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Uncertainty by Design: Preparing for the Future with Scenario Technology [Pehme köide]

  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 277 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 229x152x16 mm, kaal: 454 g, 9 b&w halftones, 5 charts - 9 Halftones, black and white - 5 Charts
  • Sari: Expertise: Cultures and Technologies of Knowledge
  • Ilmumisaeg: 15-Apr-2022
  • Kirjastus: Cornell University Press
  • ISBN-10: 150176246X
  • ISBN-13: 9781501762468
  • Formaat: Paperback / softback, 277 pages, kõrgus x laius x paksus: 229x152x16 mm, kaal: 454 g, 9 b&w halftones, 5 charts - 9 Halftones, black and white - 5 Charts
  • Sari: Expertise: Cultures and Technologies of Knowledge
  • Ilmumisaeg: 15-Apr-2022
  • Kirjastus: Cornell University Press
  • ISBN-10: 150176246X
  • ISBN-13: 9781501762468
"Examines the use of scenario planning in the fields of security and emergency preparedness, energy, and health by analyzing practices at the National Emergency Authority in Israel, the World Health Organization's Regional Office for Europe, and the World Energy Council"--

In Uncertainty by Design Limor Samimian-Darash presents cases of the use of scenario technology in the fields of security and emergency preparedness, energy, and health by analyzing scenario narratives and practices at the National Emergency Management Authority in Israel, the World Health Organization's Regional Office for Europe, and the World Energy Council.

Humankind has long struggled with the uncertainty of the future, with how to foresee the future, imagine alternatives, or prepare for and guard against undesirable eventualities. Scenario—or scenario planning—emerged in recent decades to become a widespread means through which states, large corporations, and local organizations imagine and prepare for the future.

The scenario technology cases examined in Uncertainty by Design provide a useful lens through which to view contemporary efforts to engage in an overall journey of discovering the future, along with the modality of governing involved in these endeavors to face future uncertainties. Collectively, they enable us to understand in depth how scenarios express a new governing modality.

Arvustused

Uncertainty by Design is a thought-provoking work with many virtues and several potential audiences.

(Project Muse)

Preface ix
List of Abbreviations
xv
Introduction: Uncertainty, Scenarios, and the Future 1(22)
1 Chronicity: The Problematization of Scenario Thinking
23(14)
2 Narrative Building: Imagining Plausible Futures
37(18)
3 Exercising: Practicing the Unexpected
55(17)
4 Subjectivation: Embracing Uncertainty
72(25)
5 Simulations: Possibilities and Responses
97(20)
6 Scenarios, Temporality, and Uncertainty
117(13)
7 Conclusions and Critical Limitations
130(18)
Epilogue: Scenarios and the Dynamics between Science and Imagination 148(11)
Notes 159(6)
References 165(18)
Index 183
Limor Samimian-Darash is Associate Professor in the Federmann School of Public Policy and Government at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. She is the coeditor of Modes of Uncertainty.