604(1)
The Model
605(2)
The Assessment Question
607(1)
Conclusions
608(1)
Problems
608(1)
References
609(4)
Regulations for Radionuclides in the Environment
613(69)
David C. Kocher
Principal Laws for Regulating Exposures to Radionuclides and Hazardous Chemicals in the Environment
614(3)
Institutional Responsibilities for Radiation Protection of the Public
617(2)
Responsibilities of U.S. Governmental Institutions
617(1)
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
617(1)
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
617(1)
U.S. Department of Energy
618(1)
State Governments
618(1)
Role of Advisory Organizations
619(1)
Standards for Controlling Routine Radiation Exposures of the Public
619(52)
Basic Approaches to Regulating Exposure to Radionuclides in the Environment
619(1)
Radiation Paradigm for Risk Management
620(2)
Chemical Paradigm for Risk Management
622(1)
Linear, Nonthreshold Dose-Response Hypothesis
622(2)
Radiation Protection Standards for the Public
624(1)
Guidance of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
624(1)
Radiation Protection Standards of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
625(1)
Radiation Protection Standards of the U.S. Department of Energy
626(1)
State Radiation Protection Standards
627(1)
Current Recommendations of the ICRP, NCRP, and IAEA
627(1)
Summary of Radiation Protection Standards for the Public
628(1)
Standards for Specific Practices or Sources
629(1)
Operations of Uranium Fuel-Cycle Facilities
630(1)
Radioactivity in Drinking Water
631(4)
Radioactivity in Liquid Discharges
635(1)
Uranium and Thorium Mill Tailings
636(3)
Other Residual Radioactive Material
639(9)
Radioactive Waste Management and Disposal
648(12)
Airborne Emissions of Radionuclides
660(2)
Indoor Radon
662(2)
Risks Associated with Radiation Standards for the Public
664(2)
Consistency of Radiation Standards for the Public
666(3)
Importance of ALARA Objective to Consistent Regulation
669(2)
Exemption Levels for Radionuclides in the Environment
671(3)
Concepts of Exemption
671(1)
De Minimis Level
671(1)
Exempt or Below Regulatory Concern Level
671(1)
Recommendations of Advisory Organizations
672(1)
Recommendations of the NCRP
672(1)
Recommendations of the IAEA
672(1)
Exemptions Established by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
673(1)
Exemptions in U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Regulations
673(1)
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Guidance on Disposal of Thorium or Uranium
674(1)
Protective Action Guides for Accidents
674(8)
Purpose and Scope of Protective Action Guides
675(1)
Time Phases for Defining Protective Actions
675(1)
Protective Action Guides Established by Federal Agencies
676(1)
Recommendations of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
676(1)
Recommendations of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration
676(1)
Proposed Recommendations of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security
677(2)
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission's Reactor Siting Criteria
679(1)
ICRP Recommendations on Responses to Accidents
680(1)
IAEA Guidelines for Intervention Levels in Emergency Exposure Situations
681(1)
Conclusions 682(1)
References 683(6)
Index 689
John E. Till is president and founder of Risk Assessment Corporation (RAC), based in Neeses. South Carolina.

Helen A. Grogan is president of Cascade Scientific, Inc., based in Bend, Oregon.