Introduction |
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xxvii | |
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1 Complex Systems and Man's Desire to Understand and Influence Them |
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1 | (12) |
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4 | (2) |
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1.2 The Limits of Planning Complex Systems |
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6 | (1) |
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1.3 Purposive Planning and Untargeted Evolution |
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6 | (2) |
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1.4 Evidence Supporting the Theory |
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8 | (1) |
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1.5 The Structure of This Work: Theory, Evidence, Conclusion |
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8 | (5) |
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Part I A Theory of Emergent Nested Systems |
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2 Emergent Systems: Nested, Fast, and Slow |
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13 | (16) |
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2.1 What Do We Not Know that We Don't Know? |
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15 | (2) |
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2.2 The Emergence of New Qualities |
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17 | (3) |
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2.3 General Properties of Emergent Systems |
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20 | (5) |
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21 | (1) |
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22 | (1) |
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23 | (1) |
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24 | (1) |
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2.4 Fast and Slow Systems |
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25 | (4) |
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3 Emergent Systems: First Implications |
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29 | (12) |
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3.1 Emergent Nested Systems, Fast and Slow |
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29 | (2) |
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3.2 Objective Novelty in Ontologically Real Systems |
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31 | (3) |
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3.2.1 Subjective Novelty? |
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31 | (1) |
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3.2.2 Ontologically Real Systems |
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32 | (1) |
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3.2.3 Forever Indiscernible Causes? |
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33 | (1) |
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3.3 The Power of the Individual and the Whole |
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34 | (6) |
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3.3.1 The Power of the Individual |
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35 | (1) |
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35 | (1) |
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3.3.3 The Use of Statistical Models |
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36 | (1) |
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3.3.4 The Power of the Whole |
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37 | (1) |
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3.3.5 The Power of Emergence |
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38 | (2) |
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3.4 Emergent, Not Reshuffled |
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40 | (1) |
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41 | (12) |
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43 | (2) |
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4.2 Three Generic Ways to Influence ENS |
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45 | (3) |
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4.2.1 Changing Rules of Inward Influence |
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46 | (1) |
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4.2.2 Changing Activities of Outward Influence |
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46 | (2) |
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4.2.3 Submitting to the Guiding and Selecting Rules |
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48 | (1) |
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4.3 Three Case Studies to Exemplify Influencing ENS |
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48 | (5) |
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Part II Understanding and Influencing Emergent Nested Systems: A Case-Study Approach and Exemplary Cases |
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53 | (16) |
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5.1 Purpose of a Case Study: Understanding the Emergent Nested System for Subsequent, Purposive Activity |
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53 | (1) |
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5.2 Scope of a Case Study: Focusing on the Single Case |
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54 | (3) |
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5.2.1 Unique Situations Are Decisive |
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54 | (1) |
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5.2.2 Studying Single Cases |
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55 | (2) |
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5.3 A Single-Case Approach for ENS |
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57 | (1) |
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5.4 Enclosing Sociocultural Systems |
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58 | (4) |
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5.4.1 Weaknesses of Some Common System Classifications |
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59 | (1) |
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5.4.2 Distinguishing Empirically Evident Superordinate Systems |
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60 | (1) |
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5.4.3 Introducing the E-CEPT Framework of Superordinate Enclosing Systems |
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61 | (1) |
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5.5 Practical Implications for Studying Single ENS |
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62 | (7) |
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5.5.1 Exploratory and Descriptive |
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62 | (1) |
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5.5.2 Bounded by Dealing with Ontologically Real Entities |
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63 | (2) |
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5.5.3 Heuristic, Iterative, and Empirical |
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65 | (1) |
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66 | (1) |
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66 | (1) |
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67 | (1) |
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68 | (1) |
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6 Guiding Rules and Emerging Novelty in the Urban System of Lviv |
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69 | (82) |
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6.1 Aim, Scope, and Location of Case Studies |
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70 | (1) |
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6.2 Four Superordinate Systems |
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71 | (39) |
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6.2.1 Three Superordinate Cultural Systems of Lviv |
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76 | (11) |
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6.2.2 Economic Superordinate System of Lviv |
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87 | (5) |
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6.2.3 Political Superordinate System of Lviv |
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92 | (9) |
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6.2.4 Technical Superordinate Systems of Lviv |
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101 | (9) |
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6.3 Three Cases and Three Ways of Influencing ENS |
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110 | (41) |
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6.3.1 Case Study 1: Built Heritage |
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112 | (12) |
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6.3.2 Ase Study 2: Entrepreneurship |
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124 | (13) |
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6.3.3 Case Study 3: Public Transport |
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137 | (14) |
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Part III Reflections and Outlook |
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7 Purposive Decision-Making and Foresighted Activities |
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151 | (22) |
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7.1 Understanding the Nested System by Objective Frequencies of Change |
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152 | (1) |
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7.2 Being an Engaged Observer and Engaging Reporters of Change |
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153 | (2) |
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7.3 Conceiving a Vision of Change |
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155 | (1) |
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7.4 Choosing Among Means of Influence |
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156 | (12) |
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7.4.1 Working on Guiding Rules |
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156 | (2) |
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7.4.2 Triggering Activities |
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158 | (3) |
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7.4.3 Working Within Given Rules |
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161 | (2) |
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7.4.4 Considering Stabilities |
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163 | (1) |
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7.4.5 Making Productive Use of Instabilities |
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163 | (3) |
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166 | (2) |
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7.5 Applying the Scientific Method to Test Possible Interventions |
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168 | (5) |
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7.5.1 Applying the Scientific Method |
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168 | (1) |
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7.5.2 Using Models for Alpha Tests |
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169 | (1) |
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7.5.3 Engaging Individuals as Beta Testers |
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170 | (3) |
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8 A Second Look at ENS Theory |
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173 | (8) |
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8.1 Key Findings of a Theory of ENS |
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173 | (6) |
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8.1.1 Fast and Slow Systems are Ontologically Real |
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175 | (1) |
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8.1.2 `Emerging' Patterns are not Emergent |
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175 | (1) |
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8.1.3 Purposive Influence is Possible with Inward and Outward Influence in ENS |
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175 | (2) |
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8.1.4 Nestedness Defines the Development of Complex Systems |
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177 | (1) |
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8.1.5 Influencing Complex Systems Means to Influence the Nesting Processes |
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178 | (1) |
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179 | (2) |
Postlogue |
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181 | (2) |
Glossary |
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183 | (6) |
Bibliography |
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189 | (8) |
Index |
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197 | |