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Risk in Extreme Environments: Preparing, Avoiding, Mitigating, and Managing [Kõva köide]

  • Formaat: Hardback, 192 pages, kõrgus x laius: 246x174 mm, kaal: 521 g, 4 Tables, black and white; 18 Line drawings, black and white
  • Ilmumisaeg: 27-Oct-2017
  • Kirjastus: Routledge
  • ISBN-10: 1472439902
  • ISBN-13: 9781472439901
Teised raamatud teemal:
  • Formaat: Hardback, 192 pages, kõrgus x laius: 246x174 mm, kaal: 521 g, 4 Tables, black and white; 18 Line drawings, black and white
  • Ilmumisaeg: 27-Oct-2017
  • Kirjastus: Routledge
  • ISBN-10: 1472439902
  • ISBN-13: 9781472439901
Teised raamatud teemal:
Risk in Extreme Environments presents a wide-ranging discussion of approaches for assessing and managing extreme risks. Extreme events are not only severe, but also outside the normal range of experience of the system in question, and can include environmental catastrophe; engineering failure; financial or business meltdown; and nuclear or other extreme terrorism. The book focuses on synthesizing research results in a way that provides insights useful to decision makers, and enables them to ask probing questions about the risks faced by their organizations, identify creative solutions, and minimize the neglect of extreme risks that can come from a focus on mundane or ordinary management challenges.The book details case studies on nuclear power, infectious diseases, and global catastrophic risks, in addition to sections on risk assessment, risk management, and risk perceptions. Since effective management benefits from an interdisciplinary perspective, the chapter authors include experts in economics, engineering, geography, law, political science, psychology, sociology, and science in addition to risk analysis.Risk in Extreme Environments is an accessible and valuable resource for risk managers and other decision makers responsible for large complex business and government decisions, while also providing enough detail and references to be informative for risk analysts interested in learning more about technical aspects of the various methods.

Arvustused

Risk, extremes, and the steps toward synthesizing and managing them are fundamental challenges that society faces. This book captures these important themes comprehensively, effectively framing them for decision-makers. Bier draws upon her longstanding reputation in these fields and has assembled an exemplary set of international experts from multiple sectors and disciplines to address these critical areas. Together these contributions act as a foundation for advancing risk-based dimensions of decision-making that uniquely draw together diverse perspectives. The triangular relationships among science, organizations and public perceptions are evident in this work. Extending beyond theory, these elements are applied to a rich and enduring set of cases of extremes that reflect the range of decisions that risk managers face. - Rae Zimmerman, Ph.D, Professor of Planning and Public Administration, New York University Wagner Graduate School of Public Service

List of illustrations
vii
About the editor viii
Notes on contributors ix
Introduction 1(6)
Vicki Bier
PART 1 Assessing the risks of extreme events
7(42)
1 Probabilistic risk analysis
9(24)
Louis Anthony Cox Jr.
Vicki Bier
2 The meaning of black swans
33(16)
Terje Aven
PART 2 Managing the risks of extreme events
49(60)
3 "As if their lives depended on it": high performance in extreme environments
51(14)
Ron Westrum
4 Decision making on trial: the extreme situation at Fukushima Dai Ichi
65(16)
Sebastien Travadel
Christophe Martin
Franck Guarnieri
5 Prevention versus response: application in the management of disease
81(11)
Amy Hagerman
Bruce McCarl
Aklesso Egbendewe-Mondzozo
Levan Elbakidze
6 The feasibility and value of adaptive strategies for extreme risks
92(17)
Robert Goble
PART 3 Perceptions of extreme risks
109(36)
7 It won't happen to me: the behavioral impact of extreme risks
111(18)
Eyal Ert
Ido Erev
8 Social amplification of risk and extreme events
129(16)
Roger E. Kasperson
PART 4 Case studies of extreme risks
145(40)
9 Safety and severe accidents in nuclear reactors
147(15)
Michael Corradini
Vicki Bier
10 Mitigating extreme infectious disease disaster risk
162(12)
Terrence M. O'Sullivan
11 Global catastrophes: the most extreme risks
174(11)
Seth D. Baum
Anthony M. Barrett
Index 185
Dr. Bier is a Professor in the Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. She has written a number of papers on extreme risk, and is a coauthor or editor of four books in addition to this one.