1 Introduction |
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1 | (16) |
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1.1 What Is Climate Change? |
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3 | (2) |
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1.1.1 The Main Indicators of Climate Change |
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4 | (1) |
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1.1.2 Ten Key Indicators of a Human Finger Print on Climate Change |
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4 | (1) |
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1.2 Causes of Climate Change |
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5 | (2) |
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6 | (1) |
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6 | (1) |
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1.2.3 Biggest Threats of Climate Change |
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6 | (1) |
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1.3 Impacts of Climate Change |
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7 | (3) |
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1.4 Food Security and Climate Change |
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10 | (2) |
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10 | (1) |
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11 | (1) |
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1.4.3 Ensuring Food Security |
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11 | (1) |
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1.5 Climate-Resilient Agriculture |
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12 | (1) |
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1.6 Climate Change Adaptation |
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13 | (1) |
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1.7 Climate Change Mitigation |
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14 | (1) |
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14 | (3) |
2 Causes of Climate Change |
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17 | (10) |
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18 | (1) |
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18 | (1) |
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18 | (1) |
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19 | (1) |
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19 | (1) |
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19 | (1) |
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20 | (6) |
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21 | (1) |
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2.3.2 Carbon Dioxide (CO2) |
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22 | (1) |
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23 | (2) |
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2.3.4 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) |
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25 | (1) |
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2.3.5 Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) |
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25 | (1) |
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26 | (1) |
3 Agriculture as a Source of GHGs |
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27 | (16) |
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3.1 Global Agricultural Emissions |
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28 | (2) |
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3.2 Emissions by Agricultural Source |
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30 | (6) |
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31 | (1) |
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3.2.2 Agricultural Soils (N2O) |
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31 | (1) |
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3.2.3 Enteric Fermentation (CH4) |
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32 | (1) |
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3.2.4 Rice Cultivation (CH4) |
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33 | (1) |
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3.2.5 Manure Management (CH4, N2O) |
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33 | (1) |
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3.2.6 Other Agriculture Sources of Non-CO2 Emissions (CH4, N2O) |
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34 | (1) |
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3.2.7 Deforestation Emissions |
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34 | (1) |
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3.2.8 Emissions from Production of Biofuels |
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35 | (1) |
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35 | (1) |
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3.3 Emission Trends (Global and Regional) |
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36 | (5) |
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36 | (1) |
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3.3.2 Food System Emissions |
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36 | (1) |
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3.3.3 Livestock Emissions |
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37 | (1) |
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3.3.4 Direct Agricultural Emissions |
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38 | (1) |
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38 | (1) |
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3.3.6 Future Global Trends |
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38 | (2) |
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40 | (1) |
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41 | (2) |
4 Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture |
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43 | (48) |
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46 | (2) |
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4.2 Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Enrichment |
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48 | (5) |
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4.2.1 Impact on Photosynthesis |
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48 | (2) |
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4.2.2 Impact on Water Use by Plants |
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50 | (1) |
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4.2.3 Physiological Effects of CO2 |
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51 | (1) |
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52 | (1) |
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53 | (1) |
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4.3 Elevated Temperatures |
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53 | (9) |
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4.3.1 Interactions with Thermal Regimes |
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55 | (1) |
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4.3.2 Crops and Temperature |
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55 | (1) |
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4.3.3 Effects on Growth Rates |
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56 | (1) |
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4.3.4 Effects on Growing Seasons |
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57 | (1) |
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4.3.5 Reduction in Crop Yield |
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57 | (3) |
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4.3.6 Effects on Moisture Availability |
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60 | (1) |
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4.3.7 Effects on Livestock |
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60 | (2) |
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4.4 Varying Precipitation Patterns |
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62 | (4) |
