Foreword |
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ix | |
Preface |
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x | |
Task 8 Participants |
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xi | |
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xii | |
About the Editors |
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xiii | |
Acknowledgements |
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xiv | |
Executive summary |
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1 | (24) |
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A.1 Introduction and overview: Potential of VLS-PV |
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1 | (5) |
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1 | (1) |
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Proposed scenarios for solar and renewable energy |
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2 | (1) |
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Global potential of solar energy resource |
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3 | (1) |
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PV market potential for 2020 |
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4 | (1) |
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Trends in large-scale PV systems |
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4 | (1) |
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Comprehensive comparison between solar-powered VLS technologies |
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5 | (1) |
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Environmental aspects of VLS-PV |
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6 | (1) |
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A.2 Engineering and financial guidelines for VLS-PV systems |
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6 | (2) |
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Technical and engineering guidelines |
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6 | |
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1 | (7) |
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A.3 VLS-PV technical options and applications |
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8 | (3) |
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8 | (1) |
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VLS-PV intermittence and stationary storage |
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9 | (1) |
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10 | (1) |
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11 | (3) |
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11 | (2) |
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13 | (1) |
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A.5 Possible scenario and strategy for VLS-PV |
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14 | (5) |
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Expected roles of international cooperation |
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14 | (1) |
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Possible contribution of VLS-PV to sustainability |
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14 | (2) |
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Strategies for solar power plants in desert regions |
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16 | (1) |
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Strategic Niche Management (SNM) |
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17 | (1) |
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New studies of business models |
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18 | (1) |
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19 | (6) |
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19 | (1) |
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Projection for the future |
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19 | (1) |
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Socio-economic and environmental benefits |
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20 | (1) |
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Engineering and financing approach |
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20 | (1) |
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20 | (1) |
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International collaboration |
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21 | (1) |
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Strategic niche management, social acceptance, and business models |
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21 | (1) |
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Next step and strategy of Task8 activity |
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21 | (4) |
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PART I INTRODUCTION AND OVERVIEW POTENTIAL OF VLS-PV |
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25 | (82) |
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27 | (5) |
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27 | (1) |
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1.2 Concept of a VLS-PV system |
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28 | (2) |
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1.2.1 Concept and definition |
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28 | (1) |
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1.2.2 A synthesized scenario for network evolution |
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28 | (1) |
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1.2.3 A step-by-step approach for VLS-PV development |
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29 | (1) |
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1.3 Potential benefits of VLS-PV |
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30 | (2) |
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2 PV and other renewable energy issues |
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32 | (14) |
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2.1 Proposed scenarios and visions |
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32 | (5) |
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2.1.1 Review of latest global energy scenarios and visions |
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32 | (3) |
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2.1.2 Comparison of PV power generation among scenarios |
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35 | (1) |
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2.1.3 Historical changes in energy policies/scenarios and the role of PV |
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36 | (1) |
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2.1.4 National and regional targets of renewable energy and PV in power supply |
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36 | (1) |
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2.1.5 Summary and conclusion |
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36 | (1) |
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2.2 Proposed schemes and concepts |
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37 | (9) |
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2.2.1 Desertec Industrial Initiative |
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37 | (3) |
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2.2.2 Mediterranean Solar Plan and relative initiatives for renewable energy in the Mediterranean |
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40 | (2) |
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2.2.3 Asia Solar Energy Initiative |
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42 | (4) |
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3 Global potential of solar energy |
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46 | (20) |
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46 | (5) |
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3.1.1 Global horizontal irradiation as basis for all solar resources |
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46 | (1) |
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3.1.2 Overview of solar system concepts |
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46 | (1) |
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3.1.3 Fixed optimally tilted systems |
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47 | (1) |
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3.1.4 1-axis horizontal north-south continuous tracking system |
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48 | (1) |
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3.1.5 2-axes non-concentrating continuous tracking system: global normal irradiation |
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49 | (1) |
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3.1.6 2-axes concentrating continuous tracking system: direct normal irradiation |
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50 | (1) |
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3.2 Economic market potential of solar PV |
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51 | (15) |
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3.2.1 Overview of PV scenarios |
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51 | (2) |
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3.2.2 Major PV diffusion phases - consequence of high growth rates and learning rates |
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53 | (2) |
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3.2.3 Grid-parity of PV systems |
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55 | (2) |
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3.2.4 Fuel-parity of PV power plants |
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57 | (3) |
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3.2.5 Rural off-grid market potential of PV systems |
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60 | (1) |
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3.2.6 Total sustainable economic PV market potential |
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61 | (1) |
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3.2.1 Discussion of the economic PV market potential and expectations by PV scenarios |
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62 | (4) |
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4 Overview of large-scale solar power generation |
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66 | (22) |
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4.1 Current status of large-scale solar power generation |
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66 | (13) |
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4.1.1 Trends in large-scale PV systems |
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66 | (5) |
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4.1.2 Current status of concentrator photovoltaic (CPV) |
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71 | (3) |
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4.1.3 Current status of concentrated solar power (CSP) |
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74 | (5) |
