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E-raamat: 2016 Presidential Election: The Causes and Consequences of a Political Earthquake

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The 2016 Presidential Election: The Causes and Consequences of a Political Earthquake critically analyzes the 2016 presidential election. The chapters in this book identify key factors behind the election of Donald J. Trump, explore the unconventional campaign, analyze the unexpected election result, evaluate the forecasting models, and speculate on the effect of the election outcome on politics and governance in the Trump Administration.

Arvustused

This collection of essays will add greatly to students' understanding of why so many of us failed to predict the results of the 2016 election. -- L. Sandy Maisel, Colby College We are now in the early stages of trying to understand the presidency of Donald Trump: what his appeal was, what he represents, how effective he will be, and what impact he may have.  The papers in this book do an excellent job in addressing these various questions.  The authors draw upon a wide range of information, present their arguments in accessible ways, and provide valuable insights about the significance of Donald Trump. -- Jeffrey Stonecash, Syracuse University The successful 2016 presidential campaign of Donald J. Trump seemingly broke every rule of presidential elections. For that reason alone, the need for explanation and analysis is even greater than for past elections. As the authors show in this thorough and informative treatment, however, much of the instant post-election analysis was misguided, such as the assertion that the polls got it wrong. These well written and insightful chapters marshal sensible data analysis and careful observation to illuminate this remarkable election cycle. -- Robert J. Spitzer, Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science, SUNY Cortland, Author, Guns across America

List of Figures
vii
List of Tables
xi
Introduction xiii
SECTION I CAMPAIGN
1 Donald Trump and the "Other": How an Unconventional Campaign Defeated the State of the Art Establishment
3(20)
Mark D. Brewer
Richard J. Powell
2 Populist Challenges and the 2016 Presidential Nominations
23(20)
Wayne Steger
3 The 2016 US Televised Presidential Debates: Perceptions of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton Based on Presentation Style
43(16)
Robert H. Wicks
Austin D. Eubanks
Reagan G. Dye
Patrick A. Stewart
Scott Eidelman
4 Damage Control: The Trump Effect on Senate General Election Campaigns
59(18)
Robert G. Boatright
5 From Bipartisan Agreement to Electoral Contest: Israel in US Elections
77(22)
Amnon Cavari
Guy Freedman
SECTION II FORECASTS AND VOTING PREFERENCES
6 Hostile Sexism, Racism Denial, and the Historic Education Gap in Support for Trump
99(18)
Brian F. Schaffner
Matthew MacWilliams
Tatishe Nteta
7 Dynamics of (National) Electoral Preferences during the 2016 US Presidential Race
117(20)
Christopher Wlezien
George Elliott Morris
8 Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts
137(24)
Andreas Graefe
J. Scott Armstrong
Randall J. Jones, Jr.
Alfred G. Cuzan
SECTION III ELECTION OUTCOME
9 The 2016-2017 Transition into the Donald J. Trump Administration
161(24)
James D. King
James W. Riddlesperger, Jr.
10 Is President Trump Conventionally Disruptive, or Unconventionally Destructive?
185(14)
Kenneth R. Mayer
11 How Radical is Actually Radical Leadership? Comparing Trump and Netanyahu's Rhetoric
199(20)
Ronit Berger
Dana Wolf
Michel Wyss
12 Constitutional Revolution: The Election of 2016 and the Future of the Supreme Court
219(18)
Howard Schweber
Index 237(14)
About the Contributors 251
Amnon Cavari is assistant professor at Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy at Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya.

Kenneth R. Mayer is professor of political science at University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Richard J. Powell is professor of political science at the University of Maine.