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4.4.1 Changes in Hydrological Regimes and Shifts in Precipitation Patterns |
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64 | (2) |
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4.5 Soil Fertility and Erosion |
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66 | (1) |
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66 | (1) |
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4.5.2 Erosion and Fertility |
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67 | (1) |
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67 | (1) |
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4.6 Extreme Weather Events |
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67 | (5) |
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4.6.1 Extreme Temperatures |
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68 | (2) |
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70 | (1) |
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4.6.3 Heavy Rainfall and Flooding |
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71 | (1) |
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71 | (1) |
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72 | (2) |
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4.8 Fisheries and Aquaculture |
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74 | (1) |
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4.8.1 Predicted Changes in Fisheries Catch Potential During 2005-2055 Under a Higher GHG Emissions Scenario |
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74 | (1) |
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4.9 Pests, Diseases, and Weeds |
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75 | (1) |
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75 | (2) |
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76 | (1) |
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76 | (1) |
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4.11 Crop Yields and Quality |
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77 | (2) |
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77 | (1) |
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78 | (1) |
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79 | (2) |
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4.13 Increasing Ocean Acidification |
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81 | (1) |
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4.14 Glacier Retreat and Disappearance |
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82 | (1) |
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4.14.1 Changes in Water Availability |
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83 | (1) |
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4.15 ENSO Effects on Agriculture |
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83 | (1) |
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4.16 Climate Change Impacts on Food Security |
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83 | (1) |
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4.16.1 Food Insecurity Hotspots |
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84 | (1) |
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84 | (1) |
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85 | (6) |
5 Regional Impacts |
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91 | (16) |
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92 | (2) |
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5.1.1 Climate, Water Availability, and Agriculture in Egypt |
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93 | (1) |
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5.1.2 Adaptation and Vulnerability |
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93 | (1) |
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94 | (2) |
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5.2.1 Adaptation and Vulnerability |
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95 | (1) |
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5.3 Australia and New Zealand |
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96 | (1) |
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5.3.1 Adaptation and Vulnerability |
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97 | (1) |
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97 | (2) |
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5.4.1 Adaptation and Vulnerability |
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99 | (1) |
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99 | (2) |
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5.5.1 Adaptation and Vulnerability |
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100 | (1) |
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101 | (2) |
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102 | (1) |
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5.7 Polar Regions (Arctic and Antarctic) |
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103 | (1) |
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5.7.1 Adaptation and Vulnerability |
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103 | (1) |
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103 | (2) |
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5.8.1 Adaptation, Vulnerability, and Sustainability |
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104 | (1) |
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105 | (2) |
6 Impacts on Crop Protection |
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107 | (8) |
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109 | (1) |
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110 | (1) |
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111 | (1) |
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6.5 Adaptation and Mitigation |
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111 | (1) |
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112 | (1) |
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113 | (2) |
7 Impacts on Insect and Mite Pests |
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115 | (36) |
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116 | (1) |
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7.2 Climate Change and Insect Pests |
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116 | (2) |
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7.3 Elevated Temperatures |
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118 | (3) |
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121 | (3) |
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123 | (1) |
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7.5 Expansion of Geographical Distribution |
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124 | (1) |
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125 | (2) |
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7.7 Varying Precipitation Patterns |
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127 | (1) |
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128 | (1) |
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7.9 Increased Overwintering Survival |
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128 | (2) |
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130 | (2) |
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130 | (1) |
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131 | (1) |
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132 | (1) |
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7.11 Breakdown of Host Plant Resistance |
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132 | (1) |
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7.12 Pest Population Dynamics and Outbreaks |
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133 | (1) |
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7.13 Crop-Pest Interactions |
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133 | (1) |
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7.14 Disruption of Plant-Pollinator Interactions |
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133 | (3) |
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136 | (1) |
