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E-raamat: Antarctic Sea Ice Variability in the Southern Ocean-Climate System: Proceedings of a Workshop

  • Formaat: 82 pages
  • Ilmumisaeg: 24-Mar-2017
  • Kirjastus: National Academies Press
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780309456036
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  • Formaat: 82 pages
  • Ilmumisaeg: 24-Mar-2017
  • Kirjastus: National Academies Press
  • Keel: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780309456036
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The sea ice surrounding Antarctica has increased in extent and concentration from the late 1970s, when satellite-based measurements began, until 2015. Although this increasing trend is modest, it is surprising given the overall warming of the global climate and the region. Indeed, climate models, which incorporate our best understanding of the processes affecting the region, generally simulate a decrease in sea ice. Moreover, sea ice in the Arctic has exhibited pronounced declines over the same period, consistent with global climate model simulations. For these reasons, the behavior of Antarctic sea ice has presented a conundrum for global climate change science.





The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine held a workshop in January 2016, to bring together scientists with different sets of expertise and perspectives to further explore potential mechanisms driving the evolution of recent Antarctic sea ice variability and to discuss ways to advance understanding of Antarctic sea ice and its relationship to the broader ocean-climate system. This publication summarizes the presentations and discussions from the workshop.

Table of Contents



Front Matter Antarctic Sea Ice Variability in the Southern Ocean-Climate System: Proceedings of a Workshop References Appendix A: Statement of Task Appendix B: Definitions of Key Terms Appendix C: Acronyms and Abbreviations Appendix D: Workshop Agenda and Participants Appendix E: Invited Speaker Abstracts Appendix F: Biographical Sketches of Planning Committee Members
Overview 1(2)
Introduction 3(2)
Observational Record of Antarctic Sea Ice Variability
5(9)
Background
5(2)
The Satellite Record
7(3)
In Situ Observations
10(2)
Proxy Observations
12(2)
Reanalysis
14(1)
Regional and Seasonal Variability in Antarctic Sea Ice
14(4)
Using Climate Models to Interpret and Extend the Observational Record
18(5)
Reconciling Models and Observations
18(4)
Separating Internal Variability from Anthropogenic Forcing
22(1)
Projecting Future Antarctic Sea Ice Conditions
23(1)
Proposed Mechanisms Driving Observed Variability in Antarctic Sea Ice
23(8)
Feedbacks and Linkages Between Atmospheric Warming and Local Hydrology, Sea Ice Formation, and Ocean Circulation
24(3)
Variability in Regional and Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation and Surface Wind Patterns
27(1)
Influence of Stratospheric Ozone Depletion
28(1)
Connections Between Tropical Ocean Variability and Antarctic Sea Ice
29(2)
Mechanisms in the Context of Regional Variability
31(1)
Future Needs and Opportunities
31(6)
Observations
31(3)
Models
34(1)
Process-Based Understanding
34(1)
Communicating to the Public
35(2)
References
37(8)
Appendixes
A Statement of Task
45(2)
B Definitions of Key Terms
47(4)
C Acronyms and Abbreviations
51(2)
D Workshop Agenda and Participants
53(8)
E Invited Speaker Abstracts
61(8)
F Biographical Sketches of Planning Committee Members
69