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4.2 A comprehensive comparison between solar-powered VLS renewable energy technologies |
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79 | (9) |
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79 | (1) |
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79 | (2) |
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81 | (2) |
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83 | (1) |
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83 | (3) |
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86 | (2) |
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5 Environmental aspects of VLS-PV |
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88 | (19) |
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88 | (1) |
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88 | (1) |
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89 | (1) |
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5.3 A Scheme of VLS-PVs LCA |
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90 | (5) |
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5.3.2 LCA guidelines for PV systems |
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91 | (1) |
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5.3.3 Collection of LCA data |
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92 | (1) |
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5.3.4 LCA calculations from example papers |
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92 | (3) |
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5.4 Life-cycle analysis of various kinds of VLS-PV systems for the desert |
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95 | (5) |
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95 | (1) |
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5.4.2 Results and sensitivity analysis |
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96 | (4) |
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100 | (1) |
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5.5 Ecological footprint of the PV system with agriculture |
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100 | (4) |
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100 | (1) |
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101 | (1) |
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5.5.3 Case study 1: PV and greening |
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102 | (1) |
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5.5.4 Case study 2: PV and sustainable agriculture |
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103 | (1) |
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104 | (1) |
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104 | (3) |
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PART II ENGINEERING AND FINANCIAL GUIDELINES FOR VLS-PV SYSTEMS |
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107 | (34) |
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6 Technical engineering guidelines for VLS-PV |
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109 | (24) |
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109 | (1) |
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6.2 Transition of utility power supply to sustainable solutions |
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109 | (1) |
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6.3 Cost of VLS-PV electricity |
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110 | (1) |
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6.4 Convincing advantages of VLS-PV |
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110 | (1) |
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111 | (1) |
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6.5.1 Project development and evaluation of integration |
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111 | (1) |
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6.5.2 Possible follow-up procedure in direction of implementation |
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111 | (1) |
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6.6 Overall design approach |
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112 | (1) |
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112 | (1) |
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112 | (3) |
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6.8.1 Quality assurance strategy and planning |
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112 | (1) |
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113 | (1) |
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6.8.3 Technical feasibility of grid-integration |
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114 | (1) |
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6.9 Final design and planning |
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115 | (4) |
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6.9.1 Engineering know-how |
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115 | (1) |
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6.9.2 Expectations of investors |
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115 | (1) |
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6.9.3 System architecture of a VLS-PV |
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115 | (3) |
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118 | (1) |
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119 | (1) |
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6.9.6 Auxiliary service power demand |
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119 | (1) |
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6.10 Selection of key components |
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119 | (2) |
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6.10.1 Key mechanical components |
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119 | (2) |
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121 | (1) |
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6.12 Key electrical and electronic components |
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121 | (1) |
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122 | (3) |
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6.13.1 Technology overview |
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122 | (1) |
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6.13.2 Crystalline or wafer-based technology (c-Si) |
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122 | (1) |
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6.13.3 Thin film technologies |
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123 | (1) |
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124 | (1) |
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6.13.5 Valid international PV module standards |
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124 | (1) |
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6.13.6 Warranties and guaranties |
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124 | (1) |
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125 | (1) |
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6.15 Field connection boxes |
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126 | (1) |
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6.16 Monitoring system and performance ratio |
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127 | (2) |
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127 | (1) |
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6.16.2 Classification of failure modes |
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128 | (1) |
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128 | (1) |
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6.17 Meteorological station |
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129 | (1) |
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6.18 DC losses and DC/AC cabling |
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129 | (1) |
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129 | (1) |
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129 | (1) |
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130 | (1) |
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6.20 Yield assessment study / report |
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130 | (1) |
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130 | (1) |
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6.22 Technical documentation and design-related standards |
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131 | (1) |
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6.22.1 Technical documentation |
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131 | (1) |
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6.22.2 Design-related specific standards |
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131 | (1) |
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6.23 End of technical lifetime |
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131 | (1) |
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132 | (1) |
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7 Financial guidelines for VLS-PV |
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133 | (8) |
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133 | (1) |
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7.2 Elaboration of the project |
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133 | (1) |
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7.3 Assessment of the legal and tax environment |
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134 | (3) |
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7.3.1 The legal and tax study |
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134 | (1) |
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7.3.2 Two main project structures: BOOT us public transaction |
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135 | (1) |
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7.3.3 The guarantee package |
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136 | (1) |
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7.4 Elaboration of the development budget |
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137 | (1) |
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7.5 Identification of the financial partners |
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137 | (1) |
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7.5.1 Role of the financial partners |
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137 | (1) |
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7.5.2 Choosing the lead investor |
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137 | (1) |
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7.5.3 Selecting the banks |
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137 | (1) |
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7.6 Calculation of the sale electricity price and electricity cost of production |
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138 | (1) |
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138 | (1) |
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138 | (1) |
