This book delivers a wealth of information on changes in flood risk in Europe, and considers causes for change. The temporal coverage is mostly focused on post-1900 events, reflecting the typical availability of data, but some information on earlier flood events is also included.
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The book provides challenging data for an audience whose interest is in controlling water and perhaps, especially, for those involved with the Building Working Engineering with Nature movements.
The stated aim of the book is to make as much national information as possible available to a broad, international readership so that comparisons, syntheses and knowledge exchange can lead to a better understanding of what future flood risks may be and how we can best prepare for them.
Terra et Aqua, Number 128, September 2012, p30
1 Introduction/Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz -- 1.1 Preliminaries -- 1.2
Structure of the Book -- 1.3 Flood Risk Change -- 1.4 Concluding Remarks -- I
FACETS OF CHANGE -- 2 Changes in Flood Risk - Setting the Stage/Zbigniew W.
Kundzewicz, Erich J. Plate, Harvey J. E. Rodda,John C. Rodda, Hans Joachim
Scheilnhuber & Witold G. Strupczewski -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Flood Risk
-- 2.3 Multi-causality -- 2.4 Recent Changes in Flood Risk -- 2.5 Adaptation
- Flood Risk Reduction -- 2.6 Concluding Remarks -- 3 Catalogue of Large
Floods in Europe in the 20th Century/Adam Choryñski, lwona Piñskwar, Wolfgang
Kron, G. Robert Brakenridge & Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz -- 3.1 Introduction and
Outline -- 3.2 Sources of Information -- 3.3 Known Errors and Uncertainties
-- 3.4 The Flood Catalogue -- 3.5 Concluding Remarks -- 4 Large-scale
Flooding in Europe, 1961-2005/Christel Prudhomme, Simon Parry, Marie
Genevier, Jamie Hannaford & Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2
A Catalogue of European Regional High Flows, 1961-2005 -- 4.3 Flood Peaks and
Preceding Circulation Types: Relationships in Europe -- 5 Changing Floods in
Europe/lwona Piñskwar, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Pascal Peduzzi,G. Robert
Brakenridge, Kerstin Stahl & Jamie Hannaford -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2
Observed Development of Climatic Drivers -- 5.3 Changes in River Discharge --
5.4 Changes in Maximum Flow -- 5.5 Exposure to Floods -- 5.6 Changes in Flood
Risk in Europe -- 5.7 Concluding Remarks -- 6 Changes in Intense
Precipitation in Europe/Olga Zolina -- 6.1 Introduction -- 6.2 Data for
Estimation of Intense Precipitation -- 6.3 Absolute Precipitation Extremes
over Europe -- 6.4 Climate Tendencies in the Relative Precipitation
Extremeness over Europe -- 6.5 Changes in Temporal Structure of European
Precipitation -- 6.6 Summary and Conclusions -- 7 Historical Floods in Europe
in the Past Millennium/Rudolf Brázdil, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Gerardo
Benito, Gaston Demarée, Neil Macdonald & Lars A. Roald -- 7.1 Introduction --
7.2 Beginnings of Instrumental Hydrological Measurements -- 7.3 Documentary
Data about Floods -- 7.4 Historical Floods in Europe in the Past Millennium
-- 7.5 Discussion -- 7.6 Conclusions -- II NATIONAL AND REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES
ON FLOODS -- 8 Floods in Austria -- 8.1 Günter Blõschl, RalfMerz, Juraj
Parajka, José Salinas & Alberto Viglione -- 8.2 Introduction -- 8.3 Flood
Processes in Austria -- 8.4 Changes of Floods in the Past -- 9 Predictability
of Flood Changes Floods in the Czech Republic/ R. Brázdil, L Reznicková, M.
