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Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't [Pehme köide]

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  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 576 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 212x138x28 mm, kaal: 471 g
  • Ilmumisaeg: 03-Feb-2015
  • Kirjastus: Penguin USA
  • ISBN-10: 0143125087
  • ISBN-13: 9780143125082
Teised raamatud teemal:
Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don'tSuurem pilt
  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 576 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 212x138x28 mm, kaal: 471 g
  • Ilmumisaeg: 03-Feb-2015
  • Kirjastus: Penguin USA
  • ISBN-10: 0143125087
  • ISBN-13: 9780143125082
Teised raamatud teemal:
Püsilink: https://www.kriso.ee/db/9780143125082.html
Märksõnad:
The founder of FiveThirtyEight.com challenges myths about predictions in subjects ranging from the financial market and weather to sports and politics, profiling the world of prediction to explain how readers can distinguish true signals from hype, in a report that also reveals the sources and societal costs of wrongful predictions.

Preface to the Paperback Edition xiii
Introduction 1(18)
1 A Catastrophic Failure Of Prediction
19(28)
2 Are You Smarter Than A Television Pundit?
47(27)
3 All I Care About Is W's And L's
74(34)
4 For Years You've Been Telling Us That Rain Is Green
108(34)
5 Desperately Seeking Signal
142(34)
6 How To Drown In Three Feet Of Water
176(28)
7 Role Models
204(28)
8 Less And Less And Less Wrong
232(30)
9 Rage Against The Machines
262(32)
10 The Poker Bubble
294(35)
11 If You Can't Beat 'Em
329(41)
12 A Climate Of Healthy Skepticism
370(42)
13 What You Don't Know Can Hurt You
412(34)
Conclusion 446(9)
Acknowledgments 455(4)
Notes 459(58)
Index 517