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E-book: Asymmetric Demography and the Global Economy: Growth Opportunities and Macroeconomic Challenges in an Ageing World

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  • Format: PDF+DRM
  • Pub. Date: 05-Mar-2015
  • Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
  • Language: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781137481436
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  • This ebook is for personal use only. E-Books are non-refundable.
  • Format: PDF+DRM
  • Pub. Date: 05-Mar-2015
  • Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
  • Language: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781137481436

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The global demographic transition presents marked asymmetries as poor, emerging, and advanced countries are undergoing different stages of transition. Emerging countries are demographically younger than advanced economies. This youth is favorable to growth and generates a demographic dividend. However, the future of emerging economies will bring a decline in the working-age share and a rise in the older population, as is the case in todays developed world. Hence, developing countries must get rich before getting old, while advanced economies must try not to become poorer as they age.Asymmetric Demography and the Global Economy contributes to our understanding of why this demographic transition matters to the domestic macroeconomics and global capital movements affect the asset accumulation, growth potential, current account, and the economys international investment position. This collaborative collection approaches these questions from the perspective of systemically important emerging countries – i.e., members of the G20 – but considers both the national and the global sides of the problem.
List of Figures
ix
List of Tables
xiii
Acknowledgments xv
Introduction: The Project, the Results, and Policy Implications 1(20)
Jose Maria Fanelli
Part I The Demographic Transition and the Macroeconomy: Setting the Stage
1 Demographic Asymmetries and the Global Macroeconomy
21(32)
Jose Maria Fanelli
Ramiro Albrieu
2 Demography and the Macroeconomy: A Methodological Framework
53(32)
Jose Maria Fanelli
Part II Demographic Asymmetries and the Global System
3 On the Macroeconomic and Financial Implications of the Demographic Transition
85(22)
Jose Maria Fanelli
Ramiro Albrieu
4 Demography, Economic Growth, and Capital Flows
107(20)
Richard N. Cooper
5 Emerging Economies and the Reform of the Global Monetary System
127(24)
Jose Antonio Ocampo
Part III On Challenges and Opportunities for Emerging Economies
6 Macroeconomic Effects of the Demographic Transition in Brazil
151(36)
Ricardo D. Brito
Carlos Carvalho
7 China's Premature Demographic Transition in Government-Engineered Growth: Macroeconomic Insights and Policy Implications
187(26)
Harry X. Wu
Yang Du
Fang Cai
8 A Study of Demographic and Financial Changes in India
213(30)
Pranab Kumar Das
Saibal Kar
9 Demographic Transition, Growth, and Wealth in South Africa
243(26)
Melvin D. Ayogu
Olumide Taiwo
Bibliography 269(16)
List of Contributors 285(2)
Index 287
Ramiro Albrieu, University of Buenos Aires, Argentina Melvin Ayogu, Mapungubwe Institute for Strategic Reflection, South Africa Ricardo D. Brito, INSPER Institute of Education and Research, Brazil Richard N. Cooper, Harvard University, USA Pranab Kumar Das, Centre for Studies in Social Sciences, Calcutta, India Cai Fang, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Saibal Kar, Centre for Studies in Social Sciences, Calcutta, India José Antonio Ocampo, Columbia University, USA Olumide Taiwo, Centre for the Study of the Economies of Africa, Nigeria Carlos Viana de Varvalho, Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Harry X. Wu, Hitotsubashi University, Japan Du Yang, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences