List of figures |
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xiii | |
List of tables |
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xvi | |
Preface |
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xvii | |
Part I: Ideas and structures of the book |
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1 | (28) |
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1 Economics in an interdisciplinary context |
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3 | (8) |
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1.1 The interdisciplinary framework |
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5 | (1) |
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1.2 Organization of the book |
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6 | (5) |
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2 Agent-based modeling in the social sciences |
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11 | (18) |
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11 | (4) |
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15 | (3) |
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2.3 Agent-based modeling in different disciplines |
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18 | (6) |
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2.4 The ten that make it new |
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24 | (5) |
Part II: Origins of ACE |
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29 | (116) |
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31 | (57) |
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3.1 Agent-based modeling of the tatonnement process |
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34 | (4) |
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3.2 Agent-based modeling of the non-tatonnement process |
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38 | (22) |
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60 | (11) |
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71 | (12) |
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3.5 Interacting heterogeneous agents |
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83 | (5) |
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88 | (25) |
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89 | (3) |
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92 | (2) |
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4.3 Elementary cellular automata |
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94 | (5) |
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4.4 Opinion dynamics and market sentiment |
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99 | (9) |
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4.5 Other physics-oriented agent-based models |
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108 | (1) |
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109 | (4) |
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5 Economic tournament origin |
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113 | (8) |
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5.1 Novelty-discovering agents |
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113 | (1) |
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5.2 Tournament-based economic analysis |
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114 | (2) |
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5.3 Automated open tournaments |
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116 | (3) |
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119 | (2) |
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6 Agent-based modeling of economic experiments |
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121 | (24) |
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6.1 Agent-based modeling of cobweb experiments |
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122 | (6) |
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6.2 Agent-based modeling of inflation experiments |
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128 | (8) |
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6.3 Agent-based modeling of foreign exchange experiments |
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136 | (6) |
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142 | (3) |
Part III: Designing artificial economic agents |
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145 | (48) |
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7 Calibrated artificial agents |
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147 | (9) |
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147 | (2) |
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7.2 N-armed bandit problem |
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149 | (1) |
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7.3 Reinforcement learning: Arthur's version |
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149 | (2) |
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7.4 Early experiments on learning and choice-making |
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151 | (4) |
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155 | (1) |
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8 Zero-intelligence agents in the DA markets |
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156 | (9) |
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8.1 Principles beyond calibration |
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156 | (1) |
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8.2 Double auction markets and experiments |
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157 | (1) |
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157 | (2) |
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8.4 Near zero-intelligence agents |
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159 | (1) |
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8.5 Simplicity, intelligence, and randomness |
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160 | (3) |
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163 | (2) |
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9 Autonomous agents in the DA markets |
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165 | (28) |
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9.1 Programmed agents and autonomous agents |
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165 | (2) |
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9.2 Santa Fe double auction markets |
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167 | (9) |
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176 | (4) |
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180 | (6) |
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186 | (1) |
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186 | (5) |
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191 | (2) |
Part IV: Computational intelligence |
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193 | (58) |
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10 Reinforcement learning |
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195 | (12) |
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10.1 The three-parameter Roth-Ever model |
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196 | (2) |
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10.2 Generalized reinforcement learning |
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198 | (4) |
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10.3 Level-k reasoning and sophisticated EWA |
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202 | (3) |
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10.4 Regime-switching agents |
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205 | (2) |
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11 Fuzzy logic and rough sets |
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207 | (4) |
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207 | (2) |
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209 | (2) |
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12 Artificial neural networks |
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211 | (26) |
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12.1 Multilayer perceptron neural networks |
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211 | (2) |
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12.2 Radial basis network |
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213 | (1) |
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12.3 Recurrent neural networks |
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214 | (2) |
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12.4 Auto-associative neural networks |
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216 | (3) |
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12.5 Support vector machines |
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219 | (2) |
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12.6 Self-organizing maps and k-means |
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221 | (3) |
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224 | (1) |
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12.8 Instance-based learning |
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225 | (2) |
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12.9 Finite state automata |
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227 | (4) |
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231 | (2) |
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233 | (4) |
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13 Evolutionary computation |
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237 | (14) |
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13.1 Tools for evolutionary economics |
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237 | (2) |
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13.2 Evolutionary strategies |
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239 | (2) |
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13.3 Evolutionary programming |
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241 | (1) |
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13.4 Genetic programming and genetic algorithms |
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242 | (9) |
Part V: Agent-based financial markets |
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251 | (64) |
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14 Artificial financial markets with programmed agents |
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253 | (22) |
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254 | (4) |
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258 | (2) |
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260 | (1) |
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14.4 A mesoscopic approach to complex dynamics |
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261 | (5) |
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14.5 Market fraction hypothesis |
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266 | (9) |
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15 Artificial financial markets with autonomous agents |
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275 | (10) |
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275 | (2) |
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277 | (1) |
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15.3 Genetic programming and autonomous agents |
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277 | (1) |
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15.4 Artificial stock markets |
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278 | (7) |
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16 Empirically based agent-based models |
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285 | (30) |
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16.1 Financial stylized facts |
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285 | (7) |
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16.2 Presenting agent-based economics with econometrics |
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292 | (5) |
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16.3 Building ACE with econometrics |
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297 | (1) |
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297 | (4) |
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301 | (5) |
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16.6 Forecasts with agent-based financial models |
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306 | (1) |
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16.7 ACE as a foundation of econometrics |
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307 | (4) |
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311 | (4) |
Part VI: Cognitive and psychological agent-based modeling |
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315 | (60) |
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17 Economic significance of personal traits |
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317 | (16) |
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17.1 Intelligence, income, and prosperity |
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317 | (1) |
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17.2 Intelligence in experimental economics |
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317 | (4) |
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17.3 Intelligence and risk preference |
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321 | (1) |
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17.4 Intelligence and time preference |
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322 | (1) |
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17.5 Personality and earning capacity |
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323 | (1) |
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17.6 Personality in experimental economics |
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323 | (2) |
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17.7 Culture in experimental economics |
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325 | (8) |
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333 | (12) |
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18.1 Neuroeconomics: an ACE viewpoint |
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333 | (1) |
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334 | (3) |
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337 | (2) |
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339 | (2) |
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341 | (1) |
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18.6 Software agents with neurocognitive dual system |
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342 | (1) |
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18.7 Agent-based or brain-based? |
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343 | (2) |
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345 | (14) |
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19.1 Introduction: heterogeneity and hierarchy |
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345 | (2) |
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347 | (4) |
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351 | (6) |
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357 | (1) |
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357 | (2) |
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20 Culturally sensitive agents |
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359 | (4) |
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20.1 Evolutionary models of cultures |
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360 | (1) |
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20.2 Culturally based behavioral rules |
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360 | (1) |
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20.3 Culturally based preference |
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361 | (2) |
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21 Agent-based lottery market |
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363 | (12) |
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21.1 Behavioral institutional economics |
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363 | (1) |
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21.2 Lottery market designs |
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364 | (5) |
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369 | (2) |
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371 | (1) |
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21.5 Agent-based modeling and policy design |
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372 | (1) |
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373 | (2) |
Part VII: Networks |
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375 | (22) |
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22 Graphs and social networks |
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377 | (20) |
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378 | (2) |
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22.2 Origin in mathematics: graphs |
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380 | (1) |
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22.3 Network formation: sociophysical models |
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380 | (6) |
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22.4 Networks in economics |
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386 | (2) |
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22.5 Network formation: agent-based models |
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388 | (6) |
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394 | (3) |
Part VIII: Economics of changes |
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397 | (54) |
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23 Agent-based modular economy |
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401 | (38) |
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23.1 Twin assumptions of the modular economy |
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402 | (8) |
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23.2 Preference and utility function |
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410 | (8) |
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418 | (5) |
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423 | (4) |
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23.5 ModularEcon: a demonstration |
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427 | (3) |
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430 | (5) |
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23.7 Further explorations |
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435 | (4) |
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439 | (12) |
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440 | (6) |
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24.2 The Chomsky hierarchy |
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446 | (4) |
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450 | (1) |
Bibliography |
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451 | (49) |
Index |
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500 | |