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E-raamat: China's Iron Ore Boom

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China’s emergence as the world’s second largest economy has been driven by more than four decades of explosive growth. To support this expansion, China has required massive expansion in its steel production capacity, which is highly correlated to its demand for iron ore imports. The scale and pace of China’s iron ore demand shock has pushed the global iron ore market into a historical adjustment.

Using economic frameworks, this book brings to bare new data and field observations throughout Asia and Africa to investigate how the rapid growth in China’s iron ore demand has affected the organisation and structure of the global iron ore market. The research provides several important contributions to the extant literature including analysis of whether the Big Three Asian market iron ore exporters coordinated to sustain the profits arising from the price boom; estimating the financial impact of the Chinese state’s intervention in iron price negotiations; and addressing the concerns arising from the Chinese state’s provision of cheap financial support for its companies’ iron ore procurement.

Offering unique insights into China’s economic rise and the structure of the iron ore market, this book will be relevant to students and scholars of resource economics, and the Australian and Chinese economies.

List of figures
ix
List of tables
xi
List of equations
xiii
Acknowledgements xv
Abbreviations xvii
1 Introduction
1(8)
The issues
4(3)
Chapter outlines
7(2)
2 The economics of the iron ore market adjustment
9(24)
Marginal pricing and producer surplus
9(2)
Asset specificity and bilateral quasi-rents
11(5)
The importance of market access
16(4)
Strategic market interventions
20(5)
The impact of a positive demand shock on the market
25(3)
Conclusion
28(5)
3 The genesis of the Asian iron ore market
33(20)
The first Asian iron ore boom
33(3)
Sharing the wealth
36(4)
Short-term dependency and opportunism
40(2)
Lessons in the long-run contestability of the market
42(4)
Stagnating demand and the new `global' market
46(2)
Conclusion
48(5)
4 Questioning the competitiveness of the supply response
53(16)
Is there evidence of a supply cartel?
54(2)
Is there evidence of a price cartel?
56(2)
The real causes of the price boom
58(6)
What's next for the iron ore market adjustment?
64(2)
Conclusion
66(3)
5 The cost of Chinese state intervention
69(18)
The impact of the iron ore price boom on China's steel industry
69(2)
Estimating the distribution of bilateral quasi-rents under the benchmark price mechanism
71(3)
China's intervention
74(2)
Why China's intervention failed
76(3)
The cost of switching price mechanisms
79(1)
Conclusion
80(7)
6 Covert or competitive? Chinese iron ore procurement
87(34)
A snapshot of Chinese iron ore procurement
87(6)
The role of the state in Chinese iron ore procurement
93(3)
The impact of Chinese state procurement support on market outcomes
96(9)
Conclusion
105(16)
7 Conclusions
121(8)
Contribution, limitations and future research
125(4)
References 129(10)
Index 139
Luke W.L. Hurst is a Senior Consultant with the Nous Group and has worked in public policy, academia, and as a consultant across several industries throughout Asia and Africa.