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7.6.3 How to reconcile the cost and value approaches |
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139 | (1) |
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7.7 Conclusion: The long way to reach the financial closing |
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139 | (2) |
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PART III VLS-PV TECHNICAL OPTIONS AND APPLICATIONS |
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141 | (34) |
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143 | (7) |
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143 | (1) |
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8.2 The Israel electricity grid in 2006 |
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144 | (1) |
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144 | (1) |
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8.4 A no-dump VLS-PV plant |
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144 | (1) |
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144 | (1) |
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8.6 Variations in technology type |
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145 | (1) |
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8.7 Geographical distribution |
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145 | (2) |
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8.8 Combining VLS-PV with WECS |
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147 | (1) |
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147 | (2) |
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149 | (1) |
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9 VLS-PV intermittence and stationary storage for VLS-PV |
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150 | (11) |
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9.1 VLS-PV systems power output intermittence and prediction |
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150 | (3) |
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150 | (1) |
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150 | (1) |
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9.1.3 Forecasting and nowcasting |
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151 | (2) |
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153 | (1) |
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153 | (8) |
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153 | (1) |
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9.2.2 Brief storage overview |
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154 | (2) |
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9.2.3 Cost comparison between RFB, NaS, Li-ion and VRLA |
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156 | (2) |
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9.2.4 Storage for VLS-PV systems |
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158 | (3) |
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10 PV and wind-based renewable power methane |
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161 | (14) |
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10.1 Renewable power methane storage |
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161 | (2) |
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10.2 Solar and wind resource availability |
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163 | (1) |
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10.3 Economics of system components |
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164 | (3) |
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10.4 Hybrid PV-wind-RPM power plant economics |
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167 | (2) |
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10.5 Global power supply potential |
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169 | (6) |
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172 | (3) |
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PART IV VLS-PV CASE STUDIES |
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175 | (14) |
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177 | (12) |
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11.1 VLS-PV in West Africa: a possible roadmap |
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177 | (6) |
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177 | (1) |
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11.1.2 The energy situation in West Africa |
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177 | (2) |
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11.1.3 The use of photovoltaic in West Africa |
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179 | (1) |
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11.1.4 Implementation strategy |
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180 | (1) |
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181 | (2) |
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11.2 VLS-PV for Israel: a microcosm of a solution for a global problem |
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183 | (6) |
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183 | (1) |
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11.2.2 An economic barrier |
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184 | (1) |
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11.2.3 The public good vs. investment |
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185 | (1) |
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11.2.4 An electricity consumption tax (ECT) |
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185 | (1) |
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185 | (1) |
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11.2.6 Applicability elsewhere |
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186 | (1) |
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187 | (2) |
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PART V POSSIBLE SCENARIO AND STRATEGY FOR VLS-PV |
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189 | (30) |
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12 Expected role of international cooperation |
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191 | (9) |
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191 | (1) |
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12.2 Way forward to large scale PV deployment worldwide |
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191 | (2) |
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12.3 Possible actions in Asian countries - the call for international collaboration |
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193 | (3) |
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12.3.1 Asian Development Bank launches the Asia Solar Energy Initiative |
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193 | (1) |
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12.3.2 Solar mission in India |
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194 | (1) |
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12.3.3 China moving forward to develop PV at a large scale |
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194 | (1) |
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12.3.4 Call for a 1 GW photovoltaic project in Gobi desert of Mongolia |
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195 | (1) |
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12.4 Expected role of IRENA in promoting i nternational cooperation |
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196 | (2) |
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198 | (2) |
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13 Possible contribution of VLS-PV to sustainability |
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200 | (9) |
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200 | (1) |
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13.2 Methodology and base scenario analysis |
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200 | (5) |
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200 | (1) |
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200 | (1) |
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13.2.3 Energy supply module |
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200 | (1) |
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13.2.4 Food production and consumption |
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201 | (1) |
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13.2.5 Water consumption module |
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202 | (1) |
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203 | (1) |
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13.2.7 Greenhouse gas emissions |
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204 | (1) |
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205 | (2) |
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13.3.1 Countermeasures scenarios |
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205 | (1) |
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13.3.2 SC-1 and SC-2 scenarios in comparison with base scenario |
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205 | (1) |
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13.3.3 Base scenario versus SC-3 scenario |
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206 | (1) |
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13.4 Impacts of driving forces on the analysis |
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207 | (1) |
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207 | (2) |
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14 Implementation strategies for solar power plants in desert regions: strategic niche management, social acceptance, and business models |
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209 | (10) |
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209 | (1) |
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14.2 Basics of strategic niche management |
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210 | (2) |
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14.3 Niche dynamics and lessons |
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212 | (3) |
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212 | (1) |
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213 | (2) |
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14.4 An SNM practitioner tool: ESTEEM |
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215 | (1) |
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14.5 New studies of business models |
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215 | (2) |
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217 | (2) |
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219 | |
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15 Conclusions and recommendations |
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221 | |
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221 | (2) |
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15.2 Next step and strategy of Task8 activity |
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223 | |