Havlícek & L Elleder -- 9.1 Introduction -- 9.2 Hydrological Observations --
9.3 Changes of Factors Influencing Floods 1901-2010 -- 9.4 Frequency and
Magnitude of Floods, 1901-2010 -- 9.5 The Most Disastrous Floods, 1901-2010
-- 9.6 Floods in the Context of the Changing Environment: Discussion -- 9.7
Conclusions -- 10 Floods in France/Ignazio Giuntoli, Benjamin Renard & Michel
Lang -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.2 The Data Set -- 10.3 Methods -- 10.4
Results -- 10.5 Conclusions -- 11 Flood Risk from a Holistic Perspective -
Observed Changes in Germany/Fred F. Hattermann, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz,
Shaochun Huang, Tobias Vetter,Wolfgang Kron, Olaf Burghoff, Bruno Merz, Axel
Bronstert, Valentina Krysanova,Friedrich-Wilhelm Gerstengarbe, Peter Werner &
Ylva Hauf -- 11.1 Introduction and Outline -- 11.2 Climate and Hydrological
Characteristics of Germany -- 11.3 Data and Methodology -- 11.4 Changes of
Factors Driving Flood Hazard -- 11.5 Non-climatic Drivers of Flood Hazard:
Land-use Change and River Training Effects -- 11.6 River Discharge -- 11.7
Flood Damage -- 11.8 Concluding Remarks -- 12 Floods in Greece/D.
Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, N. Zarkadoulas & I. Markonis --
12.1 Introduction -- 12.2 Reflections from the Past: Analysis of Palaeofloods
-- 12.3 Reflections from the Past: Flood Mythology -- 12.4 Reflections from
the Past: Flood Control in Greek Antiquity -- 12.5 Modern Greece: Positive
and Negative Experiences -- 12.6 Concluding Remarks -- 13 Floods in
Iceland/Ami Snorrason, Bergur Einarsson, Emmanuel Pagneux, Jórunn
Hardardóttir,Matthew J. Roberts, Oddur Sigurdsson, Óõinn
Thórarinsson,Philippe Crochet, Tomas Jóhannesson & Thorsteinn Thorsteinsson
-- 13.1 Introduction -- 13.2 Types of Floods in Iceland -- 13.3 Case Studies
-- 13.4 Concluding Remarks -- 14 Flood Risk in Italy/Paola Salvati, Cinzia
Bianchi, Mauro Rossi & Fausto Guzzetti -- 14.1 Introduction -- 14.2 Record of
Harmful Flood Events in Italy -- 14.3 Risk Evaluation -- 14.4 Comparison to
Other Natural Hazards -- 14.5 Conclusions -- 15 Floods in The Netherlands/J.
K. Vrijling -- 15.1 Introduction -- 15.2 Chronology of Major Flood Events --
15.3 Conclusions -- 16 Floods in Norway/Lars Andreas Roald -- 16.1
Introduction -- 16.2 Winter Floods -- 16.3 Snowmelt Spring Floods -- 16.4
Summer Rainfall Floods -- 16.5 Autumn Floods -- 16.6 Ice-run Floods -- 16.7
Floods from Glacier-dammed Lakes - Jókullhlaup -- 16.8 Trends in Streamflow
and the Occurrence of Floods -- 16.9 Update-Floods in 2011 -- 17 Floods in
Poland/Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Andrzej Dobrowolski, Halina Lorenc,Tadeusz
Niedzwiedz, lwona Piñskwar & Piotr Kowalczak -- 17.1 Introduction -- 17.2
Hydrography of Poland in a Nutshell -- 17.3 Climatic Drivers -- 17.4 Causes
of Floods in Poland and their Spatial and Temporal Distribution -- 17.5
Chronology of Floods in Poland -- 17.6 Concluding Remarks -- 18 Floods in
Switzerland/Petra Schmocker-Fackel & Felix Naef -- 18.1 Introduction -- 18.2
Data and Study Site -- 18.3 Changes in Flood Frequency since 1850 -- 18.4
Atmospheric Circulation and Floods -- 18.5 Changes in Flood Frequency since
1500 -- 18.6 Concluding Remarks -- 19 Flood Risk in the UK: Evidence of
Change andManagement Responses/Jamie Hannaford & Jim W. Hall -- 19.1
Introduction -- 19.2 Background: Climate, Hydrology and Flooding -- 19.3