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7.16 Reduced Effectiveness of Pest Management Strategies |
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136 | (1) |
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7.17 Increased Pesticide Usage |
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137 | (1) |
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138 | (2) |
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138 | (1) |
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138 | (1) |
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139 | (1) |
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140 | (1) |
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140 | (2) |
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7.19.1 Promotion of Resource Conservation Technologies |
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141 | (1) |
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7.19.2 Observation of Fields and Orchards |
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141 | (1) |
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7.19.3 Increased Biodiversity |
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141 | (1) |
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7.19.4 Avoidance of Depending on One "High Input Variety" or One Breed of Crop Variety |
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142 | (1) |
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7.19.5 Following Crop Rotation to Increase Biodiversity |
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142 | (1) |
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7.19.6 Following Ecologically Based Pest Management |
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142 | (1) |
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142 | (4) |
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7.20.1 Breeding Climate-Resilient Varieties |
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142 | (1) |
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7.20.2 Rescheduling of Crop Calendars |
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142 | (1) |
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7.20.3 GIS-Based Risk Mapping of Crop Pests |
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142 | (1) |
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7.20.4 Screening of Pesticides with Novel Modes of Action |
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143 | (1) |
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7.20.5 Improved Pest Control |
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143 | (1) |
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7.20.6 Transgenic Crops for Pest Management |
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143 | (1) |
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7.20.7 Integrated Pest Management |
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144 | (2) |
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146 | (1) |
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146 | (5) |
8 Impacts on Plant Pathogens |
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151 | (28) |
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152 | (1) |
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8.2 Climate Change and Plant Disease |
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153 | (2) |
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155 | (2) |
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8.4 Elevated Temperatures |
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157 | (3) |
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8.5 Varying Precipitation Patterns |
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160 | (1) |
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8.6 Expansion of Geographical Distribution |
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160 | (2) |
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8.7 Elevated Levels of Atmospheric Pollutants |
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162 | (1) |
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162 | (1) |
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162 | (1) |
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8.7.3 Elevated Ultraviolet-B |
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163 | (1) |
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163 | (3) |
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163 | (1) |
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164 | (1) |
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165 | (1) |
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8.8.4 Microbial Interactions |
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165 | (1) |
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8.8.5 Quarantine and Exclusion |
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165 | (1) |
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166 | (2) |
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166 | (1) |
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166 | (1) |
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167 | (1) |
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167 | (1) |
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8.10 Adaptation and Mitigation |
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168 | (3) |
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8.10.1 Enhanced Surveillance |
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168 | (1) |
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8.10.2 Enhanced Research and Development |
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168 | (1) |
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8.10.3 Enhanced Public and Professional Awareness |
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168 | (1) |
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8.10.4 Integrated and Adaptive Policy Development |
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168 | (2) |
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8.10.5 Transgenic Disease-Resistant Varieties |
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170 | (1) |
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171 | (1) |
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172 | (1) |
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173 | (1) |
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174 | (5) |
9 Impacts on Nematode Pests |
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179 | (14) |
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180 | (1) |
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9.2 Climate Change and Nematodes |
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181 | (1) |
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181 | (2) |
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9.4 Elevated Temperatures |
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183 | (3) |
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9.4.1 Breakdown of Nematode Resistance |
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184 | (2) |
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9.5 Expansion of Geographical Distribution |
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186 | (2) |
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188 | (1) |
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188 | (1) |
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9.8 Biotechnological Approaches to Nematode Resistance |
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188 | (1) |
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189 | (1) |
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190 | (3) |
10 Impacts on Weeds |
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193 | (14) |
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194 | (1) |
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10.2 Climate Change and Weeds |
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194 | (1) |
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195 | (2) |
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10.3.1 C4 Weeds in C3 Crops |
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196 | (1) |
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10.3.2 C3 Weeds in C4 Crops |
