Preface, |
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vii | |
How to use this book, |
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x | |
1 Fundamentals, |
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1 | (18) |
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1.1 Motivation for this book, |
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1 | (1) |
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1.2 Mathematical preliminaries, |
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2 | (17) |
2 Statistical modelling, |
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19 | (15) |
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2.1 The Central European Floods, August 2002, |
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19 | (3) |
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2.2 Extreme value analysis, |
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22 | (1) |
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2.3 Simple methods of return period estimation, |
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22 | (3) |
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2.4 Return periods based on distribution fitting, |
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25 | (5) |
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2.5 Techniques for parameter estimation, |
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30 | (1) |
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2.6 Bayesian parameter estimation, |
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30 | (1) |
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2.7 Resampling methods: bootstrapping, |
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31 | (3) |
3 Mathematics of hydrological processes, |
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34 | (11) |
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34 | (1) |
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3.2 Algebraic and difference equation methods, |
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34 | (2) |
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3.3 Methods involving exponentiation, |
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36 | (1) |
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3.4 Rearranging model equations, |
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36 | (2) |
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3.5 Equations with iterated summations and products, |
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38 | (3) |
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3.6 Methods involving differential equations, |
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41 | (2) |
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3.7 Methods involving integrals, |
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43 | (2) |
4 Techniques based on data fitting, |
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45 | (10) |
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4.1 Experimental and observed data, |
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45 | (1) |
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46 | (3) |
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4.3 Regression with two or more independent variables, |
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49 | (2) |
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4.4 Demonstration of decaying quantities, |
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51 | (1) |
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4.5 Analysis based on harmonic functions, |
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52 | (3) |
5 Time series data, |
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55 | (16) |
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55 | (1) |
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5.2 Characteristics of time series data, |
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55 | (2) |
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5.3 Testing for time dependence, |
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57 | (1) |
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58 | (1) |
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59 | (1) |
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5.6 Other analysis methods, |
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60 | (1) |
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5.7 Smoothing and filtering, |
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60 | (1) |
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5.8 Linear smoothing and filtering methods, |
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61 | (3) |
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5.9 Nonlinear filtering methods, |
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64 | (2) |
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5.10 Time series modelling, |
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66 | (1) |
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5.11 Hybrid time series/process-based models, |
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67 | (2) |
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5.12 Detecting non-stationarity, |
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69 | (2) |
6 Measures of model performance, uncertainty and stochastic modelling, |
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71 | (15) |
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71 | (1) |
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6.2 Quantitative measures of performance, |
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71 | (2) |
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73 | (2) |
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6.4 The Nash—Sutcliffe method, |
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75 | (1) |
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6.5 Stochastic modelling, |
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76 | (1) |
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6.6 Monte Carlo simulations, |
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77 | (2) |
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6.7 Non-uniform Monte Carlo sampling, |
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79 | (2) |
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6.8 Uncertainty in hydrological modelling, |
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81 | (1) |
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6.9 Uncertainty in combined models, |
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82 | (1) |
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6.10 Assessing uncertainty given observed data: Bayesian methods, |
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83 | (3) |
Glossary, |
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86 | (2) |
Index, |
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88 | |