Recent Major Floods in the UK -- 19.4 Observed Climate Changes Relevant to
Flooding -- 19.5 Trends in Fluvial Flooding -- 19.6 Links Between Flooding
and Atmospheric Circulation -- 19.7 A Longer-term Perspective -- 19.8 Changes
in Flood Risk and Flood Risk Management -- 19.9 Concluding Remarks -- 20
Floods in the Alpine Areas of Europe/Antoine Bard, Benjamin Renard & Michel
Lang -- 20.1 Introduction -- 20.2 The Data Set -- 20.3 Methods -- 20.4
Results -- 20.5 Conclusions -- 21 Floods in the Iberian Peninsula/Gerardo
Benito & Maria J. Machado -- 21.1 Introduction -- 21.2 Flood Hydroclimatology
-- 21.3 Observed Flood Records -- 21.4 Socio-economic Losses Due to Flooding
-- 21.5 Discussion and Conclusions -- III DETECTION AND ATTRIBUTION OF
CHANGE, AND PROSPECTS -- 22 Detection of Changes/Sheng Yue, Zbigniew W.
Kundzewicz <& Linghui Wang -- 22.1 Introduction -- 22.2 Statistical
Principles for Trend Detection -- 22.3 Site Significance Tests -- 22.4 Field
Significance Tests -- 22.5 Pitfalls in Trend Detection -- 22.6 Procedures for
Trend Detection -- 23 Detection and Attribution of Climate Change and
Its/Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz & Wolfgang Cramer -- 23.1 Introduction -- 23.2
Attribution of Global Warming in a Multi-factor Context -- 23.3 Controversy
about Detection and Attribution of Climate Change -- 23.4 Detection and
Attribution of Climate Change Impacts -- 23.5 Concluding Remarks -- 24
Detection and Attribution of Changes in Water Resources/Dieter Gerten,
Wolfgang Lucht & Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz -- 24.1 Introduction -- 24.2 What
Influences Global River Discharge? -- 24.3 Uncertainties in Estimates of
Precipitation and River Flow -- 24.4 The Model and Data Used, and Simulations
Performed for this Study -- 24.5 Results and Discussion -- 24.6 Conclusion --
25 Detection and Attribution of Changes in Flood Hazard and Risk/Bruno Merz,
Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Jose Delgado, Yeshewa Hundecha &Heidi Kreibich --
25.1 Introduction -- 25.2 Drivers of Changing Flood Hazard and Risk -- 25.3
Changes in Flood Hazard -- 25.4 Changes in Vulnerability and Risk -- 25.5
Climate Change and Flood Trends -- 25.6 Conclusions -- 26 Changing Flood Risk
- A Re-insurer's Viewpoint/by Wolfgang Kron -- 26.1 Introduction -- 26.2
Flood Disasters and Flood Losses in Europe -- 26.3 Types of Flood -- 26.4
Reasons for the Increasing Flood Risk -- 26.5 Flood Risk Reduction -- 26.6
Final Remarks -- 27 Projections of Flood Risk in Europe by Christel
Prudhomme, Jennifer Williamson, Simon Parry & European Regional High Flow
Catalogue Simulated from Observed Climate -- 27.1 The Future of Regional High
Flows in Europe: Results from WATCH -- 27.2 Simulations -- Index.
Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz is an authority on floods and climate change, works closely with the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change), is a member of the Advisory Board on the Environment of the European Union Seventh Framework Programme, and is the co-editor of Hydrological Sciences Journal. He is a Corresponding Member of the Polish Academy of Sciences (PAS), Professor of Earth Sciences and Head of the Department of Climate and Water Resources at the Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment, PAS, Poznan, Poland, and an associate of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany.
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