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197 | (1) |
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10.3.3 C3 Weeds in C3 Crops |
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197 | (1) |
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10.3.4 C4 Weeds in C4 Crops |
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197 | (1) |
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10.4 Elevated Temperatures |
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197 | (1) |
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10.5 Expansion of Geographical Distribution |
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198 | (1) |
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10.6 Varying Precipitation Patterns |
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199 | (1) |
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199 | (1) |
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10.8 Extreme Weather Events |
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199 | (1) |
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199 | (1) |
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200 | (1) |
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200 | (3) |
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10.11.1 Selective Allelopathy and Self-Supporting Weed Management |
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200 | (1) |
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10.11.2 Soil Solarization Studies |
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201 | (1) |
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10.11.3 Chemical Weed Control Studies Using Old and New Molecules of Herbicides |
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201 | (1) |
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10.11.4 Integrated Weed Management |
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201 | (1) |
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10.11.5 Conservation Agriculture and Weed Management |
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201 | (1) |
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10.11.6 Remote Sensing and Site-Specific Weed Management |
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201 | (1) |
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201 | (1) |
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10.11.8 Transgenic Herbicide-Tolerant Crops |
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202 | (1) |
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203 | (1) |
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204 | (1) |
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204 | (3) |
11 Impacts on Integrated Pest Management |
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207 | (16) |
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207 | (1) |
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11.1.1 Advantages of Integrated Pest Management (IPM) |
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208 | (1) |
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208 | (1) |
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11.2 Crop Health and Integrated Pest Management |
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208 | (1) |
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11.3 Enhancing the Impact of IPM on Crop Health Management |
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209 | (5) |
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11.3.1 Scientific Solutions |
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209 | (2) |
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11.3.2 Innovations in CHM |
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211 | (3) |
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11.4 Policies Enabling/Inhibiting Crop Health Management |
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214 | (4) |
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11.4.1 The Convention on Biological Diversity: A Significant Obstacle |
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214 | (3) |
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11.4.2 Reformed Knowledge Transfer to Support IPM |
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217 | (1) |
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11.4.3 Incentives to Adopt New CHM Technologies |
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218 | (1) |
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218 | (2) |
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218 | (1) |
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218 | (2) |
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11.6 Collaboration and Partnerships to Improve Crop Health Management |
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220 | (1) |
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221 | (1) |
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221 | (2) |
12 Climate Change Adaptation |
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223 | (50) |
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12.1 Improved Crop Seeds, Livestock, and Fish Cultures |
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225 | (4) |
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225 | (1) |
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225 | (1) |
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225 | (1) |
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12.1.4 Developing Climate-Ready Crops |
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226 | (1) |
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12.1.5 Drought-Tolerant Varieties |
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226 | (1) |
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12.1.6 Promoting Use of Biotechnology |
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226 | (1) |
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227 | (2) |
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229 | (1) |
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12.2 Crop Production Adaptation |
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229 | (10) |
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229 | (1) |
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12.2.2 Cultural Practices |
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230 | (1) |
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12.2.3 Land Management Practices |
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231 | (1) |
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12.2.4 Conservation Tillage |
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231 | (3) |
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12.2.5 Adjusting Cropping Season |
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234 | (1) |
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12.2.6 Efficient Use of Resources |
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234 | (1) |
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12.2.7 Crop Diversification |
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234 | (1) |
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12.2.8 Relocation of Crops in Alternative Areas |
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235 | (1) |
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12.2.9 Integrated Nutrient Management (INM) |
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236 | (2) |
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12.2.10 Biological Nitrogen Fixation |
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238 | (1) |
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12.2.11 Harnessing Indigenous Technical Knowledge of Farmers |
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238 | (1) |
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238 | (1) |
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239 | (11) |
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239 | (3) |
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12.3.2 Rainwater Harvesting |
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242 | (2) |
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12.3.3 Sprinkler Irrigation |
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244 | (2) |
