Stock Market Probability: Using Statistics to Predict and Optimize Investment Outcomes, Revised Edition 2nd edition [Kõva köide]

Presents a unique approach to using statistical analysis in investing, and describes specific techniques for predicting the probability of loss, changes in earnings, profit margins, and dividends, and estimating the average future return from stocks. This revised edition includes rescaled range analysis of stock prices providing evidence of chaos in the markets, and information on estimating volatility from high/low prices. Annotation copyright Book News, Inc. Portland, Or.

This book describes how to use statistical techniques to manage risk and improve returns. By estimating the probability of various investment outcomes in advance, investors can make better-informed decisions. Joseph Murphy shows how statistical tools and techniques such as standard deviation, dispersion and distributions can be profitably applied to the stock market. Completely updated and revised it provides investors with a sound and rational method for beating the market. Specific topics include: Statistics and historic stock market returns; Calculate the odds of an advance or decline in a stock; Estimate returns on a mutual fund; Diversification through time; The five laws of finance.