This handbook provides contributions by some of the world's leading experts in the field on recent phenomena and trends in transnational terrorism.
This handbook provides contributions by some of the world-leading experts in the field on recent phenomena and trends in transnational terrorism.
Based on the methodological approach of a trend-and-key factor analysis of transnational terrorism and processed on the virtual platform "Foresight Strategy Cockpit" (FSC), the volume seeks to examine what potential future variants of transnational terrorism may evolve. Focusing on the latest structural developments in the sphere of politically or religiously motivated violence, the handbook considers the tactical, strategic, and not least the systemic dimension of terrorism. Divided into seven thematic sections, the handbook’s contributions cover a wide range of issues, dealing among others with strategic and hybrid terrorism, the systemic dimension of extremist violence, prevalent actors, counter-narratives, the crime terror-nexus, the role of digitalization and the spiral dynamic between Islamist and right-wing terrorism. The expert contributions provide a condensed overview of current developments, structural linkages and important academic debates centering around transnational salafi-jihadi terrorism, but also right-wing terrorism and counter-terrorism. A key objective of the work is to make the effects of prevention/preemption, (de-) radicalization and (non-) intervention both transparent and assessable. As such, it contributes well-founded strategies, feasible solutions and options for policy-makers and counter-terrorism experts.
This volume will be of great interest to students of terrorism and counter-terrorism, political violence and security studies.
Arvustused
'The contributors are all important scholars. They thoroughly examine global terrorism in the last four decades focusing on the Islamic and right-wing groups but also deal with stochastic terrorism or the lone wolf form.'
David C. Rapoport, Distinguished Professor Emeritus, Founding Editor 'Terrorism & Political Violence'
'A thoughtfully edited collection of articles by an impressive line-up of scholars. Readers will be hard pressed to find a wider range of ideas on terrorism in a single volume than this.'
Thomas Hegghammer, Senior Fellow, All Souls College, Oxford
1. Introduction PART I The Strategic and Systemic Dimension of Terrorism
2. Strategic Terrorism
3. Geopolitical Game Changers and their Impact on
Global Terrorism
4. The Systemic Dimension of Jihadist Violence: A Root Cause
Analysis of Jihadist Terrorism
5. Jihadist Violence: New Terrorist
Actors/Groups Emerging - Who Will be the Key Players in the Next Decade?
6.
From Networks to Social Identity: A Dialectical Model of Terrorism
7. The
Atomization of Political Violence
8. The Case of Hybrid TerrorismSystemic
Lessons from recent European Plots PART II Technology and Radicalization
9.
The Emerging Terrorist Technological Landscape
10. Online Territories of
Terror: The Multi-Platform Communication Paradigm and the Information Ecology
of the Web3 Era
11. The Virtualization of Terror: Violent Extremism on the
Internet Today
12. The Evolution of Hybrid Radicalization: From Small Group
to Mass Phenomenon
13. The Emergence of Decoupled Radicalization and
Franchise Terrorist: McJIHAD
14. The Crime-Terror-Nexus in Europe and its
Implication for Jihadist radicalization
15. Counter-Narratives Part III
Right-Wing Extremism and Stochastic Terrorism
16. Ideological Polarization
and Societal Disruption
17. The Current and Future Threat Posed by Islamist
and Right-Wing Extremist Terrorism in Europe
18. Generation Z and Terrorism
19. Stochastic Terrorism: Mass Media Escalation Against Victim Groups as a
Radicalization Platform for Terrorist Individual Perpetrators?
20. The
Heightened Threat of U.S. Domestic Terrorism
21. Right-wing Extremists and
State Deniers in Europe: Current Narratives, Trends and Actors PART IV
Forecast, Trends, Scenarios and Tactics
22. How to Forecast and Predict
Future Terrorist Warfare
23. Recent Trends in International Terrorism and
Their Impact on CT Ambitions
24. Key Trends in Transnational Terrorism: A
Software based Key Factor Foresight Analysis
25. Scenarios of Transnational
Terrorism: Trends and Developments - A Fact-Based Threat Assessment
26.
Foiled versus Launched Terror Plots: Some Lessons Learned
27. Hybrid Loans
and Tactics of Jihadism: Will Hybridity Remain the Narrative of Convergent,
Politically Motivated Violence?
28. Terrorism and Hybrid Threats: Analyzing
Common Characteristics and Constraints for Counter-Measures PART V Political
Islam, Jihadism, Psychology and Counter-Terrorism
29. Legalistic Islam: The
Transition from Political Islam to Jihadism
30. Jihadism and True Islam:
Discourses and Realities
31. Jihadism in the West: A Post-Caliphate
Transitory Phase
32. Becoming a Jihadist: A Psychoanalytical Perspective
33.
Understanding the Motivation of "Lone-Wolf" Terrorists: The "Bathtub" Model
34. Evolving Perspectives on Psychopathology and Terrorism
35. European
Approaches to Risk Assessment of Terrorist Offenders
36. A Model for
Countering Violent Extremism and Promoting Disengagement from Terrorism PART
VI Covid-19, Resilience and Terrorism
37. Crises and Catastrophes, Security
and Resilience: On the Significance of Finding Definitions for Security
Policy
38. Covid-19 and Global Terrorism Pandemics
39. The False Promise of
Salafi-Jihadist: Rhetoric and the Response to Covid-19
40. The Impact of the
Covid-19 Pandemic on Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism: Reassessing the
Evidence
41. A Legacy of Disorder, Desperation and Defiance: The Possible
Effects of the Coronavirus Pandemic on the Future Course of Terrorism
42.
Hybrid Jihad: A Trend Scenario for Transnational Terrorism 43.Terrorist
Threats Post Covid-19 PART VII Afghanistan, Al-Qaeda and Beyond
44. The
Security Situation in Afghanistan and the Implications for Global Terrorism
45. Afghanistan under Taliban Rule: Consequences for Global Security and
Terrorism Against the West
46. Afghanistan after the Withdrawal of the West:
The Taliban, al-Qaeda, and IS- K
47. Global Jihad: Al-Qaeda and the Islamic
States Struggle for Power and Global Dominance
48. Al-Qaeda - 20 years after
9/11
49. The Taliban-al-Qaeda Nexus: Brothers in Arms
Nicolas Stockhammer is Director of the Research Cluster Counter-Terrorism, CVE (Countering Violent Extremism) and Intelligence at Danube-University Krems (Austria).