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246 | (2) |
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248 | (1) |
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249 | (1) |
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12.4 Agro-forestry (Adaptation) |
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250 | (3) |
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251 | (2) |
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253 | (1) |
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12.4.3 Integrated Crop-Livestock Systems |
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253 | (1) |
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12.5 Ecological Pest Management |
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253 | (3) |
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253 | (1) |
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254 | (1) |
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254 | (1) |
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254 | (1) |
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255 | (1) |
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255 | (1) |
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255 | (1) |
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12.6 Livestock Adaptation |
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256 | (5) |
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256 | (1) |
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12.6.2 Adaptation Needs: Climate-Resilient Livestock |
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257 | (1) |
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12.6.3 Livestock Disease Management |
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257 | (2) |
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12.6.4 Selective Breeding via Controlled Mating |
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259 | (1) |
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12.6.5 Early Warning Systems and Insurance |
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260 | (1) |
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261 | (1) |
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12.8 Early Warning Systems |
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262 | (1) |
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262 | (1) |
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263 | (1) |
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12.9 Crop Insurance Schemes |
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263 | (1) |
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263 | (1) |
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264 | (1) |
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12.10 Livelihood Diversification |
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264 | (1) |
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264 | (1) |
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264 | (1) |
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12.11 Access to Information |
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265 | (1) |
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265 | (1) |
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265 | (1) |
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265 | (1) |
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265 | (1) |
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266 | (1) |
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266 | (1) |
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266 | (1) |
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266 | (1) |
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12.14 Adaptation Priorities and Opportunities |
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267 | (2) |
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12.14.1 Potential Adaptation Options in Indian Agriculture |
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268 | (1) |
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269 | (1) |
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270 | (3) |
13 Climate Change Mitigation |
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273 | (68) |
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275 | (41) |
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276 | (2) |
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13.1.2 Nutrient Management |
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278 | (6) |
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13.1.3 Tillage/Residue Management |
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284 | (8) |
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292 | (1) |
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13.1.5 Rice Production Technologies |
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293 | (11) |
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304 | (5) |
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13.1.7 Agro-forestry (Mitigation) |
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309 | (3) |
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312 | (1) |
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13.1.9 Restoration of Degraded Lands |
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313 | (1) |
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13.1.10 Organic Agriculture |
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314 | (2) |
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13.2 Livestock Management |
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316 | (8) |
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317 | (2) |
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13.2.2 Genetically Modified Rumen Bacteria |
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319 | (2) |
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13.2.3 Straw Ammonization and Silage |
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321 | (2) |
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13.2.4 Grazing Land Management |
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323 | (1) |
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13.2.5 Longer-Term Management Changes and Animal Breeding |
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324 | (1) |
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324 | (2) |
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13.3.1 Agriculture for Biofuel Production |
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324 | (2) |
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326 | (1) |
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326 | (1) |
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13.4 Mitigation Potential |
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326 | (2) |
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13.4.1 Technical Mitigation Potential |
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326 | (1) |
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13.4.2 Agricultural Mitigation Potential |
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327 | (1) |
|
13.5 Benefits of Mitigation Measures |
|
|
328 | (2) |
|
13.6 Future Prospects and Conclusions |
|
|
330 | (3) |
|
|
330 | (3) |
|
|
333 | (1) |
|
|
333 | (8) |
14 A Road Map Ahead |
|
341 | (12) |
|
|
341 | (3) |
|
|
342 | (1) |
|
14.1.2 Enabling Conditions |
|
|
342 | (1) |
|
14.1.3 Measurement and Performance |
|
|
343 | (1) |
|
14.1.4 Sensitization of Stakeholders About Climate Change and Its Impacts |
|
|
344 | (1) |
|
14.1.5 Farmers' Participatory Research for Enhancing Adaptive Capacity |
|
|
344 | (1) |
|
14.1.6 Promotion of Resource Conservation Technologies |
|
|
344 | (1) |
|
14.2 Priorities for Action |
|
|
344 | (3) |
|
14.2.1 Key Priorities for Action for Policy Makers |
|
|
345 | (2) |
|
14.3 Program of Action (PoA) |
|
|
347 | (4) |
|
14.3.1 Research and Development |
|
|
348 | (1) |
|
14.3.2 Technologies and Practices |
|
|
349 | (1) |
|
|
350 | (1) |
|
|
350 | (1) |
|
|
351 | (1) |
|
|
351 | (2) |
Annexures |
|
353 | (1) |
Annexure I |
|
353 | (1) |
Glossary |
|
353 | (14) |
Annexure II |
|
367 | (1) |
Acronyms |
|
367 | (1) |
Reference |
|
368 | (1) |
Index |
